Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 9, 2004

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $22.4100 (2.33%) ($22.3500 - $22.5300) on Mon. Aug. 9, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.3% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $22.4100(2.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(73%)    EWJ(71%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -1.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.15% (StdDev 2.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $19.14(-14.59%)
5 Day Moving Average   $22.02(1.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.08(1.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.2(0.95%)
To recent high   -10.3%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 1.53% (three month std-dev: 2.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20040909

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_9_2004	24.82	22.2	22.08	22.02	22.18	22.26	22.41(2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	50	8	-9	0.33	36%	-0.2	-60.8	2.3%	0	0.6	48	NAN
2	Aug_6_2004	24.87	22.22	22.03	21.91	22.01	22.21	21.9(-1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-5	80	2	-26	0.2	32%	-0.2	-71	2.28%	0	-0.9	39	NAN
3	Aug_5_2004	24.92	22.27	22.04	21.94	21.92	22.1	22.25(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	50	8	-26	0.57	32%	-0.2	-78.4	2.33%	0	-0.1	47	NAN
4	Aug_4_2004	24.97	22.29	22.06	21.92	21.83	21.81	21.91(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-9	-20	-3	-27	0.29	32%	-0.2	-89.1	2.31%	0	-0.9	50	NAN
5	Aug_3_2004	25.02	22.35	22.09	22.01	21.89	21.75	21.65(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-60	-9	-24	0.14	32%	-0.2	-92.3	2.31%	0	-1.7	43	NAN

6	Aug_2_2004	25.07	22.41	22.18	22.14	22.04	21.85	21.84(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-70	-7	-21	0.1	32%	-0.16	-98.3	2.32%	0	-1.5	35	NAN
7	Jul_30_2004	25.11	22.48	22.26	22.17	22.16	22.03	22.05(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-40	-4	-21	0.1	32%	-0.2	-105.1	2.33%	0	-1.1	40	NAN
8	Jul_29_2004	25.16	22.55	22.29	22.15	22.18	22.23	22.15(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	20	-4	-27	0.35	29%	-0.2	-93.5	2.33%	0	-0.9	41	NAN
9	Jul_28_2004	25.21	22.66	22.28	22.23	22.18	22.28	22.37(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	20	5	-24	0.54	28%	-0.24	-57.8	2.41%	0	-0.5	47	NAN
10	Jul_27_2004	25.27	22.73	22.27	22.19	22.19	22.13	22.3(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-20	-2	-39	0.35	28%	-0.24	-46.5	2.47%	0	-0.7	40	NAN

11	Jul_26_2004	25.33	22.8	22.33	22.23	22.31	22.1	21.96(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-16	-60	-9	-38	0.06	27%	-0.24	-35.6	2.46%	0	-1.3	40	NAN
12	Jul_23_2004	25.39	22.91	22.42	22.36	22.4	22.26	21.96(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-40	-10	-35	0.2	27%	-0.27	-19.9	2.48%	0	-1.4	38	NAN
13	Jul_22_2004	25.46	22.98	22.42	22.45	22.54	22.51	22.54(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	0	3	-32	0.25	28%	-0.24	-12	2.47%	0	-0.7	37	NAN
14	Jul_21_2004	25.52	23	22.52	22.45	22.55	22.53	22.21(-1.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-14	20	1	-57	0.57	29%	-0.23	-16.3	2.46%	0	-1.2	28	NAN
15	Jul_20_2004	25.58	23.03	22.62	22.34	22.42	22.53	22.5(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-20	60	-4	-66	0.29	29%	-0.23	-19	2.47%	0	-0.9	36	NAN

16	Jul_19_2004	25.64	23.03	22.66	22.46	22.4	22.57	22.61(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	50	4	-66	0.13	29%	-0.19	-11.9	2.47%	0	-0.7	39	NAN
17	Jul_16_2004	25.69	23.04	22.71	22.5	22.48	22.26	22.39(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-70	-4	-75	0.11	28%	-0.16	-17.9	2.47%	0	-1	34	NAN
18	Jul_15_2004	25.73	23.06	22.83	22.6	22.56	22.22	22.01(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-110	-16	-75	0.08	28%	-0.23	-22.6	2.46%	0	-1.7	38	NAN
19	Jul_14_2004	25.79	23.1	23.06	22.72	22.74	22.69	22.2(-3.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-10	-12	-52	0.26	28%	-0.15	-36.4	2.46%	0	-1.6	49	NAN
20	Jul_13_2004	25.83	23.15	23.24	22.92	22.82	22.9	23.07(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	10	3	-26	0.16	29%	-0.19	-44.6	2.42%	0	-0.1	54	NAN

21	Jul_12_2004	25.88	23.11	23.3	22.89	22.87	22.79	22.84(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-30	-2	-18	0.17	29%	-0.15	-56.7	2.43%	0	-0.5	56	NAN
22	Jul_9_2004	25.92	23.15	23.42	22.96	22.93	22.75	22.89(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-60	-10	-3	0.21	29%	-0.23	-50.6	2.44%	0	-0.4	56	NAN
23	Jul_8_2004	25.98	23.2	23.49	23.11	23.03	22.94	22.61(-2.54%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-13	-40	-20	9	0.11	29%	-0.19	-48.3	2.45%	0	-1	51	NAN
24	Jul_7_2004	26.03	23.31	23.52	23.46	23.33	23.12	23.2(1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-80	-9	36	0.38	30%	-0.19	-32.4	2.44%	0	-0.2	58	NAN
25	Jul_6_2004	26.08	23.39	23.49	23.61	23.59	23.13	22.9(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-140	-17	41	0.39	30%		-21.4	2.43%	0	-0.7	50	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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