Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 9, 2009

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $45.8900 (3.12%) ($45.2200 - $46.0400) on Mon. Nov. 9, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.9% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $45.8900(3.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(81%)    SPY(73%)    EWG(72%)    FXI(71%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(13%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.95% (StdDev 1.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.33(3.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.15(3.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.16(1.62%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   17.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 3.1% (three month std-dev: 1.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4.23%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -5.22%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.72%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_9_2009	42.16	45.16	44.15	44.33	44.53	45	45.89(3.12%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	28	90	46	-26	2.81	53%	0.26	-30.3	1.9%	0	0.5	47	0
2	Nov_6_2009	42.05	45.18	44.1	43.77	43.8	44.2	44.5(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	70	16	-69	3.05	53%	0.24	-39.2	1.89%	0	-0.5	36	0
3	Nov_5_2009	41.95	45.28	44.17	43.45	43.51	44.07	44.21(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	90	16	-87	2.38	53%	0.22	-40.8	1.89%	0	-0.8	41	0
4	Nov_4_2009	41.86	45.37	44.29	43.6	43.38	43.4	44.11(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10	14	-96	4.67	53%	0.24	-37.9	1.9%	0	-0.9	35	0
5	Nov_3_2009	41.76	45.43	44.45	43.47	43.45	42.96	42.92(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-54	-80	-28	-132	6.12	53%	0.19	-48.8	1.87%	0	-1.8	28	0

6	Nov_2_2009	41.68	45.59	44.78	43.95	43.78	43.36	43.13(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-57	-80	-37	-117	7.65	53%	0.14	-48.2	1.9%	0	-2	39	0
7	Oct_30_2009	41.62	45.74	45.16	44.47	44.35	43.95	42.88(-4.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-45	-70	-29	-93	5.37	55%	0.14	-46.1	1.9%	0	-2.6	37	0
8	Oct_29_2009	41.56	45.87	45.5	44.98	45.01	44.19	44.96(3.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	-130	-22	-78	3.76	60%	0.24	-49.5	1.84%	0	-1	43	0
9	Oct_28_2009	41.46	45.9	45.76	45.08	45.32	44.74	43.45(-4.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-54	-70	-47	-75	4.96	57%	0.19	-49.8	1.8%	0	-2.6	40	0
10	Oct_27_2009	41.38	46.1	46.19	45.55	45.63	45.82	45.32(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	30	-9	-27	2.89	62%	0.24	-43.2	1.72%	0	-1	53	0

11	Oct_26_2009	41.28	46.19	46.28	45.74	45.75	45.89	45.73(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	20	5	-12	3.72	62%	0.24	-39.6	1.72%	0	-0.6	51	0
12	Oct_23_2009	41.18	46.26	46.36	45.99	45.85	45.43	45.43(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-70	-13	-5	3.17	62%	0.24	-27.8	1.72%	0	-1.1	49	0
13	Oct_22_2009	41.08	46.32	46.48	46.12	46.11	45.6	45.47(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-25	-80	-34	2	3.45	62%	0.24	-24.4	1.72%	0	-1.1	54	0
14	Oct_21_2009	40.98	46.37	46.54	46.56	46.32	46.27	45.82(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-12	-20	-25	28	3.43	62%	0.22	-9.8	1.72%	0	-0.7	54	0
15	Oct_20_2009	40.89	46.44	46.5	46.93	46.68	46.61	46.24(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	14	-30	4	42	4.42	64%	0.22	6	1.71%	0	-0.3	44	0

16	Oct_19_2009	40.8	46.5	46.47	46.9	46.9	46.36	46.98(1.95%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-80	-6	28	2.64	64%	0.27	16.7	1.73%	0	0.6	49	0
17	Oct_16_2009	40.69	46.47	46.36	46.78	46.75	46.75	46.08(-3.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-16	-0	-24	9	5.81	63%	0.27	24.4	1.72%	0	-0.5	45	0
18	Oct_15_2009	40.58	46.51	46.27	46.89	46.84	47.43	47.66(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	32	80	34	26	4.61	72%	0.35	40.4	1.66%	0	1.5	55	0
19	Oct_14_2009	40.44	46.45	46.04	46.53	46.63	46.74	47.68(3.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	25	20	32	4	3.87	72%	0.3	40.8	1.82%	0	1.7	57	0
20	Oct_13_2009	40.32	46.39	45.97	46.03	46.22	46.25	46.09(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	20	-2	-29	3.39	66%	0.15	42.4	1.78%	0	-0.4	42	0

21	Oct_12_2009	40.26	46.37	46.06	45.98	45.96	46.52	46.4(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	80	14	-28	2.29	66%	0.27	45.2	1.82%	0	0	41	0
22	Oct_9_2009	40.15	46.28	46.12	45.87	45.82	46.19	46.62(1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	19	50	33	-22	3.54	66%	0.27	44.7	1.82%	0	0.4	51	0
23	Oct_8_2009	40.04	46.2	46.11	45.57	45.55	45.4	45.87(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-20	5	-46	3.17	66%	0.23	42.8	1.82%	0	-0.4	45	0
24	Oct_7_2009	39.95	46.15	46.16	45.47	45.33	45.44	45.17(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	10	-21	-62	3.84	66%	0.2	44.3	1.81%	0	-0.9	43	0
25	Oct_6_2009	39.87	46.1	46.37	45.91	45.53	45.69	45.83(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	-0	1	-35	4.89	68%		60.2	1.81%	0	-0.2	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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