Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 14, 2008

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $49.0600 (1.36%) ($48.3000 - $49.1700) on Thu. Aug. 14, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.68% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $49.0600(1.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(89%)    VWO(84%)    FXI(78%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(74%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(12%)    LQD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

Resistance Level   $49.74
5 Day Moving Average   $49.25(-0.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.21(-0.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.74(-1.37%)
To recent high   -19.2%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 1.97% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080914

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_14_2008	55.01	49.74	49.21	49.25	49.04	48.61	49.06(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-70	-7	-49	1.9	41%	-0.13	5.6	1.68%	0	-0.7	41	0
2	Aug_13_2008	55.08	49.73	49.3	49.15	49.19	48.82	48.4(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-40	-50	-30	-71	4.38	41%	-0.13	0	1.67%	0	-1.4	38	0
3	Aug_12_2008	55.15	49.78	49.54	49.49	49.33	49.47	49(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	10	-8	-55	1.85	41%	-0.09	13.7	1.66%	0	-0.8	39	0
4	Aug_11_2008	55.2	49.73	49.73	49.59	49.53	49.55	49.91(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	-0	20	-33	1.66	42%	-0.11	11.7	1.67%	0	0.2	51	0
5	Aug_8_2008	55.26	49.7	49.74	49.27	49.41	49.2	49.88(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-16	-20	-4	-50	1.43	40%	-0.05	5.9	1.69%	0	0.2	54	0

6	Aug_7_2008	55.29	49.69	49.86	49.19	49.22	49.51	48.55(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	40	-14	-41	2.15	34%	-0.04	4.4	1.65%	0	-1.1	54	0
7	Aug_6_2008	55.31	49.73	50.13	49.48	49.39	49.62	50.09(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	12	30	16	-1	3.05	36%	-0.04	12.3	1.67%	0	0.3	59	0
8	Aug_5_2008	55.33	49.64	50.25	49.61	49.47	48.93	49.51(2.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-15	-80	-21	5	2.76	36%	-0.02	5.7	1.66%	0	-0.1	54	0
9	Aug_4_2008	55.34	49.62	50.3	49.93	49.85	49.15	48.33(-2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-26	-100	-43	24	3.26	33%	-0.04	5.1	1.63%	0	-1.2	56	0
10	Aug_1_2008	55.36	49.62	50.43	50.27	50.3	50.01	49.47(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-11	-40	-30	45	2.15	35%	-0.07	2.3	1.61%	0	-0.2	52	0

11	Jul_31_2008	55.4	49.64	50.34	50.62	50.51	50.56	49.98(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	0	-10	60	1.83	35%	-0.09	1.4	1.62%	0	0.3	53	0
12	Jul_30_2008	55.45	49.6	50.23	50.86	50.72	50.58	50.78(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-30	-3	70	2.97	35%	-0.11	-9.3	1.63%	0	1.1	57	0
13	Jul_29_2008	55.51	49.58	50.07	50.98	50.92	50.46	51.07(2.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-70	-9	81	2.2	35%	-0.04	-17	1.64%	0	1.4	64	0
14	Jul_28_2008	55.53	49.56	49.75	50.75	51.06	50.85	50.04(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-10	-8	67	1.66	31%	-0.09	-32.5	1.62%	0	0.5	55	0
15	Jul_25_2008	55.58	49.62	49.67	50.6	50.81	51.38	51.21(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	90	26	80	1.84	33%	-0.09	-43.8	1.6%	0	1.4	62	0

16	Jul_24_2008	55.63	49.63	49.49	50.01	50.38	51.28	51.22(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	63	150	60	71	4.63	33%	-0.13	-70.3	1.61%	0	1.4	57	0
17	Jul_23_2008	55.7	49.7	49.27	49.5	49.57	50.24	51.38(2.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	45	100	45	45	4.24	38%	-0.09	-78.3	1.61%	0	1.2	59	0
18	Jul_22_2008	55.75	49.76	48.93	49.05	49.03	49.48	49.91(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	60	34	5	1.97	33%	-0.13	-87.5	1.61%	0	0.1	45	0
19	Jul_21_2008	55.82	49.9	48.83	49.05	48.74	48.91	49.26(2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	30	18	-34	1.73	33%	-0.14	-90.8	1.61%	0	-0.4	40	0
20	Jul_18_2008	55.9	50.11	48.76	48.62	48.32	48.58	48.29(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	20	-11	-66	2.15	30%	-0.2	-86.3	1.6%	0	-1	34	0

21	Jul_17_2008	56.01	50.47	48.87	48.87	48.6	48.56	48.66(-0.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-20	10	-64	2.99	30%	-0.2	-70.3	1.61%	0	-0.8	33	0
22	Jul_16_2008	56.12	50.8	48.92	49	48.74	48.06	49.11(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-36	-110	-16	-97	3.2	30%	-0.18	-62.7	1.61%	0	-0.7	29	0
23	Jul_15_2008	56.22	51.11	49.05	48.8	48.91	48.63	47.79(-2.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-60	-30	-36	-133	3.57	24%	-0.2	-61.6	1.58%	0	-1.3	22	0
24	Jul_14_2008	56.33	51.48	49.37	49.04	49.15	49.43	49.24(-0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	50	15	-122	1.29	27%	-0.16	-62.7	1.55%	0	-0.9	25	0
25	Jul_11_2008	56.42	51.77	49.57	48.92	48.9	49.2	49.57(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-25	40	15	-144	2.68	27%		-66.4	1.55%	0	-0.8	24	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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