Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 4, 2008

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $21.9900 (-5.82%) ($21.5200 - $22.6800) on Thu. Dec. 4, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.12% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $21.9900(-5.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(82%)    FXI(74%)    SPY(74%)    EWG(73%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -4.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.06% (StdDev 8.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $23.73
5 Day Moving Average   $22.87(-3.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.37(-1.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.73(-7.33%)
To recent high   -50%
To recent low   15.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 9.78% (three month std-dev: 8.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.88%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.29%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.28%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.25%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2008	37.03	23.73	22.37	22.87	22.53	22.4	21.99(-5.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-80	-7	-19	2.17	49%	-0.72	-62.9	8.12%	0	-0.8	39	0
2	Dec_3_2008	37.3	24.05	22.29	23.16	22.97	22.85	23.35(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-60	5	-20	3.08	49%	-0.67	-49.4	8.1%	0	-0.3	49	0
3	Dec_2_2008	37.55	24.4	22.27	22.76	23.03	22.66	23.31(6.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-80	0	-38	2.9	48%	-0.69	-38.6	8.1%	0	-0.4	45	0
4	Dec_1_2008	37.81	24.67	22.31	22.61	22.72	23.09	21.79(-8.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	130	-3	-52	3.94	48%	-0.74	-27.3	8.09%	0	-0.9	40	0
5	Nov_28_2008	38.09	25	22.58	22.76	22.68	23.39	23.93(2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	210	20	-51	1.57	49%	-0.91	-16.6	8.02%	0	-0.3	42	0

6	Nov_26_2008	38.44	25.28	22.86	21.78	22.17	22.36	23.4(9.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	110	11	-66	3.72	49%	-0.67	-16.9	7.95%	0	-0.6	48	0
7	Nov_25_2008	38.7	25.35	22.98	21.31	21.38	21.96	21.38(-5.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	200	-5	-91	4.56	47%	-0.69	-21.7	7.85%	0	-1.3	38	0
8	Nov_24_2008	38.97	25.57	23.48	21.7	21.41	21.99	22.53(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	150	3	-92	6.19	47%	-0.43	-21.7	7.84%	0	-1	37	0
9	Nov_21_2008	39.14	25.53	23.97	22.01	21.66	20.79	22.57(18.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-330	-7	-95	6.16	47%	-0.69	-32	7.84%	0	-0.9	41	0
10	Nov_20_2008	39.41	25.52	24.52	22.42	22.29	20.82	19(-9.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-54	-480	-36	-106	7.06	44%	-0.78	-39.4	7.45%	0	-2.1	33	0

11	Nov_19_2008	39.72	25.83	25.22	24.1	23.62	22.53	21.05(-9.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-38	-380	-21	-87	4.33	45%	-0.72	-39.6	7.38%	0	-1.7	34	0
12	Nov_18_2008	40.01	26.05	26	24.86	24.66	23.77	23.37(-2.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-280	-16	-63	4.02	46%	-0.69	-45	7.3%	0	-1	52	0
13	Nov_17_2008	40.29	26.27	26.75	25.49	25.22	24.71	24.07(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-170	-16	-39	4.69	46%	-0.69	-50.4	7.29%	0	-0.8	52	0
14	Nov_14_2008	40.57	26.6	27.26	26.21	25.81	25.55	24.6(-10.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	-120	-12	-4	5.92	46%	-0.66	-53.2	7.29%	0	-0.7	62	0
15	Nov_13_2008	40.84	26.82	27.67	26.96	26.56	25.74	27.4(10.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-260	0	33	12.51	48%	-0.66	-46.5	7.2%	0	0.2	65	0

16	Nov_12_2008	41.11	26.98	27.9	26.55	27.01	26.07	24.87(-6.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-190	-18	37	7.32	46%	-0.68	-44.6	7.07%	0	-0.7	55	0
17	Nov_11_2008	41.39	27.29	27.94	27.32	27.15	27.38	26.49(-4.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	40	-16	53	4.43	46%	-0.65	-31	7.04%	0	-0.2	56	0
18	Nov_10_2008	41.66	27.73	27.86	28.21	27.85	27.95	27.69(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10	1	71	3.81	46%	-0.62	-16.8	7.03%	0	-0	52	0
19	Nov_7_2008	41.92	28.14	27.25	28.5	28.53	26.93	28.34(11.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	-390	-8	45	4.17	46%	-0.66	-11.3	7.04%	0	0.1	48	0
20	Nov_6_2008	42.2	28.21	26.61	28.51	28.91	27.75	25.38(-11.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-18	-240	-29	15	6.88	43%	-0.71	-18	6.88%	0	-0.7	47	0

21	Nov_5_2008	42.5	28.38	26.53	29.42	29.56	30.13	28.68(-7.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	150	9	28	3.93	46%	-0.65	-21.2	6.75%	0	0.1	48	0
22	Nov_4_2008	42.78	28.38	26.13	28.59	29.48	30.07	30.98(6.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	21	230	28	0	4.18	47%	-0.56	-36.5	6.7%	0	0.6	51	0
23	Nov_3_2008	43.02	28.41	25.72	27.44	27.78	28.99	29.12(2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	340	26	-47	3.65	47%	-0.6	-50.8	6.65%	0	0.2	41	0
24	Oct_31_2008	43.28	28.59	25.8	25.79	26.43	28.88	28.4(-5.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	11	720	43	-84	10.35	47%	-0.62	-60	6.64%	0	-0	39	0
25	Oct_30_2008	43.55	28.95	25.81	24.41	24.57	26.58	29.92(22.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	590	43	-109	13.09	47%		-68.1	6.62%	0	0.2	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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