Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 11, 2013

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $29.7100 (0.17%) ($29.5900 - $29.9900) on Thu. Apr. 11, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.83% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $29.7100(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWG(84%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-1%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.915% (StdDev 1.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.94(2.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.6(3.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.17(1.85%)
To recent high   -9.8%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 3.67% (three month std-dev: 1.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.33%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.9%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.28%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.75%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.17%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130511

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_11_2013	30.13	29.17	28.6	28.94	29.08	29.69	29.71(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	160	32	11	1.51	49%	0.07	-42.8	1.83%	0	0.5	46	NAN
2	Apr_10_2013	30.11	29.22	28.43	28.66	28.67	29.17	29.66(3.02%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	21	120	37	-27	0.73	51%	0.07	-46.7	1.84%	0	0.4	42	NAN
3	Apr_9_2013	30.09	29.27	28.3	28.35	28.3	28.48	28.79(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	40	14	-72	0.65	50%	0.03	-51	1.82%	0	-0.4	38	NAN
4	Apr_8_2013	30.08	29.37	28.29	28.26	28.2	28.17	28.26(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-23	-10	3	-99	2.11	49%	0.03	-48.4	1.82%	0	-0.9	29	NAN
5	Apr_5_2013	30.07	29.52	28.47	28.19	28.2	28.12	28.28(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-20	-3	-118	0.43	49%	0.03	-45.2	1.81%	0	-1	25	NAN

6	Apr_4_2013	30.06	29.64	28.61	28.2	28.24	28.23	28.3(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	0	-2	-133	0.31	49%	0.07	-43.1	1.82%	0	-1.1	24	NAN
7	Apr_3_2013	30.04	29.75	28.8	28.16	28.26	28.36	28.11(-0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-34	40	2	-140	0.42	49%	0.03	-44.8	1.83%	0	-1.4	30	NAN
8	Apr_2_2013	30.03	29.88	28.97	28.24	28.17	28.24	28.35(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	10	-2	-148	0.57	49%	0.03	-41.3	1.83%	0	-1.4	30	NAN
9	Apr_1_2013	30.02	29.98	29.17	28.33	28.2	28.15	27.92(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	-30	-21	-159	0.59	49%	0.13	-35.9	1.82%	0	-1.9	25	NAN
10	Mar_28_2013	29.98	30.09	29.5	28.79	28.52	28.1	28.3(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-51	-130	-24	-132	0.53	49%	0.03	-30.7	1.86%	0	-1.9	26	NAN

11	Mar_27_2013	29.97	30.18	29.81	29.11	29.01	28.25	28.12(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-59	-190	-41	-114	0.77	49%	0	-22.3	1.89%	0	-2.5	30	NAN
12	Mar_26_2013	29.97	30.29	30.09	29.53	29.49	28.95	28.5(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-51	-130	-39	-88	0.55	49%	0.03	-10	1.88%	0	-2.5	36	NAN
13	Mar_25_2013	29.96	30.35	30.33	29.81	29.94	29.77	28.81(-4.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-32	-30	-21	-63	0.95	49%	0	-8.7	1.88%	0	-2.2	37	NAN
14	Mar_22_2013	29.96	30.37	30.57	30.13	30.12	30.02	30.22(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-20	-11	-35	0.26	53%	0.07	-6.4	1.79%	0	-0.2	52	NAN
15	Mar_21_2013	29.94	30.38	30.66	30.34	30.19	30.1	29.88(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-40	-20	-14	0.5	53%	0.03	0.9	1.8%	0	-0.8	53	NAN

16	Mar_20_2013	29.93	30.38	30.76	30.63	30.55	30.22	30.25(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-80	-10	16	0.51	53%	0.03	2.9	1.79%	0	-0.2	57	NAN
17	Mar_19_2013	29.92	30.37	30.78	30.74	30.78	30.28	29.89(-1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-15	-110	-26	20	1.38	53%	0	2.8	1.79%	0	-0.8	50	NAN
18	Mar_18_2013	29.92	30.37	30.86	30.93	30.93	30.89	30.39(-2.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-10	-18	48	0.65	53%	0.07	15.9	1.77%	0	-0	66	NAN
19	Mar_15_2013	29.9	30.41	30.85	31.07	31.06	31.28	31.27(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	50	11	87	0.65	56%	0.1	20.1	1.72%	0	1.3	82	NAN
20	Mar_14_2013	29.87	30.37	30.72	31.04	30.98	30.98	31.35(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10	9	80	0.46	56%	0.13	26.5	1.74%	0	1.6	56	NAN

21	Mar_13_2013	29.83	30.37	30.57	30.92	30.93	30.84	30.8(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-20	-1	73	0.33	55%	0.07	26.8	1.73%	0	0.7	61	NAN
22	Mar_12_2013	29.81	30.35	30.5	30.84	30.92	30.97	30.84(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	20	3	71	0.16	55%	0.07	26.4	1.73%	0	0.8	55	NAN
23	Mar_11_2013	29.79	30.31	30.36	30.77	30.8	31.02	31.08(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	50	13	57	0.23	56%	0.1	27.3	1.73%	0	1.3	51	NAN
24	Mar_8_2013	29.76	30.28	30.14	30.6	30.67	30.87	31.15(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	50	23	35	0.41	56%	0.03	13.8	1.73%	0	1.5	55	NAN
25	Mar_7_2013	29.75	30.21	30.05	30.34	30.4	30.58	30.72(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	50	13	12	1.18	56%		-10.6	1.73%	0	0.9	49	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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