Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 6, 2009

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $36.2900 (-0.27%) ($35.7400 - $36.6300) on Wed. May. 6, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.16% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $36.2900(-0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 5.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(81%)    SPY(73%)    EWG(72%)    FXI(71%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -2.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(14%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.08% (StdDev 4.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.68(1.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.18(6.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.15(9.47%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   81.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 5.19% (three month std-dev: 4.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.46%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.64%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.46%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090606

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_6_2009	28.04	33.15	34.18	35.68	35.78	36.26	36.29(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	100	13	91	5.73	58%	0.29	70.3	4.16%	0	1.8	65	0
2	May_5_2009	27.96	32.88	33.77	35.07	35.3	36.2	36.39(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	200	32	84	5	58%	0.36	72.7	4.18%	0	2.2	66	0
3	May_4_2009	27.86	32.63	33.34	34.04	34.43	35.29	36.76(5.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	41	210	34	62	5.01	58%	0.36	77.2	4.17%	0	3	68	0
4	May_1_2009	27.76	32.37	32.72	33.07	33.19	34.39	34.74(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	21	260	19	25	2.92	56%	0.29	90.1	4.1%	0	2.3	59	0
5	Apr_30_2009	27.68	32.21	32.47	32.75	32.59	33.57	34.22(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	24	200	25	19	4.69	56%	0.25	104.2	4.13%	0	2.4	57	0

6	Apr_29_2009	27.61	31.98	32.27	32.49	32.29	31.98	33.23(6.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-90	7	12	5	56%	0.33	95.3	4.12%	0	1.4	63	0
7	Apr_28_2009	27.52	31.76	32.17	32.3	32.26	31.62	31.26(-2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-12	-140	-17	4	3.89	57%	0.22	71.1	4.08%	0	-0.5	54	0
8	Apr_27_2009	27.46	31.59	32.26	32.5	32.57	32.6	31.9(-3.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	5	10	1	18	3.57	57%	0.33	52.9	4.16%	0	0.2	53	0
9	Apr_24_2009	27.37	31.49	32.33	32.26	32.44	32.9	33.15(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	120	10	18	5.16	57%	0.44	55.8	4.1%	0	1.1	57	0
10	Apr_23_2009	27.25	31.35	32.27	32.12	31.98	32.55	32.93(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	110	9	19	3.81	57%	0.37	65.7	4.13%	0	1.1	57	0

11	Apr_22_2009	27.15	31.17	32.06	32.02	31.88	31.97	32.28(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	10	6	19	3.08	57%	0.33	69.3	4.14%	0	0.8	65	0
12	Apr_21_2009	27.06	30.99	31.94	32.04	31.91	31.42	32.22(4.85%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-120	-5	27	3.16	57%	0.41	72.2	4.16%	0	0.8	70	0
13	Apr_20_2009	26.95	30.84	31.88	32.01	32.04	31.78	30.73(-5.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-50	-15	41	3.9	55%	0.26	83.5	4.16%	0	-0.1	71	0
14	Apr_17_2009	26.88	30.66	32.02	32.39	32.31	32.41	32.44(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	10	0	68	2.16	57%	0.22	85.2	4.17%	0	1	63	0
15	Apr_16_2009	26.82	30.41	31.95	32.44	32.34	32.3	32.45(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	-20	6	79	3.03	57%	0.34	88	4.2%	0	1.1	58	0

16	Apr_15_2009	26.73	30.18	31.69	32.08	32.36	32.22	32.37(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-0	4	72	2.83	57%	0.45	91.9	4.21%	0	1.2	62	0
17	Apr_14_2009	26.61	29.91	31.32	31.82	32	32.39	32.08(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	100	2	65	5.02	57%	0.38	93.9	4.23%	0	1.1	64	0
18	Apr_13_2009	26.51	29.6	30.88	31.73	31.7	32.51	32.6(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	180	14	62	3.17	57%	0.68	96.1	4.23%	0	1.5	62	0
19	Apr_9_2009	26.33	29.22	30.58	31.61	31.46	31.6	32.69(6.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	20	13	73	3.81	57%	0.46	93.9	4.26%	0	1.5	70	0
20	Apr_8_2009	26.21	28.85	30.33	31.41	31.26	30.89	30.68(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-100	-4	77	7.06	55%	0.31	100.5	4.25%	0	0.8	64	0

21	Apr_7_2009	26.13	28.55	30.2	31.22	31.5	31.32	31.05(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10	7	86	4.43	55%	0.27	98.6	4.25%	0	1.1	62	0
22	Apr_6_2009	26.06	28.22	29.96	30.71	31.07	31.64	31.65(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	160	18	85	3.88	55%	0.31	91.2	4.24%	0	1.3	66	0
23	Apr_3_2009	25.98	27.75	29.7	29.86	30.31	31.68	31.96(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	360	29	85	4.58	55%	0.15	81.8	4.22%	0	1.5	71	0
24	Apr_2_2009	25.94	27.26	29.18	29.4	29.27	30.51	31.73(6.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	280	26	81	5.25	55%	0.27	76	4.25%	0	1.6	72	0
25	Apr_1_2009	25.87	26.74	28.72	29.14	28.78	28.95	29.73(4.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	0	10	80	4.58	51%		74.8	4.19%	0	1.1	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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