Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 11, 2007

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $72.0000 (-0.3%) ($71.2800 - $73.9900) on Thu. Oct. 11, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.3% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $72.0000(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(89%)    VWO(84%)    FXI(78%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(74%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -1.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-9%)    PCY(-1%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.15% (StdDev 2.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $71.87(0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.22(1.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.19(4.06%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   27.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 3.84% (three month std-dev: 2.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.75%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.58%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.85%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.97%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.94%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_11_2007	63.78	69.19	71.22	71.87	71.87	72.37	72(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	50	16	77	3.53	53%	0.24	83.9	2.3%	0	1.1	69	0
2	Oct_10_2007	63.63	68.81	70.92	71.66	71.61	71.92	72.22(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	30	19	83	2.06	52%	0.25	76.8	2.31%	0	1.2	73	0
3	Oct_9_2007	63.47	68.35	70.54	71.32	71.34	71.38	72(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	0	5	76	2.86	52%	0.25	72.9	2.31%	0	1.3	67	0
4	Oct_8_2007	63.31	67.93	70.09	71.3	71.12	71.38	71.2(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	18	10	-2	78	1.24	52%	0.25	69.6	2.31%	0	1.1	69	0
5	Oct_5_2007	63.15	67.5	69.78	71.23	71.32	71.3	71.94(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	0	23	103	2.14	54%	0.25	65.5	2.32%	0	1.5	77	0

6	Oct_4_2007	62.99	67.03	69.34	70.45	70.88	70.94	70.93(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	20	4	92	1.17	54%	0.22	62.1	2.32%	0	1.4	73	0
7	Oct_3_2007	62.85	66.69	68.91	70.05	70.23	71.35	70.55(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	120	24	101	2.72	55%	0.26	62.1	2.34%	0	1.4	73	0
8	Oct_2_2007	62.69	66.32	68.59	69.6	69.65	70.83	71.9(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	76	120	59	125	4.03	56%	0.26	67.8	2.33%	0	2.1	81	0
9	Oct_1_2007	62.53	65.93	68.01	68.7	68.76	69.12	70.82(4.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	40	30	105	2.53	56%	0.24	73.1	2.34%	0	2.1	75	0
10	Sep_28_2007	62.38	65.58	67.33	68.15	68.06	68.47	68.06(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	40	3	93	2.15	54%	0.21	80.1	2.3%	0	1.2	74	0

11	Sep_27_2007	62.25	65.29	67	68.05	68.02	68.4	68.9(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	40	26	110	1.82	54%	0.21	82.5	2.29%	0	1.7	75	0
12	Sep_26_2007	62.12	65	66.53	67.59	67.72	67.66	68.32(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-0	8	94	1.7	54%	0.21	88.2	2.29%	0	1.7	63	0
13	Sep_25_2007	61.99	64.56	66	67.41	67.36	67.63	67.38(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	20	30	-2	87	1.68	54%	0.19	83.4	2.29%	0	1.3	65	0
14	Sep_24_2007	61.87	64.24	65.63	67.19	67.46	67.79	68.1(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	50	36	96	1.15	54%	0.23	85.1	2.28%	0	1.8	60	0
15	Sep_21_2007	61.73	63.93	65.05	66.38	66.69	67.1	67.56(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	60	19	64	1.69	54%	0.21	89.5	2.31%	0	1.8	60	0

16	Sep_20_2007	61.6	63.59	64.55	65.77	65.81	67.13	66.6(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	140	32	58	2.19	53%	0.2	97.3	2.31%	0	1.6	64	0
17	Sep_19_2007	61.48	63.29	64.3	65.3	65.23	66.29	67.42(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	63	110	62	65	3.43	53%	0.24	99.7	2.32%	0	2.2	63	0
18	Sep_18_2007	61.33	62.83	63.85	64.39	64.38	64.49	66.29(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	10	22	43	4.62	53%	0.21	78.7	2.31%	0	1.8	70	0
19	Sep_17_2007	61.2	62.45	63.85	63.86	63.79	64.18	64.02(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	40	6	40	1.32	51%	0.18	61.8	2.27%	0	0.8	61	0
20	Sep_14_2007	61.09	62.19	63.65	63.51	63.56	64.26	64.52(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	80	31	50	1.96	52%	0.16	45.4	2.27%	0	1.1	57	0

21	Sep_13_2007	60.99	61.79	63.44	63.14	63.05	63.4	64.24(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	30	16	42	1.88	53%	0.18	22.7	2.29%	0	1.1	60	0
22	Sep_12_2007	60.88	61.5	63.32	63.16	62.74	62.85	62.89(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-10	-3	44	3.02	53%	0.15	7.9	2.29%	0	0.6	58	0
23	Sep_11_2007	60.79	61.38	63.03	63.22	63.15	62.71	63.61(2.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-50	-2	53	1.36	53%	0.16	0.8	2.28%	0	1	66	0
24	Sep_10_2007	60.69	61.29	63.03	63.44	63.21	62.62	62.28(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-80	-33	57	2.56	53%	0.15	-0.8	2.27%	0	0.4	62	0
25	Sep_7_2007	60.6	61.27	62.77	63.81	63.7	63.59	62.67(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-20	-8	92	2.01	54%		4.1	2.28%	0	0.6	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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