Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 8, 2014

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $40.9600 (-1.63%) ($40.8800 - $41.3100) on Mon. Sep. 8, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $40.9600(-1.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(90%)    EWG(85%)    VT(75%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    UUP(-26%)    TLT(-25%)    SHY(-1%)    BNDX(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.07(-0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.88(0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.33(1.56%)
To recent high   -7.6%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.15%(44%) Average negative next day return: -0.6%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.27%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.41%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.95%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.26%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141008

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_8_2014	41.72	40.33	40.88	41.07	41.22	41.29	40.96(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	20	3	75	0.64	33%	-0.02	65.2	1.11%	0	1	64	INF
2	Sep_5_2014	41.73	40.25	40.78	40.98	41.09	41.38	41.64(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	41	60	27	84	0.95	41%	0.02	52.7	1.11%	0	2	77	INF
3	Sep_4_2014	41.72	40.09	40.64	40.76	40.82	41.15	41.19(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	60	22	73	4.32	41%	0	26.9	1.13%	0	1.6	74	INF
4	Sep_3_2014	41.72	39.99	40.51	40.72	40.82	40.79	41(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	20	15	72	0.75	41%	0	6.5	1.13%	0	1.5	73	INF
5	Sep_2_2014	41.72	39.99	40.39	40.69	40.64	40.49	40.55(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-30	-2	70	0.8	41%	0.02	-12.5	1.12%	0	1	72	INF

6	Aug_29_2014	41.71	39.9	40.33	40.67	40.73	40.5	40.52(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-40	-7	78	1.05	41%	0	-23.1	1.12%	0	1	75	INF
7	Aug_28_2014	41.71	39.89	40.24	40.54	40.72	40.8	40.56(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	30	-1	77	0.64	41%	-0.02	-39.4	1.12%	0	1	69	INF
8	Aug_27_2014	41.72	39.9	40.15	40.48	40.59	40.97	40.98(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	49	70	31	103	0.57	44%	-0.02	-40.3	1.11%	0	1.3	84	INF
9	Aug_26_2014	41.73	39.95	40.01	40.25	40.37	40.64	40.83(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	49	60	35	92	0.74	44%	-0.02	-39	1.13%	0	1	66	INF
10	Aug_25_2014	41.74	39.98	39.86	40.06	40.09	40.21	40.44(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	20	13	71	0.81	44%	-0.02	-38.4	1.13%	0	0.5	61	INF

11	Aug_22_2014	41.75	40.05	39.73	39.95	39.94	40.11	39.91(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	30	10	44	5.41	42%	-0.05	-33.3	1.12%	0	-0.1	41	INF
12	Aug_21_2014	41.77	40.15	39.67	39.89	39.9	39.96	40.24(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	10	17	30	5.24	42%	-0.02	-28.5	1.11%	0	0.1	46	INF
13	Aug_20_2014	41.78	40.23	39.49	39.77	39.78	39.78	39.85(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	0	1	-17	0.88	42%	-0.02	-26.2	1.11%	0	-0.3	38	INF
14	Aug_19_2014	41.79	40.3	39.43	39.72	39.75	39.83	39.87(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	20	8	-55	1.5	42%	-0.02	-28.5	1.11%	0	-0.4	30	INF
15	Aug_18_2014	41.8	40.36	39.37	39.63	39.69	39.78	39.89(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	20	15	-91	1.26	42%	-0.02	-31	1.11%	0	-0.4	34	INF

16	Aug_15_2014	41.81	40.41	39.43	39.47	39.58	39.67	39.61(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-24	20	9	-123	3.93	41%	0	-36.9	1.12%	0	-0.7	31	INF
17	Aug_14_2014	41.81	40.48	39.51	39.42	39.44	39.6	39.64(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	30	19	-141	0.67	41%	0	-40.4	1.15%	0	-0.7	30	INF
18	Aug_13_2014	41.81	40.54	39.62	39.17	39.32	39.49	39.6(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-29	40	19	-173	1.13	41%	0	-49.5	1.15%	0	-0.8	32	INF
19	Aug_12_2014	41.81	40.63	39.86	39.17	39.11	39.27	39.39(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-39	30	7	-175	0.93	41%	0	-55.1	1.15%	0	-1.1	39	INF
20	Aug_11_2014	41.81	40.72	40.09	39.09	39.06	39.14	39.11(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-50	10	-8	-175	2.34	41%	0	-59.7	1.15%	0	-1.5	37	INF

21	Aug_8_2014	41.81	40.84	40.38	39.4	39.19	38.94	39.34(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-60	-21	-148	3.03	41%	0	-60.7	1.15%	0	-1.5	41	INF
22	Aug_7_2014	41.81	40.95	40.67	39.63	39.56	38.98	38.4(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-77	-110	-56	-140	1.6	37%	-0.02	-67.9	1.11%	0	-2.6	33	INF
23	Aug_6_2014	41.82	41.11	41.04	40.13	40.02	39.44	39.23(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-79	-110	-73	-98	1.13	39%	-0.02	-75.4	1.08%	0	-2.4	42	INF
24	Aug_5_2014	41.83	41.26	41.26	40.74	40.49	40.13	39.37(-3.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-60	-80	-62	-53	1.45	39%	0	-71.5	1.08%	0	-2.8	36	INF
25	Aug_4_2014	41.83	41.38	41.46	41.24	41.14	40.6	40.68(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-28	-100	-36	-4	1.12	43%		-68.5	1.01%	0	-1.2	48	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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