Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 21, 2013

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $38.6500 (0.21%) ($38.5800 - $38.7500) on Mon. Oct. 21, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $38.6500(0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(90%)    EWG(85%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-2%)    BNDX(-0%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.06(1.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.28(3.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.25(6.62%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   32.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 3.72% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 22 Average positive next day return: 1.43%(45%) Average negative next day return: -1.37%(55%) Sample size 22 Average positive next three day return: 2.01%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.71%(50%) Sample size 22 Average positive next weekly return: 3.52%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.36%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_21_2013	31.88	36.25	37.28	38.06	38.24	38.58	38.65(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	75	80	36	192	0.58	79%	0.25	73.9	1.2%	0	1.8	81	NAN
2	Oct_18_2013	31.8	36.03	36.97	37.74	37.83	38.31	38.57(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	80	100	44	186	0.87	80%	0.25	75.3	1.2%	0	2	83	NAN
3	Oct_17_2013	31.72	35.81	36.7	37.38	37.42	37.89	38.31(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	77	90	44	176	0.79	80%	0.22	79.8	1.21%	0	2.2	83	NAN
4	Oct_16_2013	31.65	35.61	36.4	37.08	37.08	37.35	37.72(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	70	50	39	161	0.87	79%	0.22	90.4	1.21%	0	2.1	78	NAN
5	Oct_15_2013	31.58	35.46	36.17	36.71	36.82	36.96	37.05(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	59	40	30	144	0.98	78%	0.19	92.3	1.2%	0	1.7	76	NAN

6	Oct_14_2013	31.52	35.28	36	36.36	36.51	36.8	37.04(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	52	70	26	129	0.54	78%	0.22	86.9	1.2%	0	1.8	79	NAN
7	Oct_11_2013	31.45	35.1	35.77	36.08	36.16	36.69	36.8(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	110	33	113	0.83	74%	0.19	88.2	1.27%	0	1.8	78	NAN
8	Oct_10_2013	31.39	34.92	35.56	35.91	35.88	36.22	36.81(2.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	58	60	41	109	1.57	74%	0.22	92.2	1.29%	0	2	76	NAN
9	Oct_9_2013	31.32	34.73	35.36	35.62	35.67	35.62	35.86(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10	8	83	0.94	72%	0.16	98.8	1.26%	0	1.3	68	NAN
10	Oct_8_2013	31.27	34.59	35.25	35.62	35.57	35.54	35.31(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10	-7	74	0.65	71%	0.16	100.7	1.26%	0	0.8	57	NAN

11	Oct_7_2013	31.22	34.46	35.16	35.56	35.58	35.72	35.64(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	30	15	97	0.27	71%	0.13	97.7	1.25%	0	1.1	75	NAN
12	Oct_4_2013	31.18	34.28	35.03	35.39	35.47	35.6	35.92(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	44	30	25	100	0.58	71%	0.16	93.1	1.24%	0	1.4	79	NAN
13	Oct_3_2013	31.13	34.07	34.87	35.15	35.16	35.44	35.36(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	60	13	95	0.65	70%	0.16	85	1.24%	0	1	78	NAN
14	Oct_2_2013	31.08	33.88	34.78	35.06	35	35.33	35.59(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	52	60	31	114	0.5	70%	0.16	80.2	1.24%	0	1.3	82	NAN
15	Oct_1_2013	31.03	33.66	34.69	34.89	34.83	34.87	35.31(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	0	20	121	1.44	71%	0.13	75.6	1.25%	0	1.2	82	NAN

16	Sep_30_2013	30.99	33.45	34.51	34.7	34.71	34.66	34.75(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10	0	114	0.54	70%	0.1	69.6	1.25%	0	1	83	NAN
17	Sep_27_2013	30.96	33.24	34.38	34.61	34.68	34.78	34.76(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	30	7	129	0.31	67%	0.13	56.4	1.27%	0	1.1	86	NAN
18	Sep_26_2013	30.92	33.06	34.23	34.53	34.55	34.76	34.9(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	40	13	146	0.61	68%	0.1	49.8	1.29%	0	1.3	89	NAN
19	Sep_25_2013	30.89	32.86	34.06	34.45	34.45	34.57	34.75(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	49	20	10	165	0.47	68%	0.1	47.5	1.3%	0	1.3	90	NAN
20	Sep_24_2013	30.86	32.68	33.89	34.46	34.4	34.57	34.36(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	55	-20	9	194	0.43	65%	0.1	46.1	1.3%	0	1.2	89	NAN

21	Sep_23_2013	30.83	32.56	33.71	34.29	34.35	34.34	34.27(-0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	56	0	8	200	0.28	65%	0.1	44.9	1.33%	0	1.3	90	NAN
22	Sep_20_2013	30.8	32.47	33.49	34.11	34.15	34.47	34.36(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	68	70	20	213	0.3	60%	0.1	42.5	1.35%	0	1.5	93	NAN
23	Sep_19_2013	30.77	32.36	33.23	33.88	33.9	34.35	34.5(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	81	90	38	208	0.88	57%	0.13	38.9	1.41%	0	1.8	84	NAN
24	Sep_18_2013	30.73	32.21	32.91	33.6	33.55	33.82	34.8(3.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	71	50	32	188	0.98	57%	0.13	31.9	1.45%	0	2.4	86	NAN
25	Sep_17_2013	30.69	32.05	32.55	33.26	33.28	33.46	33.5(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	58	40	19	173	0.22	53%		23.8	1.38%	0	1.6	82	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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