Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 4, 2006

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $48.4500 (1.7%) ($47.9500 - $48.6300) on Tue. Apr. 4, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.83% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $48.4500(1.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(84%)    FXI(78%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(74%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.915% (StdDev 1.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.87(3.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.04(5.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.65(6.13%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2.52% (three month std-dev: 1.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.55%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.43%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.48%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2006	44.74	45.65	46.04	46.87	47.14	48.02	48.45(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	55	150	51	66	1.54	45%	0.18	32.1	1.83%	0	2.4	64	0
2	Apr_3_2006	44.66	45.39	45.71	46.18	46.46	47.17	47.64(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	43	130	45	35	1.84	48%	0.18	4.3	1.82%	0	2.4	61	0
3	Mar_31_2006	44.58	45.25	45.56	45.77	45.89	46.25	46.65(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	60	26	20	0.74	46%	0.16	-23.4	1.86%	0	1.8	60	0
4	Mar_30_2006	44.51	45.18	45.47	45.43	45.59	45.75	45.76(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	40	15	10	1.26	44%	0.16	-43	1.86%	0	0.7	59	0
5	Mar_29_2006	44.44	45.23	45.42	45.22	45.37	45.52	45.84(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	30	9	9	0.95	44%	0.18	-44.3	1.86%	0	0.7	65	0

6	Mar_28_2006	44.36	45.28	45.4	45.08	45.17	45.44	45.02(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	50	7	13	0.94	44%	0.16	-42.4	1.85%	0	-0.3	58	0
7	Mar_27_2006	44.29	45.35	45.47	45.16	45.02	45.21	45.59(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	20	5	31	0.79	44%	0.16	-35.4	1.84%	0	0.2	67	0
8	Mar_24_2006	44.22	45.43	45.43	45.33	45	44.9	44.95(0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-40	-8	34	0.63	44%	0.14	-21.9	1.83%	0	-0.4	50	0
9	Mar_23_2006	44.16	45.54	45.42	45.52	45.33	44.83	44.69(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-90	-14	35	1.12	44%	0.14	-11.1	1.85%	0	-0.8	46	0
10	Mar_22_2006	44.1	45.63	45.35	45.65	45.54	45.11	45.13(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-15	-70	-25	16	0.63	44%	0.16	-0.8	1.84%	0	-0.5	40	0

11	Mar_21_2006	44.03	45.68	45.27	45.77	45.69	45.82	45.45(-2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	10	-5	9	1.1	46%	0.2	2.5	1.84%	0	-0.2	40	0
12	Mar_20_2006	43.94	45.72	45.07	45.81	45.73	45.96	46.45(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	30	22	2	0.97	48%	0.23	11	1.83%	0	0.7	49	0
13	Mar_17_2006	43.84	45.68	44.92	45.55	45.48	45.55	45.9(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	10	9	-31	0.69	48%	0.23	3.3	1.82%	0	0.2	40	0
14	Mar_16_2006	43.74	45.66	44.87	45.32	45.37	45.5	45.3(-0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-3	20	13	-50	0.9	48%	0.18	-2.9	1.82%	0	-0.3	41	0
15	Mar_15_2006	43.66	45.64	45	45.01	45.16	45.42	45.73(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	50	19	-59	0.82	48%	0.23	-13.5	1.82%	0	0.1	45	0

16	Mar_14_2006	43.56	45.65	45.12	44.69	44.8	45.24	45.69(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	80	27	-62	1	48%	0.18	-18.8	1.82%	0	0	48	0
17	Mar_13_2006	43.48	45.59	45.17	44.22	44.44	44.9	45.15(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	90	21	-83	0.85	48%	0.21	-38.6	1.82%	0	-0.4	45	0
18	Mar_10_2006	43.39	45.64	45.39	44.21	44.1	44.36	44.71(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	30	3	-81	0.56	48%	0.21	-37.4	1.81%	0	-0.8	46	0
19	Mar_9_2006	43.3	45.69	45.62	44.38	44.31	43.98	43.75(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-60	-17	-74	1.67	46%	0.19	-38.4	1.8%	0	-1.7	43	0
20	Mar_8_2006	43.22	45.79	45.92	45	44.65	43.84	44.14(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-51	-150	-50	-53	1.65	46%	0.19	-34.4	1.8%	0	-1.6	50	0

21	Mar_7_2006	43.14	45.86	46.14	45.62	45.42	44.65	43.35(-3.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-44	-130	-50	-27	3.07	44%	0.14	-32.2	1.79%	0	-2.6	39	0
22	Mar_6_2006	43.08	46.04	46.46	46.23	46.18	45.47	45.1(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-25	-110	-38	15	0.96	49%	0.19	-25	1.71%	0	-1.2	57	0
23	Mar_3_2006	43	46.08	46.55	46.73	46.46	46.18	45.55(-2.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-19	-60	-37	36	1.34	49%	0.21	-22.2	1.71%	0	-0.7	49	0
24	Mar_2_2006	42.91	46.13	46.57	47.04	46.94	46.9	46.86(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10	5	68	0.76	51%	0.21	-14.6	1.68%	0	0.9	57	0
25	Mar_1_2006	42.82	46.15	46.38	46.99	46.99	46.75	47.24(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-40	0	60	0.7	54%		-9.4	1.68%	0	1.3	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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