Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 11, 2010

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $42.0900 (-0.96%) ($42.0000 - $42.3300) on Mon. Oct. 11, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.03% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $42.0900(-0.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(84%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -1.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.015% (StdDev 2.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.3(-0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.54(1.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.93(2.83%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   16.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.3% (three month std-dev: 2.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.82%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.88%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.06%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.39%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.53%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.54%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_11_2010	37.39	40.93	41.54	42.3	42.35	42.26	42.09(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10	6	71	0.06	73%	0.19	100.4	2.03%	0	1.2	60	0
2	Oct_8_2010	37.32	40.8	41.39	41.94	42.26	42.43	42.5(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	50	14	64	0.13	73%	0.27	87.3	2.03%	0	1.7	64	0
3	Oct_7_2010	37.22	40.61	41.27	41.61	41.8	42.44	42.28(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	120	22	67	0.21	77%	0.22	78.5	2.03%	0	1.7	67	0
4	Oct_6_2010	37.14	40.43	41	41.28	41.39	42.1	42.36(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	39	130	34	53	0.21	79%	0.24	69.4	2.17%	0	1.9	61	0
5	Oct_5_2010	37.05	40.22	40.78	40.95	41.03	41.16	42.25(4.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	24	30	20	36	0.31	79%	0.24	65.6	2.22%	0	2	61	0

6	Oct_4_2010	36.96	40	40.78	40.71	40.72	40.69	40.29(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-0	-0	-7	20	0.33	77%	0.16	73.2	2.16%	0	0.3	52	0
7	Oct_1_2010	36.9	39.95	40.6	40.76	40.78	40.9	40.87(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	20	2	30	0.41	79%	0.14	84.5	2.15%	0	1	60	0
8	Sep_30_2010	36.85	39.84	40.47	40.86	40.74	40.76	40.65(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10	6	41	0.3	79%	0.11	102.1	2.22%	0	0.9	64	0
9	Sep_29_2010	36.81	39.73	40.43	40.65	40.78	40.67	40.71(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10	4	42	0.15	71%	0.11	105.7	2.22%	0	1	65	0
10	Sep_28_2010	36.77	39.55	40.36	40.57	40.55	40.72	41.03(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	11	30	-1	48	0.39	71%	0.08	91.6	2.33%	0	1.3	70	0

11	Sep_27_2010	36.74	39.32	40.27	40.47	40.48	40.89	40.56(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	70	13	64	0.16	71%	0.19	79.2	2.33%	0	1	70	0
12	Sep_24_2010	36.67	39.16	40.17	40.41	40.45	40.38	41.37(4.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10	19	69	0.11	71%	0.22	77.8	2.32%	0	1.7	62	0
13	Sep_23_2010	36.59	38.9	39.91	40.03	40.45	40.06	39.58(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10	-13	44	0.55	68%	0.11	62.5	2.29%	0	0.5	56	0
14	Sep_22_2010	36.55	38.74	39.83	40.17	40.14	40.52	40.31(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	60	8	60	0.7	68%	0.11	54	2.3%	0	1.1	65	0
15	Sep_21_2010	36.51	38.54	39.62	40.12	40.08	40.23	40.53(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	20	14	70	0.27	68%	0.03	46.6	2.31%	0	1.3	74	0

16	Sep_20_2010	36.5	38.36	39.36	40.03	39.92	39.76	40.24(1.87%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	-40	-1	72	0.13	68%	0	44.5	2.31%	0	1.3	75	0
17	Sep_17_2010	36.5	38.18	39.24	39.91	39.91	39.94	39.5(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	10	1	82	0.18	68%	0	40.9	2.31%	0	0.9	65	0
18	Sep_16_2010	36.5	38.08	39.18	39.75	39.87	40.09	40.26(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	50	17	102	0.07	68%	0.05	36.9	2.3%	0	1.6	75	0
19	Sep_15_2010	36.48	37.97	38.99	39.42	39.51	39.88	40.06(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	70	16	105	0.14	72%	0.03	32.2	2.31%	0	1.7	74	0
20	Sep_14_2010	36.47	37.86	38.67	39.05	39.25	39.66	40.11(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	90	26	97	0.26	72%	-0.03	15	2.4%	0	1.9	73	0

21	Sep_13_2010	36.48	37.73	38.3	38.59	38.86	39.14	39.6(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	70	13	73	0.16	72%	-0.08	-11	2.4%	0	1.8	64	0
22	Sep_10_2010	36.51	37.62	38.05	38.5	38.51	38.83	38.72(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	60	3	69	0.27	77%	-0.08	-32.4	2.43%	0	1.2	62	0
23	Sep_9_2010	36.54	37.59	37.8	38.53	38.6	38.58	38.6(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	0	9	62	0.86	77%	-0.11	-48.3	2.59%	0	1.1	55	0
24	Sep_8_2010	36.58	37.57	37.56	38.49	38.57	38.19	38.2(0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-60	-3	44	1.8	77%	-0.14	-65	2.59%	0	0.7	48	0
25	Sep_7_2010	36.63	37.69	37.38	38.21	38.55	38.63	37.85(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	40	4	27	0.98	77%		-59.4	2.6%	0	0.1	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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