Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $40.1000 (0.68%) ($39.8800 - $40.2400) on Tue. Feb. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.31% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $40.1000(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(90%)    EWG(85%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    XLF(69%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-26%)    TLT(-25%)    SHY(-2%)    DIA(-1%)    BNDX(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.655% (StdDev 1.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.55(1.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.49(1.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.87(3.16%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 1.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.59%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.64%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.39%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.2%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0.74%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.4%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140325

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2014	37.89	38.87	39.49	39.55	39.63	39.94	40.1(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	60	23	74	0.76	61%	0.11	21	1.31%	0	1.5	76	NAN
2	Feb_24_2014	37.85	38.75	39.36	39.42	39.43	39.59	39.83(1.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	32	30	14	84	0.88	61%	0.11	4.3	1.31%	0	1.3	78	NAN
3	Feb_21_2014	37.81	38.66	39.31	39.37	39.35	39.32	39.32(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-10	-1	92	0.6	64%	0.13	-11.4	1.32%	0	0.8	62	NAN
4	Feb_20_2014	37.76	38.66	39.24	39.4	39.39	39.28	39.39(0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	24	-20	-1	97	0.62	61%	0.11	-16.3	1.33%	0	0.9	56	NAN
5	Feb_19_2014	37.72	38.67	39.08	39.35	39.36	39.37	39.11(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	0	-5	88	0.68	61%	0.08	-22.2	1.36%	0	0.5	58	NAN

6	Feb_18_2014	37.69	38.7	38.93	39.4	39.3	39.5	39.44(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	30	12	90	0.44	61%	0.21	-18.5	1.36%	0	0.9	56	NAN
7	Feb_14_2014	37.61	38.72	38.69	39.28	39.23	39.34	39.58(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	20	15	77	0.82	61%	0.13	-21.3	1.35%	0	1	62	NAN
8	Feb_13_2014	37.56	38.75	38.52	39.24	39.04	39.1	39.46(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-0	6	71	0.94	61%	0.13	-16.3	1.35%	0	0.7	59	NAN
9	Feb_12_2014	37.51	38.8	38.42	39.07	39.03	39.12	39.14(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	10	21	55	0.57	61%	0.13	-13.3	1.35%	0	0.3	45	NAN
10	Feb_11_2014	37.46	38.85	38.3	38.76	38.86	38.98	39.39(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	30	25	22	0.75	61%	0.13	-15.3	1.35%	0	0.5	48	NAN

11	Feb_10_2014	37.41	38.86	38.2	38.39	38.46	38.94	38.84(-1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	19	90	30	-16	0.71	60%	0.13	-17.3	1.34%	0	-0	43	NAN
12	Feb_7_2014	37.36	38.86	38.08	38	38.14	38.74	39.35(1.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	23	120	50	-57	1.41	56%	0.13	-16.7	1.34%	0	0.4	44	NAN
13	Feb_6_2014	37.31	38.91	37.94	37.71	37.69	37.98	38.62(2.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-13	50	20	-112	0.99	54%	0.11	-16.7	1.37%	0	-0.3	37	NAN
14	Feb_5_2014	37.27	38.94	38.02	37.7	37.55	37.54	37.62(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-10	-3	-140	0.68	49%	0.11	-13.4	1.33%	0	-1.2	28	NAN
15	Feb_4_2014	37.23	39.02	38.2	37.78	37.77	37.41	37.52(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-70	-16	-147	0.76	49%	0.11	-10.1	1.35%	0	-1.4	34	NAN

16	Feb_3_2014	37.19	39.05	38.44	37.98	37.9	37.55	36.89(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-62	-70	-34	-144	1.2	47%	0.11	-6.6	1.33%	0	-2	34	NAN
17	Jan_31_2014	37.15	39.1	38.75	38.14	38.17	38.13	37.88(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-0	-6	-127	0.48	50%	0.13	-6.2	1.29%	0	-1.2	37	NAN
18	Jan_30_2014	37.1	39.09	39.01	38.17	38.19	38.25	38.57(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-36	10	-8	-119	0.94	51%	0.16	-6.8	1.27%	0	-0.5	46	NAN
19	Jan_29_2014	37.04	39.1	39.23	38.41	38.17	38.22	38.06(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-10	-18	-94	1.2	49%	0.14	4.1	1.27%	0	-1	42	NAN
20	Jan_28_2014	36.99	39.13	39.45	38.71	38.6	38.22	38.49(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-100	-18	-62	1.39	49%	0.19	18.8	1.27%	0	-0.6	49	NAN

21	Jan_27_2014	36.92	39.12	39.58	38.99	38.89	38.12	37.72(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-64	-150	-70	-46	0.97	45%	0.16	32.3	1.25%	0	-1.3	54	NAN
22	Jan_24_2014	36.86	39.12	39.82	39.45	39.41	39.09	38.03(-4.35%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-35	-60	-53	21	0.8	45%	0.19	53.5	1.25%	0	-1.1	60	NAN
23	Jan_23_2014	36.79	39.16	39.99	39.94	39.84	39.66	39.76(0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-40	-18	102	0.92	49%	0.25	74.9	1.12%	0	0.6	73	NAN
24	Jan_22_2014	36.7	39.05	39.96	40.16	40.01	39.73	39.53(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-60	-26	125	0.89	49%	0.25	83.9	1.15%	0	0.5	58	NAN
25	Jan_21_2014	36.61	38.93	39.92	40.31	40.27	40.02	39.91(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	30	-50	-11	152	0.92	49%		89.3	1.15%	0	0.9	62	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.