Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 29, 2008

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $28.0000 (1.38%) ($27.5800 - $28.2800) on Mon. Dec. 29, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.1% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $28.0000(1.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(82%)    SPY(74%)    EWG(73%)    FXI(73%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -4.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.05% (StdDev 8.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.74(0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.03(-0.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.4(6.06%)
To recent high   -29.5%
To recent low   47.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 8.71% (three month std-dev: 8.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -5.49%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -6%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.66%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090129

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_29_2008	33.2	26.4	28.03	27.74	27.57	27.76	28(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	30	-1	17	1.83	49%	-0.66	55.6	8.1%	0	0.7	67	0
2	Dec_26_2008	33.42	26.2	27.93	27.95	27.71	27.6	27.62(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-50	-2	29	1.01	49%	-1.12	69.3	8.21%	0	0.6	73	0
3	Dec_24_2008	33.8	26	27.9	28.11	28.13	27.37	27.8(3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-190	-5	45	0.58	49%	-0.65	76.1	8.17%	0	0.8	78	0
4	Dec_23_2008	34.02	25.69	27.84	28.25	28.43	27.81	26.88(-5.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-130	-11	57	2.92	49%	-0.64	70.2	8.16%	0	0.5	67	0
5	Dec_22_2008	34.24	25.48	27.69	28.66	28.8	28.88	28.39(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	30	2	76	2.45	48%	-0.61	71.5	8.13%	0	1.1	73	0

6	Dec_19_2008	34.45	25.18	27.39	28.34	28.76	29.06	29.05(2.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	28	120	8	86	2.35	49%	-0.61	65	8.16%	0	1.5	80	0
7	Dec_18_2008	34.66	24.69	26.84	27.91	28.17	28.71	28.43(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	160	6	78	5.57	50%	-0.66	41.8	8.19%	0	1.4	65	0
8	Dec_17_2008	34.89	24.32	26.22	27.67	27.62	28.47	28.5(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	210	9	74	4.11	50%	-0.63	33.2	8.25%	0	1.6	67	0
9	Dec_16_2008	35.11	24.04	25.7	27.37	27.33	27.63	28.95(8.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	70	14	80	3.99	49%	-0.62	26.6	8.26%	0	2	73	0
10	Dec_15_2008	35.33	23.77	25.12	26.59	26.95	26.76	26.77(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10	3	67	1.57	49%	-0.67	12	8.2%	0	1.4	64	0

11	Dec_12_2008	35.57	23.63	24.64	26.3	26.49	27.02	26.89(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	160	7	63	2.71	49%	-0.7	0.2	8.22%	0	1.6	64	0
12	Dec_11_2008	35.82	23.62	24.32	25.58	26.13	27.15	27.24(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	340	22	72	4.19	49%	-0.67	-5.1	8.23%	0	1.7	74	0
13	Dec_10_2008	36.06	23.47	23.9	24.53	24.91	25.96	27.02(7.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	340	17	60	3.76	50%	-0.63	-29	8.23%	0	1.8	65	0
14	Dec_9_2008	36.29	23.41	23.33	23.79	23.71	25.12	25.05(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	410	13	40	2.79	49%	-0.68	-50.1	8.18%	0	0.9	55	0
15	Dec_8_2008	36.54	23.51	23.06	23.45	23.13	23.87	25.28(8.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	180	19	32	6	50%	-0.63	-53.1	8.19%	0	0.9	53	0

16	Dec_5_2008	36.77	23.63	22.77	22.75	22.58	22.31	23.3(5.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	-110	-2	5	2.73	49%	-0.7	-56.3	8.15%	0	-0.1	48	0
17	Dec_4_2008	37.03	23.73	22.37	22.87	22.53	22.4	21.99(-5.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-80	-7	-19	2.17	49%	-0.72	-62.9	8.12%	0	-0.8	39	0
18	Dec_3_2008	37.3	24.05	22.29	23.16	22.97	22.85	23.35(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-60	5	-20	3.08	49%	-0.67	-49.4	8.1%	0	-0.3	49	0
19	Dec_2_2008	37.55	24.4	22.27	22.76	23.03	22.66	23.31(6.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-80	0	-38	2.9	48%	-0.69	-38.6	8.1%	0	-0.4	45	0
20	Dec_1_2008	37.81	24.67	22.31	22.61	22.72	23.09	21.79(-8.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	130	-3	-52	3.94	48%	-0.74	-27.3	8.09%	0	-0.9	40	0

21	Nov_28_2008	38.09	25	22.58	22.76	22.68	23.39	23.93(2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	210	20	-51	1.57	49%	-0.91	-16.6	8.02%	0	-0.3	42	0
22	Nov_26_2008	38.44	25.28	22.86	21.78	22.17	22.36	23.4(9.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	110	11	-66	3.72	49%	-0.67	-16.9	7.95%	0	-0.6	48	0
23	Nov_25_2008	38.7	25.35	22.98	21.31	21.38	21.96	21.38(-5.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	200	-5	-91	4.56	47%	-0.69	-21.7	7.85%	0	-1.3	38	0
24	Nov_24_2008	38.97	25.57	23.48	21.7	21.41	21.99	22.53(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	150	3	-92	6.19	47%	-0.43	-21.7	7.84%	0	-1	37	0
25	Nov_21_2008	39.14	25.53	23.97	22.01	21.66	20.79	22.57(18.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-330	-7	-95	6.16	47%		-32	7.84%	0	-0.9	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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