Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 17, 2007

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $56.1000 (-1.02%) ($55.9400 - $56.3900) on Thu. May. 17, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $56.1000(-1.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(89%)    VWO(84%)    FXI(78%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(74%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(12%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.12(-0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.75(0.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.89(2.2%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   19.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.43%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.9%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.17%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.08%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.16%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.17%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070617

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_17_2007	50.77	54.89	55.75	56.12		56.28	56.1(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	28	20	12	77	1.47	62%	0.12	60.5	1.61%	0	1.1	64	0
2	May_16_2007	50.71	54.74	55.64	55.9	56.07	56.05	56.68(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	10	11	76	2.14	62%	0.16	53.3	1.62%	0	1.8	64	0
3	May_15_2007	50.63	54.57	55.42	55.8	55.87	55.87	55.55(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	0	-7	71	0.96	60%	0.1	59.6	1.6%	0	1	59	0
4	May_14_2007	50.58	54.47	55.23	55.76	55.93	56.09	55.85(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	30	12	76	0.64	62%	0.14	63.9	1.6%	0	1.4	62	0
5	May_11_2007	50.51	54.37	54.97	55.67	55.73	55.88	56.4(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	20	15	72	1.52	63%	0.14	71.9	1.58%	0	2.2	66	0

6	May_10_2007	50.44	54.23	54.68	55.67	55.54	55.78	55(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	21	40	9	55	1.44	61%	0.12	79.1	1.57%	0	1	59	0
7	May_9_2007	50.38	54.17	54.58	55.32	55.36	55.59	56.21(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	30	22	69	0.78	64%	0.14	84.1	1.55%	0	2.4	74	0
8	May_8_2007	50.31	53.98	54.36	54.99	55.11	55.3	55.35(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	30	19	59	0.76	62%	0.12	86.3	1.55%	0	1.8	64	0
9	May_7_2007	50.25	53.85	54.21	54.62	54.86	55.13	55.41(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	50	29	52	0.95	62%	0.12	84.3	1.55%	0	2.2	65	0
10	May_4_2007	50.19	53.71	54.03	54.15	54.32	54.91	54.65(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	90	23	30	0.9	63%	0.1	92.3	1.53%	0	1.5	54	0

11	May_3_2007	50.14	53.6	53.95	53.93	53.95	54.59	55(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	35	80	37	28	1.22	63%	0.12	92.6	1.53%	0	2.2	59	0
12	May_2_2007	50.08	53.46	53.75	53.73	53.72	53.73	54.52(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	14	0	16	7	0.76	64%	0.14	106.9	1.54%	0	1.7	56	0
13	May_1_2007	50.01	53.34	53.64	53.66	53.67	53.31	53.5(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-50	-19	-4	0.87	65%	0.1	117.8	1.53%	0	0.3	61	0
14	Apr_30_2007	49.96	53.25	53.65	53.75	53.87	53.71	53.06(-0.93%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-11	-10	-16	6	0.97	65%	0.1	106.3	1.55%	0	-0.2	56	0
15	Apr_27_2007	49.91	53.14	53.74	53.88	54.03	54.02	53.56(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	10	-1	26	0.85	65%	0.08	89.4	1.54%	0	0.4	60	0

16	Apr_26_2007	49.87	53.01	53.77	53.94	53.98	54.02	54.01(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	10	5	41	0.63	65%	0.1	84	1.55%	0	0.9	68	0
17	Apr_25_2007	49.82	52.81	53.75	53.76	53.93	54.04	54.15(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	20	13	47	0.99	61%	0.08	60.9	1.55%	0	1.1	71	0
18	Apr_24_2007	49.78	52.62	53.59	53.64	53.61	53.92	53.96(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	40	8	44	1.08	63%	0.08	55	1.59%	0	1	71	0
19	Apr_23_2007	49.74	52.45	53.47	53.54	53.49	53.81	53.71(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	40	15	52	0.47	64%	0.1	53.5	1.61%	0	0.9	75	0
20	Apr_20_2007	49.69	52.3	53.38	53.6	53.44	53.31	53.89(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	20	-30	5	66	0.54	63%	0.08	59.3	1.6%	0	1.2	81	0

21	Apr_19_2007	49.65	52.14	53.23	53.58	53.46	53.16	53.07(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-50	-20	66	1.05	63%	0.08	63.5	1.61%	0	0.7	74	0
22	Apr_18_2007	49.61	52.06	53.16	53.73	53.66	53.57	53.55(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	-20	-1	99	0.95	63%	0.1	77	1.6%	0	1.1	84	0
23	Apr_17_2007	49.56	51.9	53.03	53.53	53.64	53.57	53.49(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	33	20	7	109	1.13	63%	0.1	80.8	1.61%	0	1.2	77	0
24	Apr_16_2007	49.51	51.75	52.82	53.37	53.48	53.76	54(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	43	40	19	116	0.91	63%	0.1	79.4	1.6%	0	1.8	76	0
25	Apr_13_2007	49.46	51.51	52.49	53.12	53.18	53.53	53.78(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	50	20	108	0.68	63%		75.5	1.6%	0	1.8	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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