Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 9, 2006

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $48.4800 (0.94%) ($48.0500 - $48.7700) on Thu. Nov. 9, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $48.4800(0.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(89%)    VWO(84%)    FXI(77%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(74%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.05(0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.59(1.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.15(2.82%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 1.38% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.89%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.88%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.9%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_9_2006	45.52	47.15	47.59	48.05	48	48.09	48.48(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	10	18	80	1.01	46%	0.13	81.2	1.12%	0	2	74	0
2	Nov_8_2006	45.46	47.04	47.47	47.87	47.88	48.09	48.03(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	10	9	75	0.58	46%	0.13	62.1	1.12%	0	1.5	71	0
3	Nov_7_2006	45.4	46.91	47.37	47.69	47.8	47.92	47.9(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	20	13	72	0.7	46%	0.13	42.7	1.12%	0	1.5	68	0
4	Nov_6_2006	45.34	46.79	47.24	47.55	47.64	47.84	48.09(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	40	23	71	1.26	46%	0.11	28.3	1.12%	0	1.9	73	0
5	Nov_3_2006	45.29	46.66	47.09	47.26	47.46	47.68	47.77(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	50	30	54	0.58	46%	0.11	7.5	1.12%	0	1.8	62	0

6	Nov_2_2006	45.24	46.66	46.95	47.05	47.07	47.43	47.57(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	50	13	36	0.91	46%	0.13	6	1.12%	0	1.5	64	0
7	Nov_1_2006	45.18	46.66	46.84	47.05	46.94	47.25	47.1(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	40	25	40	0.92	41%	0.16	6.2	1.13%	0	0.8	62	0
8	Oct_31_2006	45.11	46.63	46.78	47.01	46.92	46.7	47.24(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-40	12	46	0.62	41%	0.13	6.3	1.17%	0	1	73	0
9	Oct_30_2006	45.05	46.6	46.7	47.01	46.78	46.62	46.61(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-30	-24	32	0.77	37%	0.11	0.8	1.17%	0	0	65	0
10	Oct_27_2006	45	46.62	46.72	46.88	46.87	47.13	46.75(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	40	14	61	0.79	37%	0.09	-0.8	1.18%	0	0.2	68	0

11	Oct_26_2006	44.96	46.6	46.69	46.82	46.72	46.93	47.35(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	30	26	55	0.61	39%	0.09	-3.8	1.18%	0	1.2	48	0
12	Oct_25_2006	44.92	46.6	46.58	46.64	46.5	46.61	47.08(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	10	9	23	1.99	39%	0.07	-9.3	1.18%	0	0.8	41	0
13	Oct_24_2006	44.89	46.59	46.41	46.54	46.5	46.51	46.62(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	0	6	-1	0.38	47%	0.04	-17.1	1.17%	0	0	45	0
14	Oct_23_2006	44.87	46.6	46.32	46.5	46.45	46.51	46.58(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10	-1	-18	1.56	47%	0.02	-17.6	1.23%	0	-0	47	0
15	Oct_20_2006	44.86	46.6	46.21	46.54	46.42	46.4	46.47(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10	-5	-32	0.57	47%	0	-13.7	1.23%	0	-0.2	46	0

16	Oct_19_2006	44.86	46.62	46.28	46.53	46.49	46.5	46.46(-0.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	-0	3	-20	0.65	54%	0.02	-14.3	1.24%	0	-0.3	53	0
17	Oct_18_2006	44.85	46.65	46.4	46.49	46.52	46.44	46.55(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-10	9	-16	0.76	54%	0.07	-6.6	1.32%	0	-0.2	44	0
18	Oct_17_2006	44.82	46.69	46.45	46.26	46.36	46.49	46.42(-0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	30	6	-30	1.43	54%	0.02	-2.9	1.33%	0	-0.4	45	0
19	Oct_16_2006	44.81	46.69	46.49	46.1	46.14	46.6	46.8(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	15	70	29	-29	0.95	54%	0	-2.9	1.33%	0	0.1	50	0
20	Oct_13_2006	44.81	46.69	46.5	45.84	45.86	46.23	46.43(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	60	22	-48	0.7	50%	0.02	-1.5	1.34%	0	-0.4	46	0

21	Oct_12_2006	44.8	46.71	46.49	46.02	45.55	45.68	46.27(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-10	-7	-51	1.19	50%	0	7	1.38%	0	-0.7	51	0
22	Oct_11_2006	44.8	46.69	46.6	46.32	45.75	45.48	45.4(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-26	-80	-21	-39	1.11	46%	0	18.4	1.37%	0	-1.8	41	0
23	Oct_10_2006	44.8	46.71	46.78	46.67	46.27	45.43	45.61(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-34	-150	-35	-30	1.14	50%	0	29.7	1.37%	0	-1.6	39	0
24	Oct_9_2006	44.8	46.71	46.92	46.92	46.54	46.02	45.5(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-49	-100	-57	-24	3.25	50%	-0.04	31.4	1.39%	0	-1.7	45	0
25	Oct_6_2006	44.82	46.72	47.1	47.22	46.93	47.12	47.3(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	10	8	20	0.76	57%		36	1.31%	0	0.8	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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