Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 24, 2008

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $51.2200 (-0.31%) ($51.0000 - $52.1800) on Thu. Jul. 24, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $51.2200(-0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(89%)    VWO(84%)    FXI(78%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(74%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(12%)    LQD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.01(2.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.49(3.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.63(3.2%)
To recent high   -16.5%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2.36% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.61%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.68%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.15%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080824

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_24_2008	55.63	49.63	49.49	50.01	50.38	51.28	51.22(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	63	150	60	71	4.63	33%	-0.13	-70.3	1.61%	0	1.4	57	0
2	Jul_23_2008	55.7	49.7	49.27	49.5	49.57	50.24	51.38(2.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	45	100	45	45	4.24	38%	-0.09	-78.3	1.61%	0	1.2	59	0
3	Jul_22_2008	55.75	49.76	48.93	49.05	49.03	49.48	49.91(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	60	34	5	1.97	33%	-0.13	-87.5	1.61%	0	0.1	45	0
4	Jul_21_2008	55.82	49.9	48.83	49.05	48.74	48.91	49.26(2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	30	18	-34	1.73	33%	-0.14	-90.8	1.61%	0	-0.4	40	0
5	Jul_18_2008	55.9	50.11	48.76	48.62	48.32	48.58	48.29(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	20	-11	-66	2.15	30%	-0.2	-86.3	1.6%	0	-1	34	0

6	Jul_17_2008	56.01	50.47	48.87	48.87	48.6	48.56	48.66(-0.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-20	10	-64	2.99	30%	-0.2	-70.3	1.61%	0	-0.8	33	0
7	Jul_16_2008	56.12	50.8	48.92	49	48.74	48.06	49.11(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-36	-110	-16	-97	3.2	30%	-0.18	-62.7	1.61%	0	-0.7	29	0
8	Jul_15_2008	56.22	51.11	49.05	48.8	48.91	48.63	47.79(-2.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-60	-30	-36	-133	3.57	24%	-0.2	-61.6	1.58%	0	-1.3	22	0
9	Jul_14_2008	56.33	51.48	49.37	49.04	49.15	49.43	49.24(-0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	50	15	-122	1.29	27%	-0.16	-62.7	1.55%	0	-0.9	25	0
10	Jul_11_2008	56.42	51.77	49.57	48.92	48.9	49.2	49.57(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-25	40	15	-144	2.68	27%	-0.12	-66.4	1.55%	0	-0.8	24	0

11	Jul_10_2008	56.49	52.04	49.78	48.88	48.72	48.88	49.29(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-38	10	8	-176	2.65	27%	-0.16	-73.7	1.55%	0	-1.1	17	0
12	Jul_9_2008	56.58	52.33	50.15	48.86	48.81	48.59	48.1(-1.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-66	-30	-18	-209	3.41	21%	-0.19	-80.1	1.52%	0	-1.6	9	0
13	Jul_8_2008	56.69	52.73	50.64	49.36	49.09	48.57	48.98(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-80	-90	-35	-216	4.17	22%	-0.14	-83.5	1.51%	0	-1.5	10	0
14	Jul_7_2008	56.77	53.12	51.06	49.77	49.56	49.02	48.66(-1.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-89	-90	-46	-219	3.73	22%	-0.16	-84.4	1.51%	0	-1.8	12	0
15	Jul_3_2008	56.86	53.55	51.57	50.32	50.18	49.61	49.39(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-81	-90	-39	-207	3.58	22%	-0.12	-79.5	1.5%	0	-1.6	14	0

16	Jul_2_2008	56.93	54.04	52.19	50.81	50.68	50.1	49.17(-2.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-88	-90	-54	-189	2.97	22%	-0.14	-76.1	1.51%	0	-1.9	15	0
17	Jul_1_2008	57.01	54.51	52.84	51.62	51.27	50.74	50.58(-0.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-73	-90	-45	-156	3.23	35%	-0.12	-71.4	1.48%	0	-1.7	17	0
18	Jun_30_2008	57.08	54.89	53.35	52.11	52.02	51.26	51.04(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-61	-110	-38	-128	1.36	35%	-0.09	-67.8	1.58%	0	-1.7	16	0
19	Jun_27_2008	57.13	55.28	53.78	52.55	52.57	51.79	51.42(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-72	-100	-52	-130	2.42	35%	-0.07	-60.6	1.57%	0	-1.7	14	0
20	Jun_26_2008	57.17	55.68	54.17	53.01	53.06	52.79	51.85(-2.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-65	-30	-45	-123	4.5	35%	-0.07	-55.9	1.57%	0	-1.8	15	0

21	Jun_25_2008	57.21	56.03	54.49	53.79	53.53	53.34	53.21(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-40	-21	-114	2.47	39%	-0.03	-48.7	1.54%	0	-1.4	13	0
22	Jun_24_2008	57.23	56.26	54.71	54.27	54.05	53.33	53.04(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-58	-110	-36	-122	1.49	46%	-0.1	-46.3	1.55%	0	-1.7	20	0
23	Jun_23_2008	57.29	56.51	54.99	54.79	54.62	53.72	53.23(-0.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-70	-120	-53	-122	1.46	46%	-0.07	-47.6	1.61%	0	-1.8	23	0
24	Jun_20_2008	57.33	56.71	55.36	55.18	55.24	54.77	53.73(-3.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	1	-60	30	-87	3.67	52%	-0.05	-57.4	1.62%	0	-1.9	22	0
25	Jun_19_2008	57.36	56.93	55.69	55.46	52.06	55.52	55.75(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	280	0	-104	1.46	58%		-65.1	1.62%	0	-0.8	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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