Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 6, 2011

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $43.8000 (2.6%) ($43.3500 - $43.8500) on Wed. Apr. 6, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.93% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $43.8000(2.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(85%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.965% (StdDev 1.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.98(1.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.83(2.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42(4.29%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   27.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.71% (three month std-dev: 1.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.1%(58%) Average negative next day return: -0.57%(42%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 2.68%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.25%(33%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 3.57%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.41%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110506

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_6_2011	39.8	42	42.83	42.98	42.98	43.09	43.8(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	20	16	51	0.7	58%	0.13	39.1	1.93%	0	1.6	75	NAN
2	Apr_5_2011	39.75	41.87	42.67	42.79	42.65	42.86	42.69(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	20	-0	59	0.47	56%	0.08	37.1	1.95%	0	0.8	78	NAN
3	Apr_4_2011	39.72	41.8	42.63	42.78	42.67	42.87	43.07(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	30	16	77	0.17	56%	0.08	37.4	1.95%	0	1.2	64	NAN
4	Apr_1_2011	39.69	41.69	42.56	42.65	42.5	42.45	42.9(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-20	3	77	0.27	56%	0.08	30.8	1.94%	0	1.2	59	NAN
5	Mar_31_2011	39.66	41.59	42.39	42.54	42.47	42.47	42.42(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-0	-6	73	0.33	56%	0.05	25.6	1.95%	0	0.8	60	NAN

6	Mar_30_2011	39.64	41.56	42.23	42.66	42.53	42.55	42.86(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10	4	87	0.6	56%	0.05	32.2	1.94%	0	1.3	65	NAN
7	Mar_29_2011	39.62	41.48	41.87	42.54	42.55	42.48	42.64(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10	3	67	0.23	56%	0.05	32.4	1.95%	0	1.3	55	NAN
8	Mar_28_2011	39.6	41.4	41.67	42.45	42.46	42.51	42.43(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	10	-3	58	0.36	56%	0.03	33.5	1.95%	0	1.2	56	NAN
9	Mar_25_2011	39.59	41.37	41.54	42.46	42.43	42.63	42.35(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	30	14	69	0.33	56%	-0.03	31.9	1.94%	0	1.1	57	NAN
10	Mar_24_2011	39.6	41.34	41.38	42.2	42.34	42.4	43.01(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	20	22	60	0.25	56%	0	19.7	1.95%	0	2	60	NAN

11	Mar_23_2011	39.6	41.25	41.09	41.72	41.96	42.23	42.25(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	60	20	29	0.32	56%	0	-0.5	1.95%	0	1.3	51	NAN
12	Mar_22_2011	39.6	41.18	40.99	41.08	41.59	42.28	42.2(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	27	150	33	7	0.27	56%	0	-25.1	1.96%	0	1.4	53	NAN
13	Mar_21_2011	39.6	41.11	40.88	40.78	40.89	41.69	42.49(3.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.4	25	150	35	-5	0.7	56%	0	-40	1.95%	0	2	56	NAN
14	Mar_18_2011	39.6	41.1	40.71	40.52	40.38	40.9	41.06(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	80	24	-28	0.35	52%	-0.05	-41.1	1.9%	0	-0.1	44	NAN
15	Mar_17_2011	39.62	41.18	40.7	40.45	40.34	40.08	40.61(4.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-50	8	-44	0.38	52%	-0.05	-32.5	1.91%	0	-0.7	43	NAN

16	Mar_16_2011	39.64	41.25	40.81	40.38	40.33	39.85	39.04(-4.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-43	-90	-36	-63	0.94	48%	-0.08	-36.2	1.86%	0	-2.7	37	NAN
17	Mar_15_2011	39.67	41.36	41.07	40.86	40.53	40.6	40.69(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10	-14	-33	1.13	50%	-0.08	-34.8	1.78%	0	-1	48	NAN
18	Mar_14_2011	39.7	41.39	41.13	40.97	40.83	40.81	41.19(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	-10	11	-14	0.71	50%	-0.05	-37.3	1.81%	0	-0.3	55	NAN
19	Mar_11_2011	39.72	41.4	41.21	40.94	40.84	40.45	40.72(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-70	-16	-32	0.65	50%	-0.05	-42	1.79%	0	-1.1	37	NAN
20	Mar_10_2011	39.74	41.44	41.32	41	41.03	40.86	40.25(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-26	-30	-22	-38	0.47	50%	-0.08	-46.9	1.8%	0	-2	33	NAN

21	Mar_9_2011	39.77	41.55	41.44	41	41.25	41.22	41.46(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	-10	-1	-23	0.8	53%	-0.03	-38	1.76%	0	-0.2	45	NAN
22	Mar_8_2011	39.78	41.59	41.4	41	41.32	41.21	41.25(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-20	-4	-24	0.26	56%	-0.08	-40.8	1.76%	0	-0.6	53	NAN
23	Mar_7_2011	39.81	41.62	41.36	41.31	41.42	41.28	41.02(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-16	-20	-11	-29	0.36	56%	-0.05	-40.8	1.78%	0	-1	52	NAN
24	Mar_4_2011	39.83	41.66	41.52	41.52	41.51	41.43	41.02(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	-10	-11	-11	0.27	53%	-0.05	-24.8	1.8%	0	-1.1	49	NAN
25	Mar_3_2011	39.85	41.72	41.69	41.68	41.74	41.55	41.8(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-30	1	11	0.23	56%		-14.9	1.79%	0	0.1	54	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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