Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 11, 2008

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $49.5700 (0.57%) ($48.7400 - $50.0000) on Fri. Jul. 11, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $49.5700(0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY declines -3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(89%)    VWO(84%)    FXI(78%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(74%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(12%)    LQD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $40.35(-18.6%)
Resistance Level   $51.77
5 Day Moving Average   $48.92(1.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.57(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.77(-4.25%)
To recent high   -19.2%
To recent low   3.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 5% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.33%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.18%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.16%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.53%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.95%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080811

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2008	56.42	51.77	49.57	48.92	48.9	49.2	49.57(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-25	40	15	-144	2.68	27%	-0.12	-66.4	1.55%	0	-0.8	24	NAN
2	Jul_10_2008	56.49	52.04	49.78	48.88	48.72	48.88	49.29(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-38	10	8	-176	2.65	27%	-0.16	-73.7	1.55%	0	-1.1	17	NAN
3	Jul_9_2008	56.58	52.33	50.15	48.86	48.81	48.59	48.1(-1.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-66	-30	-18	-209	3.41	21%	-0.19	-80.1	1.52%	0	-1.6	9	NAN
4	Jul_8_2008	56.69	52.73	50.64	49.36	49.09	48.57	48.98(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-80	-90	-35	-216	4.17	22%	-0.14	-83.5	1.51%	0	-1.5	10	NAN
5	Jul_7_2008	56.77	53.12	51.06	49.77	49.56	49.02	48.66(-1.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-89	-90	-46	-219	3.73	22%	-0.16	-84.4	1.51%	0	-1.8	12	NAN

6	Jul_3_2008	56.86	53.55	51.57	50.32	50.18	49.61	49.39(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-81	-90	-39	-207	3.58	22%	-0.12	-79.5	1.5%	0	-1.6	14	NAN
7	Jul_2_2008	56.93	54.04	52.19	50.81	50.68	50.1	49.17(-2.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-88	-90	-54	-189	2.97	22%	-0.14	-76.1	1.51%	0	-1.9	15	NAN
8	Jul_1_2008	57.01	54.51	52.84	51.62	51.27	50.74	50.58(-0.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-73	-90	-45	-156	3.23	35%	-0.12	-71.4	1.48%	0	-1.7	17	NAN
9	Jun_30_2008	57.08	54.89	53.35	52.11	52.02	51.26	51.04(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-61	-110	-38	-128	1.36	35%	-0.09	-67.8	1.58%	0	-1.7	16	NAN
10	Jun_27_2008	57.13	55.28	53.78	52.55	52.57	51.79	51.42(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-72	-100	-52	-130	2.42	35%	-0.07	-60.6	1.57%	0	-1.7	14	NAN

11	Jun_26_2008	57.17	55.68	54.17	53.01	53.06	52.79	51.85(-2.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-65	-30	-45	-123	4.5	35%	-0.07	-55.9	1.57%	0	-1.8	15	NAN
12	Jun_25_2008	57.21	56.03	54.49	53.79	53.53	53.34	53.21(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-40	-21	-114	2.47	39%	-0.03	-48.7	1.54%	0	-1.4	13	NAN
13	Jun_24_2008	57.23	56.26	54.71	54.27	54.05	53.33	53.04(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-58	-110	-36	-122	1.49	46%	-0.1	-46.3	1.55%	0	-1.7	20	NAN
14	Jun_23_2008	57.29	56.51	54.99	54.79	54.62	53.72	53.23(-0.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-70	-120	-53	-122	1.46	46%	-0.07	-47.6	1.61%	0	-1.8	23	NAN
15	Jun_20_2008	57.33	56.71	55.36	55.18	55.24	54.77	53.73(-3.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	1	-60	30	-87	3.67	52%	-0.05	-57.4	1.62%	0	-1.9	22	NAN

16	Jun_19_2008	57.36	56.93	55.69	55.46	52.06	55.52	55.75(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	280	0	-104	1.46	58%	0.02	-65.1	1.62%	0	-0.8	25	NAN
17	Jun_18_2008	57.35	57.02	56.01	55.29	51.93	55.72	55.61(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	162	330	222	-18	4.45	63%	-0.02	-72.3	1.64%	0	-1	32	NAN
18	Jun_17_2008	57.36	57.16	56.27	55.22	51.76	48.59	55.63(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	-620	14	-96	2.36	59%	0	-74.4	1.72%	0	-1.1	40	NAN
19	Jun_16_2008	57.36	57.38	56.51	55.25	51.69	48.14	55.19(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-248	-670	-263	-204	1.2	59%	-0.03	-65.5	1.75%	0	-1.5	37	NAN
20	Jun_13_2008	57.38	57.65	56.87	55.59	55.28	54.93	55.13(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-60	-24	-85	1.67	50%	-0.03	-48.2	1.83%	0	-1.6	44	NAN

21	Jun_12_2008	57.4	57.9	57.3	55.97	55.75	55.24	54.89(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-46	-80	-38	-71	5.3	47%	-0.02	-38.7	1.87%	0	-2	38	NAN
22	Jun_11_2008	57.41	58.09	57.69	56.84	56.47	55.62	55.27(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-42	-120	-42	-41	1.87	52%	-0.02	-28.2	1.89%	0	-2.1	42	NAN
23	Jun_10_2008	57.42	58.24	57.96	57.46	57.31	56.26	55.78(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-42	-140	-47	-27	3.85	50%	-0.03	-29.6	1.96%	0	-2.1	40	NAN
24	Jun_9_2008	57.44	58.38	58.19	57.95	58.04	57.32	56.87(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-80	-39	-21	2.19	50%	-0.02	-33.3	1.97%	0	-1.4	36	NAN
25	Jun_6_2008	57.45	58.41	58.21	58.33	58.45	58.37	57.03(-3.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-0	-22	-21	3.81	48%		-42	1.98%	0	-1.3	35	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.