Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 14, 2009

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $47.6800 (3.45%) ($46.9900 - $47.6800) on Wed. Oct. 14, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.82% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $47.6800(3.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(81%)    SPY(73%)    EWG(72%)    FXI(71%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.91% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(13%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.91% (StdDev 1.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.53(2.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.04(3.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.45(2.65%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   36.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 1.57% (three month std-dev: 1.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.06%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.21%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.08%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.6%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0.96%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.13%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_14_2009	40.44	46.45	46.04	46.53	46.63	46.74	47.68(3.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	25	20	32	4	3.87	72%	0.3	40.8	1.82%	0	1.7	57	0
2	Oct_13_2009	40.32	46.39	45.97	46.03	46.22	46.25	46.09(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	20	-2	-29	3.39	66%	0.15	42.4	1.78%	0	-0.4	42	0
3	Oct_12_2009	40.26	46.37	46.06	45.98	45.96	46.52	46.4(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	80	14	-28	2.29	66%	0.27	45.2	1.82%	0	0	41	0
4	Oct_9_2009	40.15	46.28	46.12	45.87	45.82	46.19	46.62(1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	19	50	33	-22	3.54	66%	0.27	44.7	1.82%	0	0.4	51	0
5	Oct_8_2009	40.04	46.2	46.11	45.57	45.55	45.4	45.87(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-20	5	-46	3.17	66%	0.23	42.8	1.82%	0	-0.4	45	0

6	Oct_7_2009	39.95	46.15	46.16	45.47	45.33	45.44	45.17(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	10	-21	-62	3.84	66%	0.2	44.3	1.81%	0	-0.9	43	0
7	Oct_6_2009	39.87	46.1	46.37	45.91	45.53	45.69	45.83(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	-0	1	-35	4.89	68%	0.25	60.2	1.81%	0	-0.2	44	0
8	Oct_5_2009	39.77	46.01	46.54	46.17	45.92	45.21	45.85(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-120	-17	-19	3.53	68%	0.28	74.2	1.85%	0	-0.1	54	0
9	Oct_2_2009	39.66	45.89	46.61	46.42	46.33	45.37	45.11(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-39	-150	-49	-10	4.74	65%	0.25	75.7	1.86%	0	-0.6	58	0
10	Oct_1_2009	39.56	45.8	46.79	46.73	46.83	46.62	45.39(-4.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-13	-20	-25	24	5.96	66%	0.28	78.2	1.91%	0	-0.3	56	0

11	Sep_30_2009	39.45	45.68	46.93	46.92	47.05	47.3	47.38(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	50	9	59	4.52	71%	0.28	75.3	1.85%	0	1.1	70	0
12	Sep_29_2009	39.34	45.41	46.87	46.89	46.93	47.05	47.13(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	20	3	76	3.23	71%	0.31	68.1	1.86%	0	1	73	0
13	Sep_28_2009	39.22	45.15	46.72	46.98	47.01	46.8	47.07(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	23	-30	-0	92	2.7	71%	0.26	63	1.86%	0	1	73	0
14	Sep_25_2009	39.12	44.91	46.47	46.86	47.17	46.81	46.69(0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-30	-10	93	3.15	71%	0.31	61	1.86%	0	0.9	74	0
15	Sep_24_2009	39	44.7	46.3	46.87	47.09	47.22	46.34(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	30	-8	109	5.02	71%	0.26	62.8	1.88%	0	0.9	74	0

16	Sep_23_2009	38.9	44.5	46.14	46.91	47.06	47.52	47.22(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	80	20	140	4.62	71%	0.28	68.7	1.86%	0	1.4	83	0
17	Sep_22_2009	38.79	44.26	45.81	46.84	46.83	46.96	47.58(2.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	20	23	156	3.24	71%	0.28	75.5	1.85%	0	1.8	88	0
18	Sep_21_2009	38.68	44	45.42	46.43	46.59	46.6	46.46(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	46	10	11	151	2.78	70%	0.31	85.6	1.88%	0	1.4	87	0
19	Sep_18_2009	38.56	43.78	45.11	46.02	46.31	46.71	46.77(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	55	80	23	150	4.32	70%	0.34	85.8	1.87%	0	1.8	79	0
20	Sep_17_2009	38.43	43.52	44.73	45.63	45.68	46.58	46.53(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	62	140	34	146	2.69	70%	0.34	85.7	1.87%	0	2	79	0

21	Sep_16_2009	38.3	43.23	44.33	45.25	45.24	45.91	46.84(2.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	76	100	54	142	3.33	70%	0.42	81.1	1.87%	0	2.5	80	0
22	Sep_15_2009	38.14	42.9	43.82	44.64	44.68	44.78	45.54(2.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	20	20	103	4.63	64%	0.37	75.6	1.86%	0	2	76	0
23	Sep_14_2009	38	42.58	43.43	44.28	44.31	44.57	44.41(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	40	7	76	3.66	62%	0.32	56.7	1.9%	0	1.3	67	0
24	Sep_11_2009	37.88	42.43	43.22	44.06	44.17	44.58	44.81(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	70	30	77	2.96	62%	0.32	50.8	1.9%	0	1.8	73	0
25	Sep_10_2009	37.76	42.26	42.96	43.68	43.72	44.05	44.64(1.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	33	60	23	64	2.92	62%		46.7	1.91%	0	2	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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