Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $27.7200 (0.65%) ($27.1300 - $27.7500) on Wed. Mar. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.8% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $27.7200(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(90%)    EWG(86%)    IVE(76%)    IWD(76%)    VT(75%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    UUP(-28%)    TLT(-23%)    IPO(-3%)    SHY(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.9% (StdDev 1.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.66(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.11(2.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.2(5.8%)
To recent high   -7.7%
To recent low   14.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 4.08% (three month std-dev: 1.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.2%(40%) Average negative next day return: -2.45%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.97%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -3.29%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 3.48%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.77%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2016	27.96	26.2	27.11	27.66	27.72	27.48	27.72(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	40	-50	4	146	1.72	46%	-0.14	68.9	1.8%	0	1.4	86	INF
2	Mar_15_2016	28	26.09	26.96	27.4	27.64	27.77	27.54(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	60	9	150	2.07	47%	-0.18	70.3	1.81%	0	1.4	87	INF
3	Mar_14_2016	28.05	25.97	26.79	27.17	27.38	27.95	27.98(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	62	170	30	157	0.77	47%	-0.14	66.7	1.8%	0	2	85	INF
4	Mar_11_2016	28.09	25.79	26.5	26.89	27.01	27.5	28.06(4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	64	140	38	140	1.19	46%	-0.18	56.4	1.8%	0	2.5	77	INF
5	Mar_10_2016	28.14	25.59	26.19	26.59	26.64	26.8	26.98(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	50	14	116	5.02	42%	-0.18	43.8	1.74%	0	1.7	75	INF

6	Mar_9_2016	28.19	25.49	25.99	26.5	26.51	26.52	26.43(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	0	4	109	0.78	40%	-0.21	41.6	1.71%	0	1.3	68	INF
7	Mar_8_2016	28.25	25.4	25.82	26.45	26.49	26.48	26.41(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	0	7	96	1.16	39%	-0.21	36	1.71%	0	1.4	57	INF
8	Mar_7_2016	28.31	25.32	25.67	26.33	26.34	26.5	26.56(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	36	40	18	90	1.32	38%	-0.21	24.9	1.73%	0	1.8	65	INF
9	Mar_4_2016	28.37	25.29	25.54	26.02	26.14	26.49	26.56(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	43	110	29	83	1.28	40%	-0.21	10.7	1.74%	0	2	70	INF
10	Mar_3_2016	28.43	25.25	25.37	25.71	25.76	26.19	26.56(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	41	120	31	70	0.93	40%	-0.21	-1.3	1.75%	0	2.2	71	INF

11	Mar_2_2016	28.49	25.19	25.22	25.4	25.44	25.78	26.17(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	37	100	32	50	0.91	39%	-0.21	-20.4	1.74%	0	1.9	60	INF
12	Mar_1_2016	28.55	25.14	25.15	25.09	25.16	25.33	25.79(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	60	19	34	0.93	40%	-0.24	-47.6	1.73%	0	1.4	60	INF
13	Feb_29_2016	28.62	25.16	25.07	24.93	24.87	25.09	25.04(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	50	-0	15	1.4	37%	-0.28	-44	1.68%	0	-0.2	50	INF
14	Feb_26_2016	28.7	25.22	25.02	24.99	24.88	25	25.01(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	20	10	5	0.71	37%	-0.24	-33.9	1.68%	0	-0.4	41	INF
15	Feb_25_2016	28.77	25.26	24.96	24.98	24.93	24.66	25.01(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-80	-4	-25	1.57	37%	-0.28	-29.9	1.7%	0	-0.4	41	INF

16	Feb_24_2016	28.85	25.29	24.95	25	24.91	24.76	24.61(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-50	-27	-40	1.47	37%	-0.24	-22.8	1.68%	0	-1.1	43	INF
17	Feb_23_2016	28.92	25.36	24.96	25.21	25.16	25.2	24.96(-1.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-5	10	1	-22	1.55	37%	-0.24	-9.9	1.68%	0	-0.7	47	INF
18	Feb_22_2016	28.99	25.39	24.97	25.23	25.26	25.06	25.36(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-50	7	-35	0.73	37%	-0.17	-10.5	1.67%	0	-0.1	42	INF
19	Feb_19_2016	29.04	25.42	25.02	25.06	25.2	25.13	24.94(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-0	-1	-57	0.53	35%	-0.17	-22	1.65%	0	-0.8	38	INF
20	Feb_18_2016	29.09	25.42	25.12	24.93	25.07	25.46	25.12(-2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	130	13	-60	0.95	35%	-0.17	-36.2	1.66%	0	-0.5	45	INF

21	Feb_17_2016	29.14	25.43	25.16	24.89	24.79	25.27	25.65(2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	120	30	-61	0.97	36%	-0.14	-51.7	1.65%	0	0.4	48	INF
22	Feb_16_2016	29.18	25.42	25.12	24.69	24.67	24.68	25.07(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	0	14	-95	0.87	34%	-0.14	-69.4	1.62%	0	-0.6	42	INF
23	Feb_12_2016	29.22	25.45	25.23	24.68	24.55	24.32	24.5(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-80	-30	-105	1.05	30%	-0.17	-78.5	1.58%	0	-1.6	45	INF
24	Feb_11_2016	29.27	25.55	25.42	24.99	24.73	24.67	24.29(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-42	-50	-30	-77	2.58	30%	-0.17	-65.8	1.58%	0	-2.1	38	INF
25	Feb_10_2016	29.32	25.65	25.58	25.34	25.19	24.78	24.95(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-130	-10	-33	1.06	32%		-64.5	1.56%	0	-1.3	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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