Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 13, 2010

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $38.9100 (0.78%) ($38.6800 - $39.1400) on Mon. Dec. 13, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.98% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $38.9100(0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(84%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    TIP(-8%)    SHY(-4%)    GLD(7%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.99% (StdDev 1.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.41(1.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.79(2.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.03(2.31%)
To recent high   -10.6%
To recent low   12.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 4% (three month std-dev: 1.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 4.1%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 4.01%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 8.78%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_13_2010	39.9	38.03	37.79	38.41	38.5	38.62	38.91(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	30	15	69	0.61	49%	0	-29.5	1.98%	0	0.6	49	NAN
2	Dec_10_2010	39.9	38.07	37.43	38.15	38.24	38.44	38.61(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	40	5	17	0.49	49%	0	-38.3	2%	0	0.3	42	NAN
3	Dec_9_2010	39.9	38.12	37.19	38.13	38.07	38.37	38.66(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	50	14	-10	0.71	49%	0.05	-46.4	2%	0	0.3	43	NAN
4	Dec_8_2010	39.88	38.21	37.05	37.97	37.99	38.04	38.39(2.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	10	20	-28	0.42	49%	0	-52.7	2%	0	0.1	46	NAN
5	Dec_7_2010	39.88	38.31	36.9	37.63	37.72	37.77	37.47(-0.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	20	17	-60	0.45	44%	0.03	-60.9	1.98%	0	-0.5	44	NAN

6	Dec_6_2010	39.87	38.49	37.02	37.05	37.35	37.95	37.64(-2.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	140	32	-86	0.85	44%	0	-68.5	2.02%	0	-0.5	41	NAN
7	Dec_3_2010	39.87	38.68	37.25	36.56	36.56	37.67	38.5(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	10	210	47	-100	0.76	46%	0.03	-74.5	2.02%	0	-0.1	43	NAN
8	Dec_2_2010	39.86	38.89	37.38	36.1	35.77	36.76	37.87(3.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	170	39	-122	0.6	46%	0	-72.2	2.01%	0	-0.5	41	NAN
9	Dec_1_2010	39.86	39.12	37.5	36.02	35.53	35.44	36.65(6.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-30	-60	10	-151	1.2	47%	-0.03	-68.6	1.97%	0	-1.1	33	NAN
10	Nov_30_2010	39.87	39.43	37.74	36.13	35.77	34.78	34.57(-1.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-92	-220	-58	-194	0.29	41%	-0.08	-66.1	1.89%	0	-2.1	19	NAN

11	Nov_29_2010	39.9	39.8	38.3	36.99	36.5	35.61	35.21(-2.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-99	-210	-74	-173	0.73	41%	-0.05	-66.9	1.89%	0	-2.2	19	NAN
12	Nov_26_2010	39.92	40.2	38.8	38.01	37.46	36.76	36.21(-3.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-74	-170	-54	-135	0.62	46%	0.05	-61.7	1.89%	0	-2.1	20	NAN
13	Nov_24_2010	39.9	40.53	39.19	38.81	38.42	37.4	37.48(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-63	-220	-43	-123	0.52	50%	0.05	-58.8	1.83%	0	-1.8	19	NAN
14	Nov_23_2010	39.88	40.77	39.51	39.19	39.13	38.17	37.16(-4.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-72	-180	-53	-127	0.53	50%	-0.05	-60.8	1.84%	0	-2.3	19	NAN
15	Nov_22_2010	39.9	41.05	39.88	39.56	39.61	39.45	38.9(-3.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-51	-20	-27	-121	0.76	55%	0.13	-62.2	1.76%	0	-1.5	23	NAN

16	Nov_19_2010	39.85	41.26	40.11	39.79	39.73	40.09	40.32(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	60	11	-104	0.25	60%	0.18	-61.5	1.72%	0	-0.7	40	NAN
17	Nov_18_2010	39.78	41.41	40.23	39.72	39.79	39.76	40.21(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	0	14	-116	0.37	60%	0.23	-62.8	1.74%	0	-0.9	33	NAN
18	Nov_17_2010	39.69	41.55	40.49	39.65	39.78	39.36	39.35(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-60	-22	-132	0.43	57%	0.18	-64.8	1.72%	0	-1.6	31	NAN
19	Nov_16_2010	39.62	41.75	40.83	39.91	39.86	39.82	39.04(-2.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-49	-10	-25	-119	0.39	57%	0.15	-63	1.72%	0	-2.1	33	NAN
20	Nov_15_2010	39.56	41.94	41.22	40.25	40.13	40.19	40.01(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	0	-2	-94	0.5	61%	0.15	-61.2	1.7%	0	-1.6	34	NAN

21	Nov_12_2010	39.5	42.12	41.4	40.49	40.33	39.91	39.99(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	-80	-18	-100	0.3	61%	0.15	-53.8	1.71%	0	-1.9	32	NAN
22	Nov_11_2010	39.44	42.29	41.7	40.83	40.56	40.06	39.86(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-61	-110	-48	-101	0.17	52%	0.15	-47.7	1.71%	0	-2.4	29	NAN
23	Nov_10_2010	39.38	42.47	41.98	41.47	41.08	40.76	40.65(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-38	-80	-29	-64	0.58	54%	0.13	-31.3	1.87%	0	-2.2	36	NAN
24	Nov_9_2010	39.33	42.59	42.14	41.89	41.72	41.05	40.73(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-33	-120	-26	-55	0.47	54%	0.13	-17.2	1.87%	0	-2.5	34	NAN
25	Nov_8_2010	39.28	42.67	42.34	42.33	42.08	41.4	41.21(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-37	-130	-36	-41	0.56	54%		-2.8	1.87%	0	-2.4	44	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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