Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 7, 2009

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $31.0500 (-1.9%) ($31.0000 - $31.3500) on Tue. Apr. 7, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.25% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $31.0500(-1.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 5.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(82%)    SPY(73%)    EWG(72%)    FXI(72%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -2.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(14%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.125% (StdDev 4.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.22(-0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.2(2.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.55(8.76%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   55.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 8.34% (three month std-dev: 4.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.8%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.23%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.23%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2009	26.13	28.55	30.2	31.22	31.5	31.32	31.05(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10	7	86	4.43	55%	0.27	98.6	4.25%	0	1.1	62	NAN
2	Apr_6_2009	26.06	28.22	29.96	30.71	31.07	31.64	31.65(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	160	18	85	3.88	55%	0.31	91.2	4.24%	0	1.3	66	NAN
3	Apr_3_2009	25.98	27.75	29.7	29.86	30.31	31.68	31.96(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	360	29	85	4.58	55%	0.15	81.8	4.22%	0	1.5	71	NAN
4	Apr_2_2009	25.94	27.26	29.18	29.4	29.27	30.51	31.73(6.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	280	26	81	5.25	55%	0.27	76	4.25%	0	1.6	72	NAN
5	Apr_1_2009	25.87	26.74	28.72	29.14	28.78	28.95	29.73(4.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	0	10	80	4.58	51%	0.15	74.8	4.19%	0	1.1	67	NAN

6	Mar_31_2009	25.83	26.38	28.53	29.07	29.02	28.04	28.46(3.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-240	-9	90	3.53	48%	0.04	70.7	4.19%	0	0.7	67	NAN
7	Mar_30_2009	25.82	26.01	28.4	29.09	29.22	28.61	27.43(-7.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-130	-24	102	5.24	48%	-0.04	62.8	4.17%	0	0.5	66	NAN
8	Mar_27_2009	25.83	25.66	28.25	29.45	29.47	30	29.64(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	130	14	158	3.53	53%	0.16	61.9	4.02%	0	1.3	81	NAN
9	Mar_26_2009	25.79	25.26	27.79	28.88	29.15	29.82	30.45(3.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	63	190	29	165	4.97	53%	0.08	57.5	4.04%	0	1.7	84	NAN
10	Mar_25_2009	25.77	24.83	27.27	28.23	28.32	28.93	29.36(2.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	52	160	14	166	4.7	53%	-0.08	52.8	4.02%	0	1.6	84	NAN

11	Mar_24_2009	25.79	24.48	26.78	27.93	27.91	28.48	28.55(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	58	140	18	176	4.05	53%	0	51	4.03%	0	1.5	75	NAN
12	Mar_23_2009	25.79	24.2	26.36	27.62	27.57	27.7	29.25(9.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	65	30	21	195	4.76	53%	0.04	49	4.04%	0	2	82	NAN
13	Mar_20_2009	25.78	23.84	25.64	26.88	27.11	27.34	26.77(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	53	90	8	189	4.2	47%	-0.15	35.2	3.91%	0	1.3	80	NAN
14	Mar_19_2009	25.82	23.61	25.19	26.51	26.79	27.44	27.23(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	62	200	20	187	6.73	47%	0.12	21.3	3.93%	0	1.7	69	NAN
15	Mar_18_2009	25.79	23.41	24.61	26.13	26.11	26.88	27.87(3.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	65	200	27	177	6.61	47%	0.12	8.7	3.93%	0	2.3	69	NAN

16	Mar_17_2009	25.76	23.2	24.05	25.46	25.5	26.14	26.97(5.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	58	180	25	155	5.63	47%	0.23	-7.8	3.91%	0	2.2	65	NAN
17	Mar_16_2009	25.7	23.04	23.42	24.92	25.03	25.35	25.57(2.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	100	26	123	4.33	42%	0.16	-31.6	3.85%	0	1.7	58	NAN
18	Mar_13_2009	25.66	23.08	22.87	24.21	24.53	24.85	24.9(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	130	19	77	4.62	42%	0.04	-45.9	3.94%	0	1.1	59	NAN
19	Mar_12_2009	25.65	23.17	22.54	23.64	23.82	24.72	25.32(3.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	290	29	56	7.73	42%	0.04	-52.4	3.97%	0	1.1	61	NAN
20	Mar_11_2009	25.64	23.24	22.2	22.85	23.13	24.21	24.55(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	360	32	18	6.34	42%	-0.16	-59.4	3.95%	0	0.6	52	NAN

21	Mar_10_2009	25.68	23.33	21.97	22.43	22.36	22.92	24.27(10.32%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	21	170	31	-8	4.6	42%	-0.23	-63.1	3.95%	0	0.4	49	NAN
22	Mar_9_2009	25.74	23.52	21.83	21.71	22	22.04	22(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	50	15	-49	3.29	31%	-0.31	-59.7	3.85%	0	-0.6	39	NAN
23	Mar_6_2009	25.82	23.88	21.87	21.32	21.68	21.81	22.04(2.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	90	2	-94	4.86	40%	-0.35	-53.4	3.98%	0	-0.7	31	NAN
24	Mar_5_2009	25.91	24.19	21.9	21.27	21.31	21.96	21.4(-4.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-30	220	1	-124	6.7	40%	-0.38	-49.6	3.99%	0	-1	27	NAN
25	Mar_4_2009	26.01	24.53	22.12	21.43	21.37	21.55	22.46(8.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-26	50	10	-135	7.99	44%		-47.6	4.02%	0	-0.7	29	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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