Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 3, 2008

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $49.3900 (0.45%) ($48.6800 - $49.8200) on Thu. Jul. 3, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   14
Latest Price   $49.3900(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY declines -4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(89%)    VWO(84%)    FXI(78%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(74%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(12%)    LQD(18%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $42.02(-14.92%)
Resistance Level   $53.55
5 Day Moving Average   $50.32(-1.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.57(-4.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.55(-7.77%)
To recent high   -19.5%
To recent low   0.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 4.82% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.3%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.9%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -5.11%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.53%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080803

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_3_2008	56.86	53.55	51.57	50.32	50.18	49.61	49.39(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-81	-90	-39	-207	3.58	22%	-0.12	-79.5	1.5%	0	-1.6	14	NAN
2	Jul_2_2008	56.93	54.04	52.19	50.81	50.68	50.1	49.17(-2.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-88	-90	-54	-189	2.97	22%	-0.14	-76.1	1.51%	0	-1.9	15	NAN
3	Jul_1_2008	57.01	54.51	52.84	51.62	51.27	50.74	50.58(-0.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-73	-90	-45	-156	3.23	35%	-0.12	-71.4	1.48%	0	-1.7	17	NAN
4	Jun_30_2008	57.08	54.89	53.35	52.11	52.02	51.26	51.04(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-61	-110	-38	-128	1.36	35%	-0.09	-67.8	1.58%	0	-1.7	16	NAN
5	Jun_27_2008	57.13	55.28	53.78	52.55	52.57	51.79	51.42(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-72	-100	-52	-130	2.42	35%	-0.07	-60.6	1.57%	0	-1.7	14	NAN

6	Jun_26_2008	57.17	55.68	54.17	53.01	53.06	52.79	51.85(-2.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-65	-30	-45	-123	4.5	35%	-0.07	-55.9	1.57%	0	-1.8	15	NAN
7	Jun_25_2008	57.21	56.03	54.49	53.79	53.53	53.34	53.21(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-40	-21	-114	2.47	39%	-0.03	-48.7	1.54%	0	-1.4	13	NAN
8	Jun_24_2008	57.23	56.26	54.71	54.27	54.05	53.33	53.04(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-58	-110	-36	-122	1.49	46%	-0.1	-46.3	1.55%	0	-1.7	20	NAN
9	Jun_23_2008	57.29	56.51	54.99	54.79	54.62	53.72	53.23(-0.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-70	-120	-53	-122	1.46	46%	-0.07	-47.6	1.61%	0	-1.8	23	NAN
10	Jun_20_2008	57.33	56.71	55.36	55.18	55.24	54.77	53.73(-3.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	1	-60	30	-87	3.67	52%	-0.05	-57.4	1.62%	0	-1.9	22	NAN

11	Jun_19_2008	57.36	56.93	55.69	55.46	52.06	55.52	55.75(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	280	0	-104	1.46	58%	0.02	-65.1	1.62%	0	-0.8	25	NAN
12	Jun_18_2008	57.35	57.02	56.01	55.29	51.93	55.72	55.61(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	162	330	222	-18	4.45	63%	-0.02	-72.3	1.64%	0	-1	32	NAN
13	Jun_17_2008	57.36	57.16	56.27	55.22	51.76	48.59	55.63(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	-620	14	-96	2.36	59%	0	-74.4	1.72%	0	-1.1	40	NAN
14	Jun_16_2008	57.36	57.38	56.51	55.25	51.69	48.14	55.19(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-248	-670	-263	-204	1.2	59%	-0.03	-65.5	1.75%	0	-1.5	37	NAN
15	Jun_13_2008	57.38	57.65	56.87	55.59	55.28	54.93	55.13(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-60	-24	-85	1.67	50%	-0.03	-48.2	1.83%	0	-1.6	44	NAN

16	Jun_12_2008	57.4	57.9	57.3	55.97	55.75	55.24	54.89(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-46	-80	-38	-71	5.3	47%	-0.02	-38.7	1.87%	0	-2	38	NAN
17	Jun_11_2008	57.41	58.09	57.69	56.84	56.47	55.62	55.27(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-42	-120	-42	-41	1.87	52%	-0.02	-28.2	1.89%	0	-2.1	42	NAN
18	Jun_10_2008	57.42	58.24	57.96	57.46	57.31	56.26	55.78(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-42	-140	-47	-27	3.85	50%	-0.03	-29.6	1.96%	0	-2.1	40	NAN
19	Jun_9_2008	57.44	58.38	58.19	57.95	58.04	57.32	56.87(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-80	-39	-21	2.19	50%	-0.02	-33.3	1.97%	0	-1.4	36	NAN
20	Jun_6_2008	57.45	58.41	58.21	58.33	58.45	58.37	57.03(-3.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-0	-22	-21	3.81	48%	0	-42	1.98%	0	-1.3	35	NAN

21	Jun_5_2008	57.45	58.5	58.31	58.81	58.69	58.76	59.24(1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	0	6	-7	1.75	51%	0.03	-41.1	1.95%	0	0.8	44	NAN
22	Jun_4_2008	57.43	58.47	58.14	58.69	58.81	58.54	58.39(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-30	0	-17	2.59	51%	0.02	-52.4	1.94%	0	-0.1	51	NAN
23	Jun_3_2008	57.42	58.6	58.12	58.54	58.83	58.62	58.21(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10	-7	-23	3.58	51%	-0.05	-42	1.95%	0	-0.3	52	NAN
24	Jun_2_2008	57.45	58.73	58.29	58.45	58.58	59.09	58.79(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	70	13	-10	1.28	51%	-0.03	-38.4	1.94%	0	0	53	NAN
25	May_30_2008	57.47	58.84	58.45	58.05	58.26	59.05	59.41(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	110	40	6	1.67	51%		-40.8	1.95%	0	0.4	60	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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