Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $44.2100 (0.02%) ($44.1700 - $44.4600) on Thu. Jun. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $44.2100(0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(90%)    EWG(85%)    VT(75%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    UUP(-26%)    TLT(-25%)    SHY(-2%)    BNDX(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.75(1.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.8(0.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.17(2.41%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   13%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 1.83% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.61%(63%) Average negative next day return: -0.53%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 2.51%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -0.82%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 3.89%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.95%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140719

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_19_2014	40.98	43.17	43.8	43.75	43.71	44.1	44.21(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	56	60	44	91	0.54	58%	0.17	69.9	0.86%	0	1.3	67	0
2	Jun_18_2014	40.91	43.05	43.71	43.6	43.51	43.6	44.2(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	10	27	82	2.56	58%	0.12	62.4	0.9%	0	1.4	70	0
3	Jun_17_2014	40.86	42.91	43.55	43.44	43.42	43.32	43.42(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	-20	-13	57	0.49	58%	0.15	51.8	0.88%	0	0.6	66	0
4	Jun_16_2014	40.8	42.82	43.47	43.55	43.46	43.43	43.41(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10	-19	66	0.52	58%	0.15	49.8	0.9%	0	0.7	66	0
5	Jun_13_2014	40.74	42.74	43.41	43.74	43.6	43.52	43.51(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-20	-8	102	0.39	51%	0.1	54.3	0.91%	0	0.9	73	0

6	Jun_12_2014	40.7	42.63	43.34	43.85	43.73	43.49	43.46(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-50	-12	121	0.74	51%	0.1	51.4	0.97%	0	0.9	74	0
7	Jun_11_2014	40.66	42.56	43.25	43.83	43.84	43.68	43.4(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	31	-20	-4	134	0.57	51%	0.07	52.6	0.97%	0	0.9	71	0
8	Jun_10_2014	40.63	42.49	43.16	43.65	43.75	43.97	43.99(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	40	24	148	1.88	55%	0.1	48.3	0.96%	0	1.7	82	0
9	Jun_9_2014	40.59	42.39	42.99	43.36	43.38	44	44.34(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	77	100	52	152	3.07	55%	0.1	44.4	0.95%	0	2.4	86	0
10	Jun_6_2014	40.55	42.26	42.73	43.04	43.01	43.53	44.08(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	79	80	61	132	2.3	58%	0.1	39.6	0.96%	0	2.7	79	0

11	Jun_5_2014	40.51	42.16	42.48	42.78	42.72	42.77	43.34(1.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	46	0	27	104	2.94	55%	0.05	40.5	0.97%	0	2.3	79	0
12	Jun_4_2014	40.49	42.09	42.32	42.6	42.61	42.48	42.5(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-20	-8	75	0.68	56%	0.07	38.2	0.94%	0	1	53	0
13	Jun_3_2014	40.46	42.07	42.22	42.58	42.6	42.66	42.53(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	10	-1	64	0.66	51%	0.05	42	0.99%	0	1.1	55	0
14	Jun_2_2014	40.44	42.04	42.12	42.55	42.56	42.74	42.74(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	30	22	62	0.36	51%	0.07	49	1.02%	0	1.7	55	0
15	May_30_2014	40.41	42	42.01	42.36	42.46	42.53	42.8(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	31	20	26	47	0.44	51%	0.1	47.8	1.03%	0	2.1	60	0

16	May_29_2014	40.37	41.95	41.85	42.13	42.2	42.53	42.44(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	30	12	11	0.45	51%	0.07	40.5	1.04%	0	1.5	50	0
17	May_28_2014	40.34	41.93	41.81	42	42	42.38	42.41(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	26	60	31	10	0.41	51%	0.1	35.1	1.04%	0	1.5	53	0
18	May_27_2014	40.3	41.89	41.77	41.8	41.84	42.02	42.38(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	23	30	33	-6	0.73	51%	0.17	20.3	1.05%	0	1.7	52	0
19	May_23_2014	40.23	41.84	41.74	41.62	41.61	41.63	41.76(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	0	1	-32	0.33	47%	0.12	2.7	1.03%	0	-0.3	47	0
20	May_22_2014	40.18	41.84	41.75	41.61	41.61	41.66	41.66(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	20	8	-31	0.31	47%	0.02	4.1	1.04%	0	-0.5	46	0

21	May_21_2014	40.17	41.84	41.81	41.53	41.54	41.58	41.79(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	10	8	-34	0.43	47%	0.07	4.1	1.04%	0	-0.1	46	0
22	May_20_2014	40.14	41.82	41.84	41.6	41.43	41.42	41.39(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10	-16	-38	0.83	47%	0.07	27	1.04%	0	-1.4	42	0
23	May_19_2014	40.11	41.82	41.91	41.74	41.62	41.5	41.48(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-30	-8	-19	0.36	47%	0.1	53.2	1.04%	0	-1.1	49	0
24	May_16_2014	40.07	41.83	41.97	41.88	41.79	41.44	41.71(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-70	-20	-5	0.84	47%	0.07	77.9	1.04%	0	-0.4	58	0
25	May_15_2014	40.04	41.81	42	41.91	41.93	41.75	41.26(-2.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-24	-30	-32	0	3	45%		81	1.04%	0	-1.6	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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