Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 10, 2012

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $27.9600 (-1.45%) ($27.9300 - $28.3000) on Mon. Sep. 10, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $27.9600(-1.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWG(84%)    SPY(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -1.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(0%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.5% (StdDev 3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.39(2.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.61(5.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26(7.54%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   40.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 4.15% (three month std-dev: 3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 1.02%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.36%(44%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 1.46%(39%) Average negative next three day return: -2.19%(61%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 2.87%(39%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.44%(61%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121010

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_10_2012	23.98	26	26.61	27.39	27.53	28.16	27.96(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	180	19	75	0.21	57%	0.13	74.5	3%	0	1.8	67	NAN
2	Sep_7_2012	23.95	25.81	26.37	27.02	27.13	27.8	28.37(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	44	190	37	65	0.7	58%	0.13	72	3%	0	2.5	69	NAN
3	Sep_6_2012	23.92	25.6	26.06	26.38	26.57	26.89	27.83(5.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	26	110	24	31	0.83	60%	0.08	76.3	3%	0	2.5	69	NAN
4	Sep_5_2012	23.9	25.42	25.84	25.95	26.06	26.45	26.31(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	120	8	17	1.1	57%	-0.04	84.8	2.96%	0	1.2	71	NAN
5	Sep_4_2012	23.91	25.34	25.81	25.86	25.88	26.25	26.47(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	100	15	29	0.46	59%	-0.04	95.6	2.96%	0	1.5	73	NAN

6	Aug_31_2012	23.92	25.22	25.74	25.72	25.7	25.67	26.11(3.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10	6	31	0.4	59%	-0.08	87.4	2.98%	0	1.1	72	NAN
7	Aug_30_2012	23.94	25.08	25.72	25.62	25.66	25.51	25.16(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-40	-6	37	0.16	56%	-0.08	66.7	2.94%	0	0.1	67	NAN
8	Aug_29_2012	23.96	24.92	25.78	25.68	25.69	25.73	25.71(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	10	-1	53	0.21	54%	0	64.5	2.96%	0	0.7	75	NAN
9	Aug_28_2012	23.96	24.79	25.66	25.71	25.63	25.8	25.83(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	40	2	55	0.15	54%	-0.04	74.6	3.01%	0	0.9	69	NAN
10	Aug_27_2012	23.97	24.64	25.52	25.75	25.62	25.65	25.78(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10	2	55	0.4	54%	0.08	87.7	3.03%	0	0.9	64	NAN

11	Aug_24_2012	23.95	24.51	25.37	25.77	25.66	25.45	25.63(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-70	-5	55	0.39	54%	-0.08	97.4	3.03%	0	0.9	69	NAN
12	Aug_23_2012	23.97	24.37	25.23	25.85	25.73	25.58	25.46(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-50	-7	67	0.47	54%	-0.08	99.8	3.04%	0	0.8	76	NAN
13	Aug_22_2012	23.99	24.19	25.12	25.89	25.88	25.58	25.85(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	-0	9	98	0.29	54%	-0.12	84.1	3.04%	0	1.1	87	NAN
14	Aug_21_2012	24.02	23.91	24.98	25.59	25.78	25.58	26.03(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	50	13	100	0.41	54%	-0.12	65.3	3.04%	0	1.2	71	NAN
15	Aug_20_2012	24.05	23.62	24.84	25.25	25.37	25.88	25.86(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	150	16	102	0.7	54%	-0.17	51.8	3.04%	0	1.3	70	NAN

16	Aug_17_2012	24.09	23.37	24.66	24.91	25.02	25.69	26.03(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	200	28	101	0.54	55%	-0.12	43	3.05%	0	1.6	69	NAN
17	Aug_16_2012	24.12	23.12	24.37	24.54	24.57	24.85	25.67(5.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	80	19	84	1.5	55%	-0.12	34.8	3.05%	0	1.6	69	NAN
18	Aug_15_2012	24.15	22.95	23.97	24.25	24.24	24.36	24.38(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	30	1	67	0.23	51%	-0.25	32.4	2.99%	0	1	71	NAN
19	Aug_14_2012	24.21	22.85	23.83	24.28	24.21	24.29	24.3(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	23	10	0	92	0.21	50%	-0.25	32.7	3.01%	0	1	77	NAN
20	Aug_13_2012	24.27	22.76	23.69	24.36	24.22	24.13	24.19(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	30	-40	-1	123	0.21	50%	-0.25	35.7	3.03%	0	1	78	NAN

21	Aug_10_2012	24.33	22.66	23.58	24.35	24.35	24.14	24.16(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	-60	3	147	0.38	51%	-0.25	35.3	3.04%	0	1.1	69	NAN
22	Aug_9_2012	24.39	22.58	23.46	24.16	24.34	24.31	24.22(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	51	10	14	160	0.28	49%	-0.29	31.7	3.06%	0	1.3	67	NAN
23	Aug_8_2012	24.46	22.49	23.2	23.63	24.02	24.57	24.52(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	210	19	128	0.18	49%	-0.29	16.3	3.1%	0	1.7	58	NAN
24	Aug_7_2012	24.53	22.4	22.78	23.3	23.35	24.37	24.72(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	47	310	29	99	0.48	50%	-0.24	1.8	3.1%	0	2	59	NAN
25	Aug_6_2012	24.59	22.28	22.31	22.94	22.89	23.46	24.13(4.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	170	27	61	0.7	50%		-17.3	3.1%	0	1.8	57	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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