Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 28, 2009

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $27.7500 (7.14%) ($27.2700 - $28.1200) on Wed. Jan. 28, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.38% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $27.7500(7.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY declines -4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(82%)    SPY(74%)    EWG(73%)    FXI(73%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -3.19% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(12%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.19% (StdDev 6.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $15.29(-44.9%)
5 Day Moving Average   $25.93(7.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.12(6.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.24(1.87%)
To recent high   -10.4%
To recent low   46.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 5.69% (three month std-dev: 6.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.56%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -12.31%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.56%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_28_2009	29.43		26.12	25.93	25.94	26.77	27.75(7.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	3	230	15	-32	5.93	65%	-0.47	-30.9	6.38%	0	0.3	41	0
2	Jan_27_2009	29.57	27.24	26.07	25.65	25.4	25.63	25.9(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	30	5	-45	2.31	64%	-0.61	-38.8	6.83%	0	-0.9	32	0
3	Jan_26_2009	29.75	27.34	26.13	25.52	25.42	25.12	25.31(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-90	-4	-59	2.28	64%	-0.5	-44.8	6.84%	0	-1.3	34	0
4	Jan_23_2009	29.9	27.47	26.39	25.82	25.5	25.16	25.1(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-130	-9	-58	2.19	60%	-0.5	-44.3	7%	0	-1.6	33	0
5	Jan_22_2009	30.05	27.58	26.82	26.04	26.01	25.72	25.57(-3.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-80	-4	-49	1.56	56%	-0.5	-49.9	7%	0	-1.5	41	0

6	Jan_21_2009	30.2	27.73	27.23	26.32	26.14	25.84	26.39(4.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-100	-7	-40	2.64	53%	-0.46	-42.5	7.11%	0	-1.1	46	0
7	Jan_20_2009	30.34	27.86	27.55	26.55	26.42	26.3	25.23(-5.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-50	-5	-31	3.19	55%	-0.59	-31.3	7.21%	0	-2.1	38	0
8	Jan_16_2009	30.52	28.03	27.95	26.83	26.81	26.44	26.79(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	-100	-3	-22	1.83	53%	-0.59	-24.6	7.2%	0	-1.2	48	0
9	Jan_15_2009	30.7	28.12	28.18	27.05	26.82	26.54	26.23(-2.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-100	-13	-20	3.35	49%	-0.62	-13.4	7.19%	0	-1.8	43	0
10	Jan_14_2009	30.89	28.12	28.38	27.72	27.34	27.17	26.96(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-80	-7	-4	2.47	49%	-0.58	24	7.39%	0	-1.4	54	0

11	Jan_13_2009	31.07	28.27	28.48	28.28	27.89	27.11	27.55(3.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-6	-240	-9	3	2.75	54%	-0.54	51.1	7.39%	0	-0.8	47	0
12	Jan_12_2009	31.24	28.25	28.54	28.72	28.5	27.51	26.61(-4.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-9	-270	-14	5	2.51	54%	-0.64	80.5	7.9%	0	-1.7	38	0
13	Jan_9_2009	31.44	28.3	28.67	29.22	29.22	28.68	27.9(-5.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-3	-130	-8	13	2.22	55%	-0.6	126.8	7.91%	0	-0.4	48	0
14	Jan_8_2009	31.63	28.26	28.68	29.44	29.45	29.49	29.57(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	10	2	19	2.85	54%	-0.6	152	7.89%	0	1.4	57	0
15	Jan_7_2009	31.82	28.05	28.42	29.12	29.28	29.76	29.77(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	9	130	8	12	3.52	53%	-0.56	153.9	7.94%	0	1.8	54	0

16	Jan_6_2009	32	27.82	28.26	28.71	28.83	29.41	29.77(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	9	150	9	10	2.97	51%	-0.59	138.7	7.97%	0	1.8	66	0
17	Jan_5_2009	32.19	27.51	28.16	28.35	28.27	28.8	29.09(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	120	7	9	2.73	51%	-0.62	120.8	8.03%	0	1.4	63	0
18	Jan_2_2009	32.39	27.18	28.08	28.06	28	28.25	29.02(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	60	6	7	2.93	50%	-1.13	85.2	8.03%	0	1.3	60	0
19	Dec_31_2008	32.76	26.9	28.01	27.82	27.75	27.73	27.97(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10	2	6	2.02	50%	-0.64	65.1	8.05%	0	0.5	57	0
20	Dec_30_2008	32.97	26.68	28.1	27.6	27.67	27.75	27.69(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	30	-1	11	4.43	51%	-0.69	60.8	8.05%	0	0.5	67	0

21	Dec_29_2008	33.2	26.4	28.03	27.74	27.57	27.76	28(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	30	-1	17	1.83	49%	-0.66	55.6	8.1%	0	0.7	67	0
22	Dec_26_2008	33.42	26.2	27.93	27.95	27.71	27.6	27.62(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-50	-2	29	1.01	49%	-1.12	69.3	8.21%	0	0.6	73	0
23	Dec_24_2008	33.8	26	27.9	28.11	28.13	27.37	27.8(3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-190	-5	45	0.58	49%	-0.65	76.1	8.17%	0	0.8	78	0
24	Dec_23_2008	34.02	25.69	27.84	28.25	28.43	27.81	26.88(-5.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-130	-11	57	2.92	49%	-0.64	70.2	8.16%	0	0.5	67	0
25	Dec_22_2008	34.24	25.48	27.69	28.66	28.8	28.88	28.39(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	30	2	76	2.45	48%		71.5	8.13%	0	1.1	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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