Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 1, 2012

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $31.6000 (2.13%) ($31.4700 - $31.8700) on Wed. Feb. 1, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.34% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $31.6000(2.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(90%)    EWG(83%)    SPY(69%)    EEM(68%)    IWM(65%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -1.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(9%)    IGOV(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.17% (StdDev 2.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.26(1.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.08(1.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.3(4.29%)
To recent high   -9.1%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 3% (three month std-dev: 2.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.01%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.59%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.57%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.68%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120301

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2012	32.17	30.3	31.08	31.26	31.19	31.29	31.6(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	20	11	73	0.09	31%	0.03	33.3	2.34%	0	1.4	75	NAN
2	Jan_31_2012	32.16	30.25	30.92	31.26	31.17	30.9	30.94(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-60	-4	66	0.05	28%	0	36.1	2.41%	0	0.8	69	NAN
3	Jan_30_2012	32.16	30.22	30.8	31.26	31.14	31.1	30.85(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-10	-6	71	0.08	28%	0	36.4	2.5%	0	0.7	74	NAN
4	Jan_27_2012	32.16	30.18	30.66	31.18	31.1	31.44	31.57(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	70	11	85	0.14	37%	-0.03	39.6	2.5%	0	1.6	85	NAN
5	Jan_26_2012	32.17	30.06	30.47	31.01	30.97	31.18	31.32(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	40	13	79	0.06	37%	-0.06	33.1	2.68%	0	1.6	73	NAN

6	Jan_25_2012	32.19	30	30.27	30.88	30.75	31.18	31.22(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10	8	67	0.03	37%	-0.03	26.1	2.68%	0	1.6	56	NAN
7	Jan_24_2012	32.2	29.94	30.1	30.62	30.64	30.77	30.92(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	30	10	48	0.2	37%	-0.06	15	2.69%	0	1.4	47	NAN
8	Jan_23_2012	32.22	29.9	29.89	30.37	30.41	30.72	30.88(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	80	15	30	0.06	37%	-0.09	1.3	2.7%	0	1.4	53	NAN
9	Jan_20_2012	32.25	29.84	29.66	30.05	30.11	30.51	30.73(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	100	16	7	0.1	37%	-0.12	-19.6	2.72%	0	1.4	53	NAN
10	Jan_19_2012	32.29	29.84	29.5	29.84	29.77	30.11	30.64(2.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	11	70	16	-3	0.22	37%	-0.19	-35.6	2.72%	0	1.4	59	NAN

11	Jan_18_2012	32.35	29.8	29.44	29.59	29.59	29.71	29.91(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	30	8	-16	0.08	37%	-0.15	-59.7	2.72%	0	0.2	48	NAN
12	Jan_17_2012	32.4	29.84	29.52	29.51	29.47	29.43	29.67(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10	4	-17	0.02	37%	-0.22	-83	2.73%	0	-0.3	46	NAN
13	Jan_13_2012	32.47	29.89	29.57	29.34	29.43	29.47	29.28(-1.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	20	4	-25	0.05	37%	-0.15	-93.5	2.73%	0	-0.9	44	NAN
14	Jan_12_2012	32.52	29.96	29.65	29.21	29.34	29.51	29.71(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	50	8	-26	0.38	37%	-0.18	-116.1	2.72%	0	-0.4	51	NAN
15	Jan_11_2012	32.58	30.02	29.62	29.09	29.12	29.39	29.38(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-10	70	0	-39	0.03	37%	-0.15	-137.9	2.73%	0	-0.9	45	NAN

16	Jan_10_2012	32.63	30.15	29.7	29.27	29.08	29.17	29.53(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-12	0	-3	-39	0.05	40%	-0.15	-138.4	2.73%	0	-0.9	41	NAN
17	Jan_9_2012	32.68	30.33	29.77	29.55	29.25	28.84	28.79(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-130	-15	-36	0.05	40%	-0.12	-109	2.75%	0	-1.9	36	NAN
18	Jan_6_2012	32.72	30.51	29.92	29.84	29.76	28.99	28.62(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-25	-190	-23	-31	0.11	40%	-0.18	-81	2.75%	0	-1.9	34	NAN
19	Jan_5_2012	32.78	30.76	30.05	30.15	30.08	29.66	29.15(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19	-100	-18	-23	0.09	40%	-0.18	-70.4	2.77%	0	-1.6	39	NAN
20	Jan_4_2012	32.84	30.99	30.16	30.19	30.22	30.53	30.24(-2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	70	2	-20	0.06	46%	-0.15	-50.9	2.74%	0	-0.7	43	NAN

21	Jan_3_2012	32.89	31.14	30.21	30.18	30.11	30.5	30.93(2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	80	16	-22	0.09	43%	-0.24	-37.1	2.77%	0	-0.2	38	NAN
22	Dec_30_2011	32.97	31.24	30.18	30.05	29.93	29.92	30.27(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10	4	-48	0.24	43%	-0.09	-26	2.81%	0	-0.7	25	NAN
23	Dec_29_2011	33	31.35	30.23	30.04	29.95	29.71	30.16(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-70	-3	-62	0.33	46%	-0.06	-17.4	2.83%	0	-0.8	34	NAN
24	Dec_28_2011	33.02	31.49	30.28	29.95	30.02	29.94	29.35(-2.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-28	-10	-8	-86	0.05	46%	-0.18	-12.9	2.84%	0	-1.5	22	NAN
25	Dec_27_2011	33.08	31.59	30.44	30.11	30.01	30.2	30.2(-0.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-24	30	-0	-96	0.04	46%		-11.5	2.83%	0	-1	24	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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