Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 9, 2010

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $41.4200 (0.29%) ($41.1300 - $41.4700) on Mon. Aug. 9, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.61% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $41.4200(0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(85%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -1.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    TIP(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.805% (StdDev 3.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.43(-0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.83(1.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.46(4.97%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   37.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 4.26% (three month std-dev: 3.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.31%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.31%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.07%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.88%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.15%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100909

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_9_2010	37.75	39.46	40.83	41.43	41.21	41.15	41.42(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	17	-30	1	66	0.31	63%	-0.05	73.2	3.61%	0	1.2	69	0
2	Aug_6_2010	37.77	39.23	40.64	41.41	41.23	41.1	41.3(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-40	2	76	0.69	60%	-0.05	85.5	3.61%	0	1.3	71	0
3	Aug_5_2010	37.79	39.04	40.41	41.04	41.25	41.27	41.43(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	20	6	76	0.47	58%	-0.08	94.6	3.72%	0	1.5	73	0
4	Aug_4_2010	37.82	38.83	40.11	40.77	40.77	41.36	41.35(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	100	8	73	0.5	55%	-0.08	111.8	3.75%	0	1.6	64	0
5	Aug_3_2010	37.85	38.61	39.65	40.45	40.5	41.23	41.63(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	130	21	66	0.79	55%	-0.03	116.6	3.86%	0	1.9	66	0

6	Aug_2_2010	37.86	38.26	39.28	40.15	40.11	40.18	41.33(4.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	10	12	58	1.01	55%	-0.08	125.8	3.86%	0	2	66	0
7	Jul_30_2010	37.89	37.87	38.88	39.78	39.85	39.77	39.47(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10	-2	48	0.48	53%	-0.11	106.4	3.85%	0	1	64	0
8	Jul_29_2010	37.93	37.58	38.64	39.67	39.8	40.05	40.06(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	50	10	50	0.63	55%	-0.08	93	3.84%	0	1.3	63	0
9	Jul_28_2010	37.96	37.18	38.44	39.33	39.35	39.93	39.77(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	100	17	48	0.25	55%	-0.11	70.8	3.86%	0	1.2	62	0
10	Jul_27_2010	38	36.79	38.23	38.69	38.93	39.54	40.11(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	130	21	39	1.02	52%	-0.08	49.8	3.87%	0	1.4	66	0

11	Jul_26_2010	38.03	36.47	37.97	38.27	38.19	38.77	39.49(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	100	14	38	0.79	52%	-0.11	41.6	3.94%	0	1.3	73	0
12	Jul_23_2010	38.07	36.18	37.7	37.86	37.77	38.33	38.94(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	23	100	16	43	1.21	52%	-0.08	32.7	3.94%	0	1.2	76	0
13	Jul_22_2010	38.1	35.91	37.53	37.47	37.55	37.61	38.34(4.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	20	7	47	1.27	52%	-0.1	24.4	3.94%	0	1.1	75	0
14	Jul_21_2010	38.14	35.72	37.44	37.44	37.34	37.21	36.56(-3.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-30	-9	64	0.41	50%	-0.1	23.5	3.89%	0	0.4	76	0
15	Jul_20_2010	38.18	35.66	37.49	37.68	37.58	37.5	38.03(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	25	-20	1	97	0.84	50%	-0.08	26.7	3.88%	0	1.1	85	0

16	Jul_19_2010	38.21	35.54	37.18	37.61	37.61	37.46	37.45(1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	25	-30	-1	103	0.84	50%	-0.08	31.9	3.87%	0	0.9	68	0
17	Jul_16_2010	38.24	35.47	36.81	37.5	37.59	37.66	36.97(-3.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	20	-1	101	0.97	49%	-0.08	36.7	3.87%	0	0.8	64	0
18	Jul_15_2010	38.27	35.39	36.47	37.58	37.42	37.76	38.18(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	50	7	109	0.65	49%	-0.05	45.7	3.86%	0	1.4	71	0
19	Jul_14_2010	38.29	35.23	35.86	37.44	37.2	37.52	37.75(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	40	9	98	0.58	49%	-0.05	59.2	3.85%	0	1.4	62	0
20	Jul_13_2010	38.31	35.11	35.28	37.29	37.1	37.08	37.68(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-20	13	82	0.8	49%	-0.1	74.5	3.86%	0	1.5	57	0

21	Jul_12_2010	38.35	34.91	34.86	36.7	36.81	36.88	36.91(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	20	11	58	0.41	49%	-0.1	79.4	3.85%	0	1.2	52	0
22	Jul_9_2010	38.39	34.76	34.55	35.99	36.36	37.12	37.4(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	180	24	36	0.45	50%	-0.1	79.7	3.85%	0	1.6	52	0
23	Jul_8_2010	38.43	34.52	34.14	35.17	35.49	36.74	37.47(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	34	270	40	14	0.72	50%	-0.1	68.2	3.88%	0	1.9	56	0
24	Jul_7_2010	38.47	34.18	33.82	34.04	34.47	35.6	36.97(6.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	27	270	42	-17	1.65	50%	-0.1	36.1	3.87%	0	1.7	55	0
25	Jul_6_2010	38.51	33.86	33.61	33.01	33.42	34.25	34.74(4.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	210	21	-54	0.28	48%		12.4	3.78%	0	0.5	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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