Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 21, 2011

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $42.1600 (2.8%) ($41.5900 - $42.2500) on Tue. Jun. 21, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $42.1600(2.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(85%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-3%)    GLD(7%)    LQD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $36.65(-13.07%)
5 Day Moving Average   $40.81(3.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.12(2.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.55(1.47%)
To recent high   -7.9%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.21% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.39%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.25%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.86%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110721

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_21_2011	42.26	41.55		40.81	40.95	41.37	42.16(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-1	80	18	-57	0.75	44%	0	-27.6	1.72%	0	0.7	51	NAN
2	Jun_20_2011	42.26	41.46	41.12	40.81	40.53	41.07	41.01(-0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	80	11	-69	0.5	41%	0	-34.8	1.74%	0	-0.5	40	NAN
3	Jun_17_2011	42.26	41.48	41.2	40.74	40.77	40.53	41.33(3.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-40	20	-66	1.97	45%	0	-37.5	1.74%	0	-0.2	49	NAN
4	Jun_16_2011	42.26	41.54	41.35	40.63	40.68	39.99	39.76(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-57	-120	-47	-88	0.34	38%	-0.02	-39.7	1.74%	0	-1.8	44	NAN
5	Jun_15_2011	42.27	41.67	41.65	41.07	41.01	41.01	39.77(-4.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-32	-0	-26	-48	0.9	38%	-0.05	-30.8	1.81%	0	-2.1	47	NAN

6	Jun_14_2011	42.29	41.8	41.89	41.45	41.41	41.36	41.84(2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-10	7	-9	0.44	42%	0	-28.3	1.71%	0	0.1	58	NAN
7	Jun_13_2011	42.29	41.79	42.02	41.56	41.42	41	41(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-19	-80	-26	3	0.86	39%	0	-29.9	1.7%	0	-1	55	NAN
8	Jun_10_2011	42.29	41.83	42.1	41.73	41.83	41.46	40.76(-2.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-18	-50	-29	15	0.51	37%	0	-33	1.7%	0	-1.4	50	NAN
9	Jun_9_2011	42.29	41.93	42.2	42.18	42.11	41.84	41.99(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-50	-19	32	0.62	39%	0.05	-22.2	1.7%	0	0.1	46	NAN
10	Jun_8_2011	42.27	41.95	42.12	42.33	42.33	42.2	41.64(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-20	-10	34	0.11	39%	0.05	-32.4	1.7%	0	-0.4	47	NAN

11	Jun_7_2011	42.25	42.02	42.04	42.38	42.52	42.38	42.41(1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-10	-6	27	0.45	41%	0	-41	1.69%	0	0.5	51	NAN
12	Jun_6_2011	42.25	42.03	41.85	42.55	42.48	42.46	41.84(-2.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-0	-10	-9	26	0.59	41%	0.07	-51.1	1.68%	0	-0.2	52	NAN
13	Jun_3_2011	42.22	42.08	41.79	42.52	42.69	42.67	43.01(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	10	17	32	0.35	41%	0.12	-66.7	1.66%	0	1.1	58	NAN
14	Jun_2_2011	42.17	42.1	41.74	42.22	42.48	42.5	42.73(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	20	9	14	0.88	41%	0.12	-83.8	1.66%	0	0.7	49	NAN
15	Jun_1_2011	42.12	42.19	41.67	41.9	42.14	42.72	41.93(-3.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	110	23	3	0.31	38%	0.19	-78.7	1.64%	0	-0.2	47	NAN

16	May_31_2011	42.04	42.35	41.69	41.62	41.77	42.46	43.23(3.64%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	40	130	55	-6	0.42	42%	0.41	-68.1	1.63%	0	0.7	48	NAN
17	May_27_2011	41.87	42.44	41.51	41.07	41.16	41.56	41.71(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	70	26	-57	0.72	35%	0.17	-60	1.55%	0	-0.5	42	NAN
18	May_26_2011	41.8	42.63	41.5	40.96	40.8	41.08	41.5(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	40	2	-82	0.11	35%	0.12	-52.2	1.57%	0	-0.7	40	NAN
19	May_25_2011	41.75	42.83	41.62	41.2	40.86	40.75	41.11(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-40	-8	-83	0.09	35%	0.12	-41.3	1.57%	0	-1	33	NAN
20	May_24_2011	41.7	43.03	41.74	41.44	41.27	40.52	40.55(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-140	-31	-102	0.22	35%	0.1	-30.5	1.57%	0	-1.5	23	NAN

21	May_23_2011	41.66	43.22	42.01	41.75	41.64	40.97	40.46(-1.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-64	-120	-48	-112	0.54	35%	0.1	-20.8	1.57%	0	-1.8	21	NAN
22	May_20_2011	41.62	43.39	42.24	42	42.01	42.01	41.19(-3.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-35	0	-12	-104	0.77	33%	0.12	-16.3	1.65%	0	-1.5	22	NAN
23	May_19_2011	41.57	43.51	42.42	42.09	42.07	42.3	42.69(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	40	12	-117	0.1	36%	0.14	-15.9	1.6%	0	-0.6	25	NAN
24	May_18_2011	41.51	43.51	42.5	42.1	41.91	42.02	42.3(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-32	0	3	-136	0.29	36%	0.14	-18.4	1.61%	0	-0.9	24	NAN
25	May_17_2011	41.45	43.54	42.74	42.12	42.02	41.84	42.13(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-42	-40	-8	-143	0.25	36%		-24	1.61%	0	-1.1	27	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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