Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 30, 2008

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $39.7300 (6.8%) ($38.5900 - $39.8100) on Tue. Sep. 30, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.16% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $39.7300(6.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(89%)    VWO(85%)    FXI(78%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(75%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -1.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(18%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.58% (StdDev 3.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $32.62(-17.9%)
Resistance Level   $41.25
5 Day Moving Average   $40.79(-2.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.05(-3.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.25(-3.68%)
To recent high   -22.7%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 4.15% (three month std-dev: 3.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.23%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 7.89%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 6.73%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081030

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_30_2008	49.73	41.25	41.05	40.79	40.44	38.68	39.73(6.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-330	-29	-40	4.35	45%	-0.38	-33.5	3.16%	0	-0.9	45	NAN
2	Sep_29_2008	49.92	41.28	41.09	41.1	41.07	39.82	37.2(-10.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-59	-220	-61	-54	6.31	42%	-0.42	-40	3.03%	0	-2.4	44	NAN
3	Sep_26_2008	50.13	41.59	41.54	41.94	41.93	42.21	41.78(-3.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	50	-10	-21	2.17	45%	-0.34	-39.6	2.73%	0	0.1	48	NAN
4	Sep_25_2008	50.3	41.7	41.7	42.37	42.03	42.31	43.27(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	20	6	12	3.95	46%	-0.32	-36.7	2.71%	0	1	57	NAN
5	Sep_24_2008	50.46	41.73	41.59	42.05	43.12	41.65	41.99(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-160	14	21	1.6	44%	-0.38	-48.6	2.68%	0	0.2	58	NAN

6	Sep_23_2008	50.65	41.83	41.68	41.36	42.83	41.76	41.25(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-70	-42	-5	4.9	44%	-0.41	-64.4	2.67%	0	-0.3	56	NAN
7	Sep_22_2008	50.86	41.98	41.72	41.09	42.29	44.59	41.39(-5.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	470	22	20	4.71	44%	-0.39	-74	2.67%	0	-0.3	55	NAN
8	Sep_19_2008	51.06	42.2	41.87	41.06	41.56	43.89	43.95(5.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	82	430	93	47	7.15	45%	-0.33	-73.3	2.61%	0	0.9	51	NAN
9	Sep_18_2008	51.23	42.29	41.51	40.98	40.14	39.98	41.65(7.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-90	5	-10	9.75	42%	-0.37	-74	2.51%	0	-0.3	44	NAN
10	Sep_17_2008	51.42	42.57	41.3	41.15	40.73	39.23	38.58(-3.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-52	-290	-51	-56	7.09	37%	-0.41	-65.8	2.28%	0	-1.6	35	NAN

11	Sep_16_2008	51.63	42.99	41.46	42.05	41.37	40.3	39.88(-3.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-61	-230	-63	-55	7.02	39%	-0.41	-61.5	2.26%	0	-1.3	39	NAN
12	Sep_15_2008	51.84	43.38	41.51	42.38	42.36	42.23	41.24(-5.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-20	-14	-51	3.83	40%	-0.38	-59.7	2.23%	0	-0.8	41	NAN
13	Sep_12_2008	52.04	43.74	41.7	42.73	42.5	42.45	43.54(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-20	12	-47	4.1	43%	-0.33	-54.8	2.15%	0	-0.1	41	NAN
14	Sep_11_2008	52.21	43.99	41.71	42.11	42.57	42.49	42.5(-1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	20	19	-82	3.7	41%	-0.34	-56	2.12%	0	-0.5	36	NAN
15	Sep_10_2008	52.39	44.28	41.88	41.48	42.12	42.55	43.1(3.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	120	24	-122	3.34	41%	-0.29	-62.2	2.12%	0	-0.4	35	NAN

16	Sep_9_2008	52.54	44.56	41.94	40.8	41.35	42.65	41.5(-3.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	260	38	-162	4.74	38%	-0.34	-66.1	2.06%	0	-1	32	NAN
17	Sep_8_2008	52.72	44.97	42.22	40.51	40.83	41.69	43.01(6.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-12	170	49	-193	7.35	40%	-0.3	-65.1	2.02%	0	-0.6	33	NAN
18	Sep_5_2008	52.88	45.3	42.48	40.57	40.15	40.05	40.46(2.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-87	-50	-30	-257	4.32	32%	-0.34	-62.8	1.88%	0	-1.4	18	NAN
19	Sep_4_2008	53.06	45.72	43.07	41.31	40.96	39.96	39.35(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-103	-200	-51	-260	3.63	29%	-0.38	-62.4	1.84%	0	-1.9	10	NAN
20	Sep_3_2008	53.26	46.27	43.91	42.34	42.02	40.24	39.7(-0.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-125	-320	-86	-241	4.71	29%	-0.34	-60.5	1.85%	0	-2.2	16	NAN

21	Sep_2_2008	53.44	46.78	44.66	43.21	43.14	41.96	40.05(-7.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-119	-200	-85	-222	4.96	29%	-0.45	-63.3	1.85%	0	-2.5	16	NAN
22	Aug_29_2008	53.68	47.23	45.47	44.1	44.01	43.79	43.27(-2.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-80	-40	-38	-205	2.64	33%	-0.3	-71.9	1.64%	0	-1.8	19	NAN
23	Aug_28_2008	53.84	47.55	46.01	44.67	44.37	44.32	44.16(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-60	-30	-19	-183	2.4	34%	-0.26	-74.1	1.65%	0	-1.7	20	NAN
24	Aug_27_2008	53.98	47.85	46.5	45.14	44.84	44.24	44.5(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-65	-110	-31	-167	0.99	34%	-0.26	-74.3	1.65%	0	-1.7	32	NAN
25	Aug_26_2008	54.12	48.17	46.89	45.78	45.33	44.42	44.07(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-87	-170	-61	-165	2.05	34%		-70.3	1.66%	0	-2.2	25	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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