Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $26.8900 (1.09%) ($26.4300 - $26.9400) on Tue. Apr. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $26.8900(1.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(90%)    EWG(86%)    IVE(76%)    IWD(76%)    VT(75%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-28%)    VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-23%)    IPO(-4%)    SHY(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $22.34(-16.92%)
Resistance Level   $27.13
5 Day Moving Average   $26.43(1.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.69(0.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.13(-0.88%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.25% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.71%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.61%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.92%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -11.91%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 5.53%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.26%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160512

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_12_2016	27.19	27.13	26.69	26.43	26.47	26.75	26.89(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	80	12	-56	1.13	50%	-0.15	-34.2	1.75%	0	-0.4	39	INF
2	Apr_11_2016	27.23	27.18	26.74	26.3	26.37	26.59	26.6(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	70	11	-70	1.02	50%	-0.15	-29.3	1.75%	0	-0.9	34	INF
3	Apr_8_2016	27.27	27.25	26.8	26.35	26.26	26.19	26.41(2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-30	-6	-85	3.41	50%	-0.18	-16.6	1.75%	0	-1.3	30	INF
4	Apr_7_2016	27.32	27.29	26.87	26.47	26.37	26.15	25.79(-2.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-40	-70	-22	-95	0.86	46%	-0.18	-8.9	1.72%	0	-2.5	23	INF
5	Apr_6_2016	27.37	27.33	27.04	26.75	26.61	26.33	26.48(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-90	-22	-82	0.74	47%	-0.15	6	1.7%	0	-1.5	33	INF

6	Apr_5_2016	27.41	27.34	27.16	26.98	26.85	26.6	26.24(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-35	-80	-25	-66	0.6	47%	-0.15	22.9	1.71%	0	-2	33	INF
7	Apr_4_2016	27.45	27.34	27.34	27.23	27.18	26.88	26.83(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-80	-12	-44	0.65	48%	-0.15	52.1	1.69%	0	-1	33	INF
8	Apr_1_2016	27.49	27.36	27.46	27.31	27.29	27.1	27.02(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-50	-14	-40	2.36	48%	-0.11	68	1.7%	0	-0.6	34	INF
9	Mar_31_2016	27.52	27.34	27.55	27.33	27.37	27.49	27.18(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	40	0	-23	1.21	46%	-0.15	80	1.71%	0	-0.3	55	INF
10	Mar_30_2016	27.56	27.3	27.61	27.36	27.31	27.48	27.61(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	40	6	-4	0.71	46%	-0.11	86.3	1.72%	0	0.5	67	INF

11	Mar_29_2016	27.59	27.21	27.6	27.39	27.26	27.25	27.53(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	-20	-1	8	1.28	46%	-0.14	85	1.72%	0	0.5	66	INF
12	Mar_28_2016	27.63	27.1	27.65	27.47	27.35	27.13	27.22(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-70	-15	25	0.46	46%	-0.29	72.9	1.71%	0	0.1	61	INF
13	Mar_24_2016	27.71	27	27.65	27.64	27.54	27.27	27.12(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-80	-20	54	0.68	46%	-0.14	66.5	1.71%	0	0.1	60	INF
14	Mar_23_2016	27.75	26.9	27.73	27.8	27.8	27.57	27.32(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-60	-12	75	0.87	48%	-0.18	64.2	1.71%	0	0.4	63	INF
15	Mar_22_2016	27.8	26.77	27.66	27.88	27.88	27.82	27.77(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-20	-3	89	0.9	48%	-0.14	60	1.72%	0	0.9	75	INF

16	Mar_21_2016	27.84	26.64	27.54	27.84	27.82	28.03	27.93(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	50	4	98	0.71	45%	-0.14	59.3	1.73%	0	1.1	80	INF
17	Mar_18_2016	27.88	26.51	27.4	27.85	27.71	27.93	28.07(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	40	10	119	0.98	44%	-0.14	63.5	1.79%	0	1.3	86	INF
18	Mar_17_2016	27.92	26.35	27.25	27.84	27.69	27.61	27.92(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	43	-40	10	140	2.12	44%	-0.14	68.5	1.79%	0	1.4	86	INF
19	Mar_16_2016	27.96	26.2	27.11	27.66	27.72	27.48	27.72(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	40	-50	4	146	1.72	46%	-0.14	68.9	1.8%	0	1.4	86	INF
20	Mar_15_2016	28	26.09	26.96	27.4	27.64	27.77	27.54(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	60	9	150	2.07	47%	-0.18	70.3	1.81%	0	1.4	87	INF

21	Mar_14_2016	28.05	25.97	26.79	27.17	27.38	27.95	27.98(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	62	170	30	157	0.77	47%	-0.14	66.7	1.8%	0	2	85	INF
22	Mar_11_2016	28.09	25.79	26.5	26.89	27.01	27.5	28.06(4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	64	140	38	140	1.19	46%	-0.18	56.4	1.8%	0	2.5	77	INF
23	Mar_10_2016	28.14	25.59	26.19	26.59	26.64	26.8	26.98(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	50	14	116	5.02	42%	-0.18	43.8	1.74%	0	1.7	75	INF
24	Mar_9_2016	28.19	25.49	25.99	26.5	26.51	26.52	26.43(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	0	4	109	0.78	40%	-0.21	41.6	1.71%	0	1.3	68	INF
25	Mar_8_2016	28.25	25.4	25.82	26.45	26.49	26.48	26.41(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	0	7	96	1.16	39%		36	1.71%	0	1.4	57	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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