Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 14, 2010

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $49.7800 (0.61%) ($49.5000 - $49.9500) on Thu. Jan. 14, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.76% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $49.7800(0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(81%)    SPY(73%)    EWG(72%)    FXI(71%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(13%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.88% (StdDev 1.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.71(0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.43(0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.17(3.34%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   16.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 3.13% (three month std-dev: 1.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.17%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.86%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.32%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -4.64%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.57%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.15%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_14_2010	46.05	48.17	49.43	49.71	49.62	49.51	49.78(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	26	-20	6	86	3.15	50%	0.17	42.8	1.76%	0	1.1	75	0
2	Jan_13_2010	45.97	48.05	49.22	49.56	49.6	49.42	49.48(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-20	-10	83	3.78	50%	0.15	45.1	1.81%	0	1	76	0
3	Jan_12_2010	45.9	47.96	49.02	49.56	49.55	49.73	49.4(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	20	-3	101	3.39	50%	0.15	51.3	1.81%	0	1	76	0
4	Jan_11_2010	45.83	47.85	48.84	49.68	49.65	49.77	50.09(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	44	20	17	123	5.17	50%	0.17	54.5	1.8%	0	1.6	83	0
5	Jan_8_2010	45.75	47.69	48.56	49.53	49.49	49.37	49.78(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	-20	7	125	2.72	50%	0.2	59	1.81%	0	1.6	83	0

6	Jan_7_2010	45.66	47.54	48.24	49.1	49.37	49.54	49.06(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	34	40	10	106	3.46	50%	0.18	57.3	1.81%	0	1.3	60	0
7	Jan_6_2010	45.58	47.4	47.96	48.81	49.05	49.62	50.08(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	50	100	34	98	3.23	52%	0.22	55.9	1.8%	0	2.4	66	0
8	Jan_5_2010	45.48	47.24	47.55	48.26	48.5	49.2	49.37(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	44	120	36	69	4.52	52%	0.24	63.1	1.79%	0	2.2	61	0
9	Jan_4_2010	45.37	47.11	47.2	47.89	48.04	48.48	49.35(3.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	38	70	35	45	4.95	52%	0.27	79.7	1.8%	0	2.8	63	0
10	Dec_31_2009	45.25	46.95	46.83	47.47	47.65	47.8	47.64(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	30	15	13	2.12	44%	0.13	87.7	1.75%	0	1.1	54	0

11	Dec_30_2009	45.19	46.87	46.8	47.25	47.45	47.59	47.62(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	30	14	7	1.44	44%	0.16	76.9	1.83%	0	1.2	57	0
12	Dec_29_2009	45.12	46.78	46.77	46.97	47.13	47.5	47.34(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	70	16	4	1.38	44%	0.13	51.8	1.83%	0	0.9	61	0
13	Dec_28_2009	45.06	46.64	46.79	46.71	46.83	47.31	47.5(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	80	29	3	1.63	44%	0.18	23.3	1.83%	0	1	52	0
14	Dec_24_2009	44.98	46.47	46.76	46.4	46.47	46.75	47.27(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	14	50	22	-10	0.97	44%	0.13	2.9	1.82%	0	0.8	51	0
15	Dec_23_2009	44.92	46.43	46.74	46.11	46.22	46.35	46.52(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	30	2	-25	2.23	44%	0.09	-3.9	1.83%	0	0.1	52	0

16	Dec_22_2009	44.88	46.41	46.78	46.3	46.12	46.18	46.2(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-0	-9	-18	4.41	47%	0.07	2.9	1.83%	0	-0.2	54	0
17	Dec_21_2009	44.85	46.41	46.8	46.56	46.45	46.08	46.08(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-60	-13	-5	2.67	47%	0.11	14	1.85%	0	-0.4	58	0
18	Dec_18_2009	44.8	46.41	46.91	46.88	46.82	46.06	45.92(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-21	-120	-34	17	3.85	47%	0.11	28	1.85%	0	-0.5	66	0
19	Dec_17_2009	44.75	46.44	47.04	47.17	47.22	46.82	45.82(-3.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-12	-60	-32	49	2.9	47%	0.13	42.5	1.85%	0	-0.6	68	0
20	Dec_16_2009	44.69	46.46	47.12	47.44	47.56	47.58	47.47(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	10	4	78	2.49	53%	0.16	52.9	1.8%	0	1.1	55	0

21	Dec_15_2009	44.62	46.38	46.99	47.32	47.45	47.62	47.53(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	30	12	75	1.67	55%	0.16	53.2	1.84%	0	1.2	57	0
22	Dec_14_2009	44.55	46.3	46.8	47.08	47.22	47.53	47.66(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	50	14	59	1.65	55%	0.18	50.5	1.86%	0	1.5	53	0
23	Dec_11_2009	44.47	46.18	46.48	46.97	46.94	47.28	47.39(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	50	13	45	2.05	55%	0.18	52.2	1.86%	0	1.4	57	0
24	Dec_10_2009	44.39	46.04	46.16	46.9	46.85	46.92	47.15(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	10	11	31	3.78	57%	0.18	52.4	1.86%	0	1.3	57	0
25	Dec_9_2009	44.31	45.96	46.07	46.76	46.88	46.6	46.87(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-30	-1	24	3.55	57%		59.7	1.88%	0	1.1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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