Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 9, 2007

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $56.2100 (1.55%) ($55.6200 - $56.2600) on Wed. May. 9, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $56.2100(1.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(89%)    VWO(84%)    FXI(78%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(74%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(12%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.32(1.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.58(2.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.17(3.77%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 1.57% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.11%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.27%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.94%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.76%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.09%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.08%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070609

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_9_2007	50.38	54.17	54.58	55.32	55.36	55.59	56.21(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	30	22	69	0.78	64%	0.14	84.1	1.55%	0	2.4	74	NAN
2	May_8_2007	50.31	53.98	54.36	54.99	55.11	55.3	55.35(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	30	19	59	0.76	62%	0.12	86.3	1.55%	0	1.8	64	NAN
3	May_7_2007	50.25	53.85	54.21	54.62	54.86	55.13	55.41(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	50	29	52	0.95	62%	0.12	84.3	1.55%	0	2.2	65	NAN
4	May_4_2007	50.19	53.71	54.03	54.15	54.32	54.91	54.65(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	90	23	30	0.9	63%	0.1	92.3	1.53%	0	1.5	54	NAN
5	May_3_2007	50.14	53.6	53.95	53.93	53.95	54.59	55(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	35	80	37	28	1.22	63%	0.12	92.6	1.53%	0	2.2	59	NAN

6	May_2_2007	50.08	53.46	53.75	53.73	53.72	53.73	54.52(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	14	0	16	7	0.76	64%	0.14	106.9	1.54%	0	1.7	56	NAN
7	May_1_2007	50.01	53.34	53.64	53.66	53.67	53.31	53.5(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-50	-19	-4	0.87	65%	0.1	117.8	1.53%	0	0.3	61	NAN
8	Apr_30_2007	49.96	53.25	53.65	53.75	53.87	53.71	53.06(-0.93%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-11	-10	-16	6	0.97	65%	0.1	106.3	1.55%	0	-0.2	56	NAN
9	Apr_27_2007	49.91	53.14	53.74	53.88	54.03	54.02	53.56(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	10	-1	26	0.85	65%	0.08	89.4	1.54%	0	0.4	60	NAN
10	Apr_26_2007	49.87	53.01	53.77	53.94	53.98	54.02	54.01(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	10	5	41	0.63	65%	0.1	84	1.55%	0	0.9	68	NAN

11	Apr_25_2007	49.82	52.81	53.75	53.76	53.93	54.04	54.15(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	20	13	47	0.99	61%	0.08	60.9	1.55%	0	1.1	71	NAN
12	Apr_24_2007	49.78	52.62	53.59	53.64	53.61	53.92	53.96(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	40	8	44	1.08	63%	0.08	55	1.59%	0	1	71	NAN
13	Apr_23_2007	49.74	52.45	53.47	53.54	53.49	53.81	53.71(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	40	15	52	0.47	64%	0.1	53.5	1.61%	0	0.9	75	NAN
14	Apr_20_2007	49.69	52.3	53.38	53.6	53.44	53.31	53.89(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	20	-30	5	66	0.54	63%	0.08	59.3	1.6%	0	1.2	81	NAN
15	Apr_19_2007	49.65	52.14	53.23	53.58	53.46	53.16	53.07(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-50	-20	66	1.05	63%	0.08	63.5	1.61%	0	0.7	74	NAN

16	Apr_18_2007	49.61	52.06	53.16	53.73	53.66	53.57	53.55(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	-20	-1	99	0.95	63%	0.1	77	1.6%	0	1.1	84	NAN
17	Apr_17_2007	49.56	51.9	53.03	53.53	53.64	53.57	53.49(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	33	20	7	109	1.13	63%	0.1	80.8	1.61%	0	1.2	77	NAN
18	Apr_16_2007	49.51	51.75	52.82	53.37	53.48	53.76	54(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	43	40	19	116	0.91	63%	0.1	79.4	1.6%	0	1.8	76	NAN
19	Apr_13_2007	49.46	51.51	52.49	53.12	53.18	53.53	53.78(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	50	20	108	0.68	63%	0.1	75.5	1.6%	0	1.8	74	NAN
20	Apr_12_2007	49.41	51.3	52.19	52.85	52.99	53.2	53.82(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	40	23	101	0.99	64%	0.08	73.5	1.62%	0	2.1	75	NAN

21	Apr_11_2007	49.37	51.07	51.79	52.53	52.73	52.84	52.57(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	30	6	71	1.29	63%	0.08	75.6	1.61%	0	1.4	55	NAN
22	Apr_10_2007	49.33	50.88	51.56	52.44	52.62	52.79	52.68(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	30	16	71	0.66	63%	0.08	68.4	1.61%	0	1.6	65	NAN
23	Apr_9_2007	49.29	50.75	51.35	52.18	52.39	52.62	52.74(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	40	23	66	0.44	61%	0.08	80.5	1.61%	0	1.8	66	NAN
24	Apr_5_2007	49.25	50.58	51.13	51.74	51.99	52.45	52.43(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	80	24	59	0.48	58%	0.06	83	1.61%	0	1.8	70	NAN
25	Apr_4_2007	49.22	50.43	50.94	51.43	51.57	52.17	52.25(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	90	40	59	1.07	57%		84.2	1.64%	0	1.8	66	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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