Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 5, 2014

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $40.1600 (0.85%) ($39.9400 - $40.2800) on Wed. Mar. 5, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $40.1600(0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(90%)    EWG(85%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    XLF(69%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-26%)    TLT(-25%)    SHY(-2%)    DIA(-1%)    BNDX(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.69(1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.7(1.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.4(1.93%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 1.45% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.81%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.72%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.98%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.06%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140405

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_5_2014	38.1	39.4	39.7	39.69	39.61	39.9	40.16(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	50	26	29	2.67	62%	0.11	80.7	1.36%	0	1.3	61	0
2	Mar_4_2014	38.06	39.27	39.59	39.63	39.51	39.3	39.82(2.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-50	-4	10	2.39	62%	0.08	60.2	1.37%	0	0.8	55	0
3	Mar_3_2014	38.03	39.14	39.56	39.69	39.56	39.32	38.84(-2.14%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-19	-50	-29	11	2.91	60%	0.05	46.7	1.33%	0	-0.4	53	0
4	Feb_28_2014	38.01	39.1	39.64	39.88	39.86	39.73	39.69(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-20	-1	39	1.6	61%	0.08	50.7	1.3%	0	0.7	54	0
5	Feb_27_2014	37.98	39.04	39.62	39.81	39.87	39.81	39.95(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10	-0	44	1.43	61%	0.11	42.6	1.31%	0	1	65	0

6	Feb_26_2014	37.94	38.94	39.54	39.7	39.79	39.98	39.85(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	40	11	58	0.35	61%	0.13	32.1	1.31%	0	1.1	72	0
7	Feb_25_2014	37.89	38.87	39.49	39.55	39.63	39.94	40.1(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	60	23	74	0.76	61%	0.11	21	1.31%	0	1.5	76	0
8	Feb_24_2014	37.85	38.75	39.36	39.42	39.43	39.59	39.83(1.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	32	30	14	84	0.88	61%	0.11	4.3	1.31%	0	1.3	78	0
9	Feb_21_2014	37.81	38.66	39.31	39.37	39.35	39.32	39.32(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-10	-1	92	0.6	64%	0.13	-11.4	1.32%	0	0.8	62	0
10	Feb_20_2014	37.76	38.66	39.24	39.4	39.39	39.28	39.39(0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	24	-20	-1	97	0.62	61%	0.11	-16.3	1.33%	0	0.9	56	0

11	Feb_19_2014	37.72	38.67	39.08	39.35	39.36	39.37	39.11(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	0	-5	88	0.68	61%	0.08	-22.2	1.36%	0	0.5	58	0
12	Feb_18_2014	37.69	38.7	38.93	39.4	39.3	39.5	39.44(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	30	12	90	0.44	61%	0.21	-18.5	1.36%	0	0.9	56	0
13	Feb_14_2014	37.61	38.72	38.69	39.28	39.23	39.34	39.58(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	20	15	77	0.82	61%	0.13	-21.3	1.35%	0	1	62	0
14	Feb_13_2014	37.56	38.75	38.52	39.24	39.04	39.1	39.46(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-0	6	71	0.94	61%	0.13	-16.3	1.35%	0	0.7	59	0
15	Feb_12_2014	37.51	38.8	38.42	39.07	39.03	39.12	39.14(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	10	21	55	0.57	61%	0.13	-13.3	1.35%	0	0.3	45	0

16	Feb_11_2014	37.46	38.85	38.3	38.76	38.86	38.98	39.39(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	30	25	22	0.75	61%	0.13	-15.3	1.35%	0	0.5	48	0
17	Feb_10_2014	37.41	38.86	38.2	38.39	38.46	38.94	38.84(-1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	19	90	30	-16	0.71	60%	0.13	-17.3	1.34%	0	-0	43	0
18	Feb_7_2014	37.36	38.86	38.08	38	38.14	38.74	39.35(1.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	23	120	50	-57	1.41	56%	0.13	-16.7	1.34%	0	0.4	44	0
19	Feb_6_2014	37.31	38.91	37.94	37.71	37.69	37.98	38.62(2.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-13	50	20	-112	0.99	54%	0.11	-16.7	1.37%	0	-0.3	37	0
20	Feb_5_2014	37.27	38.94	38.02	37.7	37.55	37.54	37.62(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-10	-3	-140	0.68	49%	0.11	-13.4	1.33%	0	-1.2	28	0

21	Feb_4_2014	37.23	39.02	38.2	37.78	37.77	37.41	37.52(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-70	-16	-147	0.76	49%	0.11	-10.1	1.35%	0	-1.4	34	0
22	Feb_3_2014	37.19	39.05	38.44	37.98	37.9	37.55	36.89(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-62	-70	-34	-144	1.2	47%	0.11	-6.6	1.33%	0	-2	34	0
23	Jan_31_2014	37.15	39.1	38.75	38.14	38.17	38.13	37.88(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-0	-6	-127	0.48	50%	0.13	-6.2	1.29%	0	-1.2	37	0
24	Jan_30_2014	37.1	39.09	39.01	38.17	38.19	38.25	38.57(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-36	10	-8	-119	0.94	51%	0.16	-6.8	1.27%	0	-0.5	46	0
25	Jan_29_2014	37.04	39.1	39.23	38.41	38.17	38.22	38.06(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-10	-18	-94	1.2	49%		4.1	1.27%	0	-1	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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