Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $26.4500 (0.34%) ($26.4200 - $26.5800) on Thu. Aug. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.52% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $26.4500(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWG(86%)    IVE(77%)    IWD(77%)    VT(75%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -1.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-26%)    VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-22%)    IPO(-7%)    DIA(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.26% (StdDev 2.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.09(1.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.88(2.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.8(2.52%)
To recent high   -6.8%
To recent low   14.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 1.16% (three month std-dev: 2.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 0.47%(37%) Average negative next day return: -0.66%(63%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 1.23%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -1.54%(53%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 1.48%(42%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.44%(58%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2016	26.72	25.8	25.88	26.09	26.2	26.43	26.45(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	70	12	20	0.96	44%	-0.04	64.7	2.52%	0	2.2	58	0
2	Aug_10_2016	26.73	25.77	25.8	25.89	26	26.24	26.36(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	14	80	15	12	0.64	44%	-0.04	84.2	2.52%	0	2.3	58	0
3	Aug_9_2016	26.74	25.73	25.77	25.67	25.76	25.97	26.08(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	9	70	11	2	2.86	44%	-0.07	97.8	2.52%	0	1.5	56	0
4	Aug_8_2016	26.76	25.7	25.72	25.67	25.53	25.75	25.83(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	2	60	5	-6	1.24	44%	-0.11	92.4	2.52%	0	0.5	56	0
5	Aug_5_2016	26.79	25.66	25.7	25.53	25.42	25.55	25.74(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	20	1	-8	0.69	44%	-0.07	72.9	2.52%	0	0.2	52	0

6	Aug_4_2016	26.81	25.61	25.71	25.63	25.49	25.31	25.44(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-70	-5	-4	0.83	43%	-0.07	56.1	2.52%	0	-0.4	47	0
7	Aug_3_2016	26.83	25.55	25.74	25.71	25.68	25.3	25.25(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-110	-14	-5	0.91	41%	-0.07	49.8	2.53%	0	-0.5	41	0
8	Aug_2_2016	26.85	25.51	25.79	25.88	25.84	25.67	25.39(-1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-7	-50	-11	6	0.59	41%	-0.11	56.1	2.55%	0	-0.2	48	0
9	Aug_1_2016	26.88	25.46	25.81	25.93	26	26.07	25.83(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	30	3	13	0.78	41%	-0.07	65.6	2.54%	0	0.6	55	0
10	Jul_29_2016	26.9	25.41	25.79	25.89	25.93	26	26.26(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	20	5	19	1.08	41%	-0.04	78.2	2.55%	0	1.3	75	0

11	Jul_28_2016	26.91	25.35	25.79	25.8	25.93	25.94	25.81(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	7	40	2	22	0.56	41%	-0.04	57.8	2.54%	0	0.8	74	0
12	Jul_27_2016	26.92	25.28	25.73	25.78	25.8	25.86	26.09(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	15	20	7	38	0.83	41%	0	40.4	2.54%	0	1.3	86	0
13	Jul_26_2016	26.92	25.17	25.73	25.7	25.73	25.66	25.66(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-20	-1	44	0.38	43%	-0.04	11.8	2.54%	0	0.7	79	0
14	Jul_25_2016	26.93	25.05	25.68	25.7	25.74	25.74	25.65(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	10	-1	55	0.54	43%	-0.04	-13.2	2.55%	0	0.8	78	0
15	Jul_22_2016	26.94	24.93	25.61	25.67	25.69	25.8	25.77(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	30	2	57	0.7	43%	-0.04	-28.7	2.55%	0	1	61	0

16	Jul_21_2016	26.95	25	25.51	25.66	25.69	25.74	25.74(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	20	3	56	0.56	43%	0	-17.1	2.55%	0	0.7	60	0
17	Jul_20_2016	26.95	25.03	25.35	25.68	25.64	25.57	25.7(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	14	-20	0	54	0.73	43%	0	-12.3	2.55%	0	0.6	66	0
18	Jul_19_2016	26.95	25.09	25.21	25.66	25.69	25.55	25.5(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-30	-5	55	0.47	43%	0	-5.4	2.55%	0	0.4	71	0
19	Jul_18_2016	26.95	25.15	25.08	25.68	25.76	25.71	25.66(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	-0	2	70	0.83	43%	0.04	-1.2	2.56%	0	0.4	78	0
20	Jul_15_2016	26.94	25.15	25.01	25.53	25.77	25.84	25.7(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	50	9	83	0.72	43%	0.04	-4.6	2.56%	0	0.4	78	0

21	Jul_14_2016	26.93	25.18	24.93	25.33	25.57	25.81	25.83(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	90	17	53	4.32	43%	0.04	-15.3	2.56%	0	0.5	40	0
22	Jul_13_2016	26.92	25.17	24.79	24.97	25.27	25.7	25.61(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	160	21	18	0.85	45%	0.04	-31.3	2.56%	0	0.3	46	0
23	Jul_12_2016	26.91	25.16	24.61	24.69	24.87	25.33	25.6(2.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	150	23	-24	1.85	45%	0	-46.5	2.58%	0	0.3	43	0
24	Jul_11_2016	26.91	25.17	24.36	24.41	24.46	24.84	24.91(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	110	9	-77	1.48	43%	0	-58.6	2.56%	0	-0.2	41	0
25	Jul_8_2016	26.91	25.24	24.19	24.43	24.34	24.42	24.68(2.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	10	4	-106	2.53	45%		-62.1	2.56%	0	-0.4	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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