Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 11, 2013

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $33.0700 (1.82%) ($32.6800 - $33.0700) on Wed. Sep. 11, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $33.0700(1.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(90%)    EWG(85%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-1%)    BNDX(0%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.1(3.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.57(4.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.87(3.77%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.32% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.73%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.73%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.79%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131011

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_11_2013	30.59	31.87	31.57	32.1	32.19	32.67	33.07(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	42	110	44	35	0.56	51%	0.07	-10.8	1.4%	0	1.6	60	0
2	Sep_10_2013	30.57	31.87	31.36	31.74	31.76	32.14	32.48(1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	26	90	36	-6	0.44	49%	0.1	-19.3	1.4%	0	0.9	53	0
3	Sep_9_2013	30.54	31.83	31.31	31.44	31.41	31.71	31.98(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	16	60	31	-30	0.87	47%	0.1	-26.5	1.39%	0	0.2	47	0
4	Sep_6_2013	30.51	31.86	31.35	31.14	31.2	31.37	31.68(1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	40	22	-63	0.64	47%	0.1	-31.9	1.38%	0	-0.2	37	0
5	Sep_5_2013	30.48	31.91	31.4	31	30.95	31.1	31.28(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	30	5	-85	0.16	47%	0.1	-31.1	1.38%	0	-0.8	38	0

6	Sep_4_2013	30.45	31.95	31.44	30.96	30.91	31.03	31.27(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	20	10	-100	0.85	47%	0.03	-28.9	1.38%	0	-0.9	37	0
7	Sep_3_2013	30.44	31.97	31.5	30.92	30.89	30.81	31.01(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-20	-12	-122	0.57	49%	0.1	-28	1.38%	0	-1.3	35	0
8	Aug_30_2013	30.41	32.02	31.62	31.16	30.95	30.8	30.48(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-56	-50	-35	-118	0.27	44%	0.03	-15.8	1.41%	0	-2.3	32	0
9	Aug_29_2013	30.4	32.1	31.87	31.59	31.37	30.98	30.98(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-40	-110	-25	-83	0.25	46%	0.03	8.3	1.39%	0	-1.9	32	0
10	Aug_28_2013	30.39	32.14	32.04	31.86	31.76	31.11	31.06(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.4	-44	-150	-36	-68	0.29	46%	0.1	28.7	1.4%	0	-1.9	35	0

11	Aug_27_2013	30.36	32.16	32.21	31.98	32.09	31.77	31.06(-3.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-37	-60	-33	-50	0.49	46%	0.07	45	1.41%	0	-2	44	0
12	Aug_26_2013	30.34	32.18	32.38	32.16	32.2	31.77	32.2(-1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	50	3	-13	0.63	50%	0.13	64.9	1.34%	0	0	58	0
13	Aug_23_2013	30.3	32.12	32.41	32.15	32.1	32.41	32.63(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	60	14	-0	0.64	50%	0.17	73.8	1.33%	0	0.9	62	0
14	Aug_22_2013	30.25	32.05	32.42	32.22	32.05	31.99	32.35(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-30	1	11	0.25	50%	0.13	90.4	1.33%	0	0.5	57	0
15	Aug_21_2013	30.21	31.98	32.44	32.28	32.22	31.78	31.67(-0.81%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-15	-100	-26	18	0.83	47%	0.1	93.9	1.32%	0	-0.4	53	0

16	Aug_20_2013	30.18	31.92	32.49	32.48	32.4	32.11	31.93(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-13	-70	-31	42	0.58	47%	0.13	96.7	1.32%	0	0	62	0
17	Aug_19_2013	30.14	31.82	32.48	32.62	32.58	32.65	32.15(-2.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	10	-6	72	0.83	47%	0.07	93.1	1.32%	0	0.3	67	0
18	Aug_16_2013	30.12	31.68	32.45	32.69	32.63	32.69	33(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	10	12	98	0.3	50%	0.17	87.6	1.29%	0	1.1	83	0
19	Aug_15_2013	30.07	31.49	32.34	32.69	32.5	32.52	32.64(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	-10	-4	101	0.81	50%	0.17	85	1.29%	0	0.9	76	0
20	Aug_14_2013	30.02	31.31	32.25	32.64	32.57	32.57	32.68(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	38	-10	10	120	0.74	50%	0.13	78.4	1.29%	0	1	79	0

21	Aug_13_2013	29.98	31.11	32.11	32.51	32.55	32.48	32.65(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	38	-10	9	126	0.51	50%	0.13	73	1.29%	0	1.1	84	0
22	Aug_12_2013	29.94	30.91	31.96	32.32	32.39	32.57	32.48(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	50	9	130	0.34	50%	0.07	68.6	1.31%	0	1.1	85	0
23	Aug_9_2013	29.92	30.71	31.81	32.17	32.19	32.63	32.76(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	62	100	31	154	0.54	50%	0.1	65	1.3%	0	1.4	91	0
24	Aug_8_2013	29.89	30.49	31.64	31.99	31.93	32.2	32.65(1.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	66	50	31	171	0.55	53%	0.1	66.1	1.32%	0	1.6	92	0
25	Aug_7_2013	29.86	30.31	31.46	31.8	31.72	31.75	32.02(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	54	-0	12	178	0.22	50%		69.2	1.32%	0	1.3	91	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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