Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 24, 2009

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $33.1500 (0.67%) ($32.6700 - $33.4700) on Fri. Apr. 24, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.1% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $33.1500(0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(81%)    SPY(73%)    EWG(72%)    FXI(71%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -2.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(14%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.05% (StdDev 4.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.26(2.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.33(2.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.49(5.27%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   65.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 4.8% (three month std-dev: 4.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.44%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.73%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.46%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -6.59%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.7%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.45%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090524

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_24_2009	27.37	31.49	32.33	32.26	32.44	32.9	33.15(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	120	10	18	5.16	57%	0.44	55.8	4.1%	0	1.1	57	0
2	Apr_23_2009	27.25	31.35	32.27	32.12	31.98	32.55	32.93(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	110	9	19	3.81	57%	0.37	65.7	4.13%	0	1.1	57	0
3	Apr_22_2009	27.15	31.17	32.06	32.02	31.88	31.97	32.28(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	10	6	19	3.08	57%	0.33	69.3	4.14%	0	0.8	65	0
4	Apr_21_2009	27.06	30.99	31.94	32.04	31.91	31.42	32.22(4.85%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-120	-5	27	3.16	57%	0.41	72.2	4.16%	0	0.8	70	0
5	Apr_20_2009	26.95	30.84	31.88	32.01	32.04	31.78	30.73(-5.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-50	-15	41	3.9	55%	0.26	83.5	4.16%	0	-0.1	71	0

6	Apr_17_2009	26.88	30.66	32.02	32.39	32.31	32.41	32.44(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	10	0	68	2.16	57%	0.22	85.2	4.17%	0	1	63	0
7	Apr_16_2009	26.82	30.41	31.95	32.44	32.34	32.3	32.45(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	-20	6	79	3.03	57%	0.34	88	4.2%	0	1.1	58	0
8	Apr_15_2009	26.73	30.18	31.69	32.08	32.36	32.22	32.37(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-0	4	72	2.83	57%	0.45	91.9	4.21%	0	1.2	62	0
9	Apr_14_2009	26.61	29.91	31.32	31.82	32	32.39	32.08(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	100	2	65	5.02	57%	0.38	93.9	4.23%	0	1.1	64	0
10	Apr_13_2009	26.51	29.6	30.88	31.73	31.7	32.51	32.6(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	180	14	62	3.17	57%	0.68	96.1	4.23%	0	1.5	62	0

11	Apr_9_2009	26.33	29.22	30.58	31.61	31.46	31.6	32.69(6.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	20	13	73	3.81	57%	0.46	93.9	4.26%	0	1.5	70	0
12	Apr_8_2009	26.21	28.85	30.33	31.41	31.26	30.89	30.68(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-100	-4	77	7.06	55%	0.31	100.5	4.25%	0	0.8	64	0
13	Apr_7_2009	26.13	28.55	30.2	31.22	31.5	31.32	31.05(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10	7	86	4.43	55%	0.27	98.6	4.25%	0	1.1	62	0
14	Apr_6_2009	26.06	28.22	29.96	30.71	31.07	31.64	31.65(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	160	18	85	3.88	55%	0.31	91.2	4.24%	0	1.3	66	0
15	Apr_3_2009	25.98	27.75	29.7	29.86	30.31	31.68	31.96(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	360	29	85	4.58	55%	0.15	81.8	4.22%	0	1.5	71	0

16	Apr_2_2009	25.94	27.26	29.18	29.4	29.27	30.51	31.73(6.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	280	26	81	5.25	55%	0.27	76	4.25%	0	1.6	72	0
17	Apr_1_2009	25.87	26.74	28.72	29.14	28.78	28.95	29.73(4.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	0	10	80	4.58	51%	0.15	74.8	4.19%	0	1.1	67	0
18	Mar_31_2009	25.83	26.38	28.53	29.07	29.02	28.04	28.46(3.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-240	-9	90	3.53	48%	0.04	70.7	4.19%	0	0.7	67	0
19	Mar_30_2009	25.82	26.01	28.4	29.09	29.22	28.61	27.43(-7.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-130	-24	102	5.24	48%	-0.04	62.8	4.17%	0	0.5	66	0
20	Mar_27_2009	25.83	25.66	28.25	29.45	29.47	30	29.64(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	130	14	158	3.53	53%	0.16	61.9	4.02%	0	1.3	81	0

21	Mar_26_2009	25.79	25.26	27.79	28.88	29.15	29.82	30.45(3.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	63	190	29	165	4.97	53%	0.08	57.5	4.04%	0	1.7	84	0
22	Mar_25_2009	25.77	24.83	27.27	28.23	28.32	28.93	29.36(2.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	52	160	14	166	4.7	53%	-0.08	52.8	4.02%	0	1.6	84	0
23	Mar_24_2009	25.79	24.48	26.78	27.93	27.91	28.48	28.55(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	58	140	18	176	4.05	53%	0	51	4.03%	0	1.5	75	0
24	Mar_23_2009	25.79	24.2	26.36	27.62	27.57	27.7	29.25(9.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	65	30	21	195	4.76	53%	0.04	49	4.04%	0	2	82	0
25	Mar_20_2009	25.78	23.84	25.64	26.88	27.11	27.34	26.77(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	53	90	8	189	4.2	47%		35.2	3.91%	0	1.3	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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