Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 14, 2010

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $40.1100 (1.29%) ($39.3300 - $40.4000) on Tue. Sep. 14, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.4% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $40.1100(1.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(84%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -1.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.2% (StdDev 2.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.05(2.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.67(3.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.86(5.94%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   26.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 3.06% (three month std-dev: 2.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 3.39%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.21%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.05%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.94%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.26%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.13%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101014

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_14_2010	36.47	37.86	38.67	39.05	39.25	39.66	40.11(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	90	26	97	0.26	72%	-0.03	15	2.4%	0	1.9	73	NAN
2	Sep_13_2010	36.48	37.73	38.3	38.59	38.86	39.14	39.6(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	70	13	73	0.16	72%	-0.08	-11	2.4%	0	1.8	64	NAN
3	Sep_10_2010	36.51	37.62	38.05	38.5	38.51	38.83	38.72(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	60	3	69	0.27	77%	-0.08	-32.4	2.43%	0	1.2	62	NAN
4	Sep_9_2010	36.54	37.59	37.8	38.53	38.6	38.58	38.6(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	0	9	62	0.86	77%	-0.11	-48.3	2.59%	0	1.1	55	NAN
5	Sep_8_2010	36.58	37.57	37.56	38.49	38.57	38.19	38.2(0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-60	-3	44	1.8	77%	-0.14	-65	2.59%	0	0.7	48	NAN

6	Sep_7_2010	36.63	37.69	37.38	38.21	38.55	38.63	37.85(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	40	4	27	0.98	77%	-0.35	-59.4	2.6%	0	0.1	48	NAN
7	Sep_3_2010	36.76	37.84	37.29	37.92	38.2	38.95	39.14(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	160	24	20	0.24	73%	-0.16	-49.4	2.7%	0	0.8	57	NAN
8	Sep_2_2010	36.82	37.93	37.03	37.52	37.57	38.47	38.86(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	170	35	7	0.38	74%	-0.16	-47.7	2.72%	0	0.5	56	NAN
9	Sep_1_2010	36.88	38.03	36.88	36.98	37.11	37.45	38.39(4.29%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	17	70	28	-17	0.55	71%	-0.19	-49.4	2.75%	0	0.2	49	NAN
10	Aug_31_2010	36.95	38.16	36.85	36.53	36.63	36.67	36.81(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	20	2	-43	0.76	69%	-0.22	-49.4	2.74%	0	-0.7	37	NAN

11	Aug_30_2010	37.03	38.39	36.97	36.43	36.43	36.77	36.39(-2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-14	70	2	-61	0.15	69%	-0.19	-46.5	2.76%	0	-1	22	NAN
12	Aug_27_2010	37.1	38.64	37.11	36.55	36.34	36.59	37.17(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	30	10	-73	0.54	72%	-0.16	-42.7	2.74%	0	-0.7	23	NAN
13	Aug_26_2010	37.16	38.76	37.15	36.47	36.4	36.08	36.13(-0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-30	-70	-7	-98	1.09	67%	-0.16	-43.5	2.86%	0	-1.3	15	NAN
14	Aug_25_2010	37.22	38.96	37.36	36.76	36.52	36.09	36.14(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-47	-100	-25	-111	0.61	67%	-0.19	-37.9	2.93%	0	-1.5	15	NAN
15	Aug_24_2010	37.29	39.16	37.59	37.21	37.06	36.72	36.31(-1.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-39	-80	-16	-109	1.46	62%	-0.19	-26.1	2.93%	0	-1.6	16	NAN

16	Aug_23_2010	37.36	39.36	38.04	37.58	37.58	36.95	36.99(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-120	-13	-100	0.3	62%	-0.03	-16.4	2.99%	0	-1.5	17	NAN
17	Aug_20_2010	37.37	39.5	38.46	37.74	37.84	37.4	36.8(-2.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-38	-70	-18	-96	0.33	62%	-0.16	-8.8	3.07%	0	-1.8	19	NAN
18	Aug_19_2010	37.43	39.63	38.91	37.9	38.05	38.2	37.58(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	40	-3	-78	0.49	62%	-0.13	0	3.09%	0	-1.4	42	NAN
19	Aug_18_2010	37.48	39.68	39.29	37.9	37.99	38.28	38.39(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	50	7	-66	0.36	62%	-0.11	2.9	3.09%	0	-0.9	42	NAN
20	Aug_17_2010	37.52	39.62	39.57	38.03	37.91	37.9	38.13(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-10	-8	-66	0.41	62%	-0.13	-0.3	3.1%	0	-1	43	NAN

21	Aug_16_2010	37.57	39.62	39.92	38.61	38.06	37.7	37.79(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-110	-23	-52	0.27	62%	-0.13	10.9	3.1%	0	-1.2	38	NAN
22	Aug_13_2010	37.62	39.62	40.29	39.33	38.86	37.91	37.62(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	-210	-28	-27	0.64	57%	-0.11	25.1	3.19%	0	-1.2	43	NAN
23	Aug_12_2010	37.66	39.63	40.52	40.07	39.75	38.42	38.22(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-31	-260	-38	-10	0.7	57%	-0.11	38.1	3.21%	0	-0.9	50	NAN
24	Aug_11_2010	37.7	39.64	40.73	40.71	40.48	39.81	38.41(-6.32%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-22	-130	-34	16	0.84	55%	-0.11	51.5	3.21%	0	-0.8	55	NAN
25	Aug_10_2010	37.74	39.62	40.91	41.3	41.09	41.07	41(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-20	-4	59	0.63	63%		64.2	3.15%	0	0.8	81	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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