Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 16, 2013

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $31.8000 (-1%) ($31.7500 - $31.9500) on Wed. Jan. 16, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $31.8000(-1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWG(84%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-1%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(5%)    IGOV(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.05(-0.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.37(1.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.7(3.58%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   18.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.9% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.92%(20%) Average negative next day return: -1.03%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.95%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -0.59%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.84%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.03%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_16_2013	28.8	30.7	31.37	32.05	32.03	31.9	31.8(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	40	-30	1	157	0.42	68%	0.21	78.6	1.3%	0	1.2	68	NAN
2	Jan_15_2013	28.74	30.6	31.24	31.93	32	32.05	32.12(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	20	16	156	0.54	68%	0.24	83.3	1.38%	0	1.7	73	NAN
3	Jan_14_2013	28.67	30.47	31.06	31.62	31.77	32.15	32.22(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	59	100	31	141	0.57	68%	0.24	84.8	1.39%	0	2.1	69	NAN
4	Jan_11_2013	28.6	30.32	30.77	31.28	31.39	31.95	32.21(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	62	140	45	113	0.65	68%	0.25	84.2	1.39%	0	2.6	69	NAN
5	Jan_10_2013	28.53	30.17	30.55	30.95	30.96	31.39	31.91(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	56	100	44	93	0.71	68%	0.21	89.1	1.39%	0	2.9	69	NAN

6	Jan_9_2013	28.47	30.02	30.34	30.6	30.63	30.82	31.18(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	31	50	21	61	0.36	59%	0.21	92.5	1.37%	0	2.4	67	NAN
7	Jan_8_2013	28.41	29.88	30.2	30.47	30.44	30.53	30.57(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	20	7	45	0.21	56%	0.18	85.7	1.42%	0	1.5	60	NAN
8	Jan_7_2013	28.36	29.79	30.16	30.4	30.41	30.44	30.53(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	10	17	52	0.37	56%	0.14	68.5	1.42%	0	1.4	62	NAN
9	Jan_4_2013	28.32	29.72	30.11	30.17	30.28	30.35	30.58(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	30	8	40	0.49	56%	0.21	55.2	1.42%	0	1.5	64	NAN
10	Jan_3_2013	28.26	29.64	30.03	30.09	30.02	30.38	30.16(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	80	9	41	0.34	56%	0.21	57	1.42%	0	0.9	62	NAN

11	Jan_2_2013	28.2	29.58	29.98	30.04	29.98	30.21	30.49(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	50	28	55	0.6	56%	0.36	62.4	1.42%	0	1.7	70	NAN
12	Dec_31_2012	28.1	29.49	29.91	29.91	29.85	29.66	30.26(3.07%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	10	-50	-3	49	0.35	56%	0.25	59.4	1.44%	0	1.5	73	NAN
13	Dec_28_2012	28.03	29.42	29.84	29.88	29.87	29.76	29.36(-2.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	-30	-20	56	0.73	46%	0.18	64.2	1.39%	0	-0.1	63	NAN
14	Dec_27_2012	27.98	29.4	29.85	30.03	29.99	30.04	30.16(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	10	6	83	0.21	51%	0.21	81.4	1.4%	0	1.5	66	NAN
15	Dec_26_2012	27.92	29.32	29.76	29.96	29.96	29.97	29.92(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	0	4	82	0.14	46%	0.32	86.8	1.41%	0	1.2	64	NAN

16	Dec_24_2012	27.83	29.24	29.67	29.91	29.97	29.93	29.83(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-0	2	75	0.16	46%	0.25	84.3	1.47%	0	1.1	63	NAN
17	Dec_21_2012	27.76	29.18	29.55	29.9	29.84	29.95	30.13(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	20	4	73	0.48	46%	0.33	97.8	1.47%	0	1.8	72	NAN
18	Dec_20_2012	27.67	29.1	29.4	29.79	29.78	30.01	30.1(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	50	18	68	0.18	46%	0.25	112.2	1.49%	0	2	68	NAN
19	Dec_19_2012	27.6	28.99	29.29	29.65	29.67	29.73	29.83(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	20	14	58	0.48	46%	0.25	111.4	1.5%	0	1.6	66	NAN
20	Dec_18_2012	27.53	28.89	29.21	29.54	29.5	29.55	29.65(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	10	6	54	0.92	46%	0.25	109.8	1.5%	0	1.4	69	NAN

21	Dec_17_2012	27.46	28.79	29.14	29.4	29.46	29.6	29.8(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	40	21	60	0.27	46%	0.26	105.8	1.52%	0	1.8	75	NAN
22	Dec_14_2012	27.39	28.66	29.04	29.14	29.26	29.45	29.56(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	60	19	42	0.38	46%	0.33	86.1	1.51%	0	1.5	63	NAN
23	Dec_13_2012	27.3	28.55	28.97	28.95	28.95	29.32	29.39(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	90	15	30	0.41	46%	0.33	76.5	1.52%	0	1.3	62	NAN
24	Dec_12_2012	27.21	28.43	28.91	28.89	28.75	29.07	29.3(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	60	19	41	0.25	46%	0.37	63.8	1.54%	0	1.3	70	NAN
25	Dec_11_2012	27.11	28.32	28.84	28.84	28.68	28.58	28.96(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-40	3	41	0.47	46%		52.6	1.54%	0	0.9	68	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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