Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 14, 2006

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $41.6800 (4.04%) ($40.9300 - $41.7700) on Wed. Jun. 14, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $41.6800(4.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY declines -4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(84%)    FXI(78%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(74%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $33.54(-19.53%)
Resistance Level   $44.53
5 Day Moving Average   $41.48(0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.03(-3.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.53(-6.4%)
To recent high   -20.1%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 4.76% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.56%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.41%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.46%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -2.79%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.06%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.82%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060714

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_14_2006	46.88	44.53	43.03	41.48	41.57	40.85	41.68(4.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-58	-110	-19	-174	2.56	37%	-0.09	-94.7	1.7%	0	-1.3	34	0
2	Jun_13_2006	46.92	44.87	43.39	41.86	41.66	41.08	40.06(-3.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-107	-110	-78	-194	2.97	32%	-0.09	-95.8	1.63%	0	-2.2	24	0
3	Jun_12_2006	46.96	45.31	43.86	42.71	42.53	42.3	41.4(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-58	-50	-27	-150	1.31	34%	-0.04	-101.1	1.59%	0	-2	29	0
4	Jun_9_2006	46.98	45.74	44.38	43.32	43.13	42.24	41.99(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-72	-160	-49	-141	1.68	37%	-0.09	-97.9	1.61%	0	-1.9	24	0
5	Jun_8_2006	47.02	46.17	44.8	44.1	43.69	42.76	42.28(-3.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-91	-180	-79	-127	3.74	39%	-0.04	-86.9	1.61%	0	-1.9	31	0

6	Jun_7_2006	47.04	46.64	45.16	44.8	44.79	44.02	43.59(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-51	-120	-36	-94	1.86	38%	-0.04	-72.8	1.58%	0	-1.4	33	0
7	Jun_6_2006	47.06	47.04	45.4	45.15	45.17	44.62	44.3(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-48	-80	-32	-94	2.21	40%	-0.06	-63.9	1.64%	0	-1.2	31	0
8	Jun_5_2006	47.09	47.42	45.54	45.17	45.34	45.55	44.45(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	40	-17	-110	0.85	40%	-0.04	-56.6	1.64%	0	-1.2	31	0
9	Jun_2_2006	47.11	47.77	45.87	45.59	45.4	45.71	45.86(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	40	15	-95	1.19	40%	-0.02	-48.5	1.64%	0	-0.8	31	0
10	Jun_1_2006	47.12	48.03	45.97	45.62	45.47	45.14	45.82(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	-60	2	-126	1.48	42%	-0.02	-46.8	1.64%	0	-0.9	28	0

11	May_31_2006	47.13	48.27	46.13	45.59	45.51	45.09	45.3(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-64	-70	-28	-171	1.63	40%	-0.02	-48.5	1.63%	0	-1.2	23	0
12	May_30_2006	47.14	48.54	46.43	45.7	45.68	45.8	44.44(-4.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-58	20	-16	-183	1.15	37%	-0.06	-47.5	1.65%	0	-1.7	18	0
13	May_26_2006	47.17	48.83	46.86	45.94	45.97	45.94	46.54(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-44	-0	7	-198	1.35	41%	0	-50.8	1.57%	0	-1	20	0
14	May_25_2006	47.17	49	47.17	46.2	45.87	45.56	46.01(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-77	-70	-30	-216	1.89	41%	-0.02	-51.3	1.57%	0	-1.4	22	0
15	May_24_2006	47.18	49.23	47.62	46.39	46.42	46	45.65(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-72	-60	-26	-209	2.61	41%	-0.02	-51	1.58%	0	-1.7	23	0

16	May_23_2006	47.19	49.51	48.22	46.76	46.94	46.18	45.85(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-80	-100	-42	-195	1.4	41%	-0.02	-50	1.59%	0	-1.9	27	0
17	May_22_2006	47.2	49.73	48.8	47.28	47.35	46.84	45.63(-4.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-87	-70	-57	-176	3.89	41%	0.02	-49.1	1.59%	0	-2.4	26	0
18	May_19_2006	47.19	49.98	49.46	47.91	48.04	47.71	47.85(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-50	-40	-22	-132	3.44	46%	0.06	-44.6	1.47%	0	-1.5	40	0
19	May_18_2006	47.16	50.13	49.82	48.3	48.32	47.86	46.99(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-67	-70	-51	-116	2.91	43%	0.04	-32.6	1.46%	0	-2.4	37	0
20	May_17_2006	47.14	50.31	50.26	49.05	48.94	48.37	47.47(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-61	-90	-54	-80	2.18	43%	0.06	-8.7	1.47%	0	-2.6	34	0

21	May_16_2006	47.11	50.47	50.61	49.91	49.75	48.79	48.45(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-56	-140	-58	-48	1.08	46%	0.04	30.3	1.45%	0	-2.2	36	0
22	May_15_2006	47.09	50.57	50.86	50.56	50.49	49.51	48.77(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-61	-140	-75	-19	1.91	43%	0.09	64	1.45%	0	-2.2	47	0
23	May_12_2006	47.05	50.61	51	51.23	51.22	50.71	49.82(-1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-26	-70	-42	21	1.96	46%	0.13	100.7	1.57%	0	-1.1	50	0
24	May_11_2006	46.99	50.56	51.01	51.57	51.71	51.46	50.76(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-30	-11	41	1.18	48%	0.15	93.7	1.57%	0	0.2	52	0
25	May_10_2006	46.92	50.4	50.99	51.63	51.75	51.74	51.73(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	10	2	53	0.66	50%		69.5	1.56%	0	1.2	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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