Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $26.5600 (0%) ($26.5000 - $26.7000) on Fri. Mar. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $26.5600(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(90%)    EWG(86%)    IVE(76%)    IWD(76%)    VT(75%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    UUP(-28%)    TLT(-23%)    IPO(-3%)    SHY(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.02(2.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.54(3.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.29(5.02%)
To recent high   -14%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.53% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.56%(75%) Average negative next day return: -2.52%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.48%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -3.94%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.29%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.89%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160404

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2016	28.37	25.29	25.54	26.02	26.14	26.49	26.56(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	43	110	29	83	1.28	40%	-0.21	10.7	1.74%	0	2	70	0
2	Mar_3_2016	28.43	25.25	25.37	25.71	25.76	26.19	26.56(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	41	120	31	70	0.93	40%	-0.21	-1.3	1.75%	0	2.2	71	0
3	Mar_2_2016	28.49	25.19	25.22	25.4	25.44	25.78	26.17(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	37	100	32	50	0.91	39%	-0.21	-20.4	1.74%	0	1.9	60	0
4	Mar_1_2016	28.55	25.14	25.15	25.09	25.16	25.33	25.79(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	60	19	34	0.93	40%	-0.24	-47.6	1.73%	0	1.4	60	0
5	Feb_29_2016	28.62	25.16	25.07	24.93	24.87	25.09	25.04(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	50	-0	15	1.4	37%	-0.28	-44	1.68%	0	-0.2	50	0

6	Feb_26_2016	28.7	25.22	25.02	24.99	24.88	25	25.01(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	20	10	5	0.71	37%	-0.24	-33.9	1.68%	0	-0.4	41	0
7	Feb_25_2016	28.77	25.26	24.96	24.98	24.93	24.66	25.01(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-80	-4	-25	1.57	37%	-0.28	-29.9	1.7%	0	-0.4	41	0
8	Feb_24_2016	28.85	25.29	24.95	25	24.91	24.76	24.61(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-50	-27	-40	1.47	37%	-0.24	-22.8	1.68%	0	-1.1	43	0
9	Feb_23_2016	28.92	25.36	24.96	25.21	25.16	25.2	24.96(-1.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-5	10	1	-22	1.55	37%	-0.24	-9.9	1.68%	0	-0.7	47	0
10	Feb_22_2016	28.99	25.39	24.97	25.23	25.26	25.06	25.36(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-50	7	-35	0.73	37%	-0.17	-10.5	1.67%	0	-0.1	42	0

11	Feb_19_2016	29.04	25.42	25.02	25.06	25.2	25.13	24.94(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-0	-1	-57	0.53	35%	-0.17	-22	1.65%	0	-0.8	38	0
12	Feb_18_2016	29.09	25.42	25.12	24.93	25.07	25.46	25.12(-2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	130	13	-60	0.95	35%	-0.17	-36.2	1.66%	0	-0.5	45	0
13	Feb_17_2016	29.14	25.43	25.16	24.89	24.79	25.27	25.65(2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	120	30	-61	0.97	36%	-0.14	-51.7	1.65%	0	0.4	48	0
14	Feb_16_2016	29.18	25.42	25.12	24.69	24.67	24.68	25.07(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	0	14	-95	0.87	34%	-0.14	-69.4	1.62%	0	-0.6	42	0
15	Feb_12_2016	29.22	25.45	25.23	24.68	24.55	24.32	24.5(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-80	-30	-105	1.05	30%	-0.17	-78.5	1.58%	0	-1.6	45	0

16	Feb_11_2016	29.27	25.55	25.42	24.99	24.73	24.67	24.29(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-42	-50	-30	-77	2.58	30%	-0.17	-65.8	1.58%	0	-2.1	38	0
17	Feb_10_2016	29.32	25.65	25.58	25.34	25.19	24.78	24.95(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-130	-10	-33	1.06	32%	-0.17	-64.5	1.56%	0	-1.3	50	0
18	Feb_9_2016	29.37	25.74	25.67	25.45	25.39	24.8	24.63(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-33	-170	-36	-24	1.41	32%	-0.2	-63.1	1.54%	0	-2	50	0
19	Feb_8_2016	29.43	25.84	25.82	25.59	25.57	25.59	25.05(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-22	0	-28	-2	1.6	32%	-0.2	-72.6	1.54%	0	-1.5	48	0
20	Feb_5_2016	29.49	25.91	25.82	25.85	25.68	25.98	26.01(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	60	10	33	1.09	35%	-0.2	-76.7	1.48%	0	0.2	55	0

21	Feb_4_2016	29.55	25.94	25.86	25.92	25.72	25.56	26.07(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-70	6	31	1.08	35%	-0.2	-86.3	1.48%	0	0.2	46	0
22	Feb_3_2016	29.61	25.99	25.78	25.87	25.82	25.39	25.51(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-18	-120	-24	2	2.22	32%	-0.17	-93.8	1.44%	0	-0.8	45	0
23	Feb_2_2016	29.66	26.09	25.74	25.93	25.97	25.89	25.33(-3.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-20	-22	-18	1.32	32%	-0.2	-88.7	1.44%	0	-1.1	39	0
24	Feb_1_2016	29.72	26.22	25.76	26.07	26.08	26.25	26.33(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	15	50	21	-5	1.96	34%	-0.13	-82.5	1.38%	0	0.1	47	0
25	Jan_29_2016	29.76	26.3	25.68	25.87	25.95	26.05	26.36(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	40	13	-42	1.47	34%		-92.5	1.38%	0	0.1	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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