Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 13, 2005

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $43.3200 (1.1%) ($43.0000 - $43.4100) on Tue. Dec. 13, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.56% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $43.3200(1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(84%)    FXI(77%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(74%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.78% (StdDev 1.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.59(1.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.15(2.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.34(4.79%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2.44% (three month std-dev: 1.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.68%(18%) Average negative next day return: -0.46%(82%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 0.84%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -1.64%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.35%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.01%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_13_2005	38.2	41.34	42.15	42.59	42.65	43.01	43.32(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	44	60	23	108	0.63	56%	0.21	78.3	1.56%	0	2	82	0
2	Dec_12_2005	38.12	41.19	41.87	42.41	42.46	42.56	42.85(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	20	19	101	0.53	56%	0.21	91	1.55%	0	1.8	69	0
3	Dec_9_2005	38.04	41.05	41.64	42.16	42.35	42.28	42.39(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	0	5	81	0.47	58%	0.18	100	1.55%	0	1.6	62	0
4	Dec_8_2005	37.97	40.9	41.48	41.99	42.2	42.37	42.2(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	22	40	4	74	0.57	58%	0.21	94.7	1.57%	0	1.5	61	0
5	Dec_7_2005	37.89	40.74	41.36	41.92	42.06	42.41	42.2(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	70	25	86	0.6	59%	0.19	89.8	1.57%	0	1.7	64	0

6	Dec_6_2005	37.82	40.56	41.1	41.64	41.83	42.02	42.4(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	50	29	72	0.6	60%	0.24	81.1	1.58%	0	2	68	0
7	Dec_5_2005	37.73	40.37	40.89	41.25	41.46	41.7	41.62(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	60	14	47	0.54	59%	0.19	78.5	1.57%	0	1.4	59	0
8	Dec_2_2005	37.66	40.23	40.8	41.03	41.18	41.64	41.53(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	90	22	44	0.43	60%	0.19	80.8	1.58%	0	1.4	60	0
9	Dec_1_2005	37.59	40.11	40.71	40.9	40.93	41.21	41.85(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	50	24	51	1.48	62%	0.24	95	1.59%	0	2	68	0
10	Nov_30_2005	37.5	39.97	40.55	40.73	40.93	40.72	40.79(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10	10	48	0.51	62%	0.19	110.8	1.59%	0	1	65	0

11	Nov_29_2005	37.43	39.83	40.46	40.48	40.77	40.64	40.48(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	-0	1	43	0.5	62%	0.19	100.4	1.6%	0	0.7	67	0
12	Nov_28_2005	37.36	39.68	40.45	40.46	40.46	40.82	40.5(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	12	60	-3	56	0.59	62%	0.21	86.5	1.6%	0	0.8	67	0
13	Nov_25_2005	37.28	39.49	40.42	40.52	40.41	40.89	40.88(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	80	25	84	0.27	60%	0.38	75.3	1.63%	0	1.2	71	0
14	Nov_23_2005	37.14	39.28	40.27	40.49	40.38	40.11	41(3.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-50	10	78	0.66	57%	0.24	69.1	1.68%	0	1.3	63	0
15	Nov_22_2005	37.05	39.09	40.08	40.35	40.33	39.94	39.54(-2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-70	-28	58	0.85	57%	0.08	68.6	1.63%	0	0.3	55	0

16	Nov_21_2005	37.02	38.96	40.01	40.35	40.53	40.65	40.38(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	20	30	-0	80	0.58	59%	0.22	70.8	1.64%	0	1	73	0
17	Nov_18_2005	36.94	38.81	39.84	40.42	40.42	40.72	40.81(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	50	15	101	0.45	56%	0.24	72.2	1.63%	0	1.4	81	0
18	Nov_17_2005	36.85	38.61	39.62	40.3	40.33	40.4	40.74(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	10	19	113	0.52	56%	0.22	65.9	1.68%	0	1.5	83	0
19	Nov_16_2005	36.77	38.36	39.46	40.02	40.19	40.12	40.3(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	0	7	120	0.32	53%	0.22	58.2	1.68%	0	1.4	83	0
20	Nov_15_2005	36.69	38.17	39.34	39.77	39.96	40.26	39.88(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	70	12	127	0.61	53%	0.22	50	1.71%	0	1.2	71	0

21	Nov_14_2005	36.61	37.99	39.15	39.52	39.69	40.25	40.36(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	61	110	36	137	1.84	53%	0.22	36.9	1.71%	0	1.8	77	0
22	Nov_11_2005	36.53	37.82	38.84	39.17	39.24	39.66	40.21(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	54	80	32	119	0.52	55%	0.19	26.8	1.71%	0	2	68	0
23	Nov_10_2005	36.46	37.67	38.48	38.85	38.88	39.12	39.35(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	50	11	94	0.43	53%	0.16	18.3	1.71%	0	1.6	68	0
24	Nov_9_2005	36.4	37.56	38.2	38.83	38.77	38.83	39.05(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	10	4	99	0.41	55%	0.19	18.4	1.71%	0	1.5	73	0
25	Nov_8_2005	36.33	37.49	38.01	38.85	38.82	38.64	38.61(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-30	1	107	0.28	55%		15.3	1.72%	0	1.1	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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