Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 13, 2010

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $37.6800 (2.09%) ($37.1900 - $37.8500) on Tue. Jul. 13, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.86% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $37.6800(2.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(85%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -1.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    TIP(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.93% (StdDev 3.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.29(1.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.28(6.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.11(7.32%)
To recent high   -16.6%
To recent low   25%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 4.98% (three month std-dev: 3.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.22%(43%) Average negative next day return: -1.72%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.35%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -2.61%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.06%(14%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.03%(86%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2010	38.31	35.11	35.28	37.29	37.1	37.08	37.68(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-20	13	82	0.8	49%	-0.1	74.5	3.86%	0	1.5	57	0
2	Jul_12_2010	38.35	34.91	34.86	36.7	36.81	36.88	36.91(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	20	11	58	0.41	49%	-0.1	79.4	3.85%	0	1.2	52	0
3	Jul_9_2010	38.39	34.76	34.55	35.99	36.36	37.12	37.4(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	180	24	36	0.45	50%	-0.1	79.7	3.85%	0	1.6	52	0
4	Jul_8_2010	38.43	34.52	34.14	35.17	35.49	36.74	37.47(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	34	270	40	14	0.72	50%	-0.1	68.2	3.88%	0	1.9	56	0
5	Jul_7_2010	38.47	34.18	33.82	34.04	34.47	35.6	36.97(6.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	27	270	42	-17	1.65	50%	-0.1	36.1	3.87%	0	1.7	55	0

6	Jul_6_2010	38.51	33.86	33.61	33.01	33.42	34.25	34.74(4.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	210	21	-54	0.28	48%	-0.16	12.4	3.78%	0	0.5	44	0
7	Jul_2_2010	38.57	33.64	33.7	32.79	32.73	33.33	33.35(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	120	8	-58	0.16	46%	-0.21	-0.4	3.71%	0	-0.2	50	0
8	Jul_1_2010	38.65	33.52	33.97	32.91	32.79	32.59	33.32(4.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-50	4	-48	0.31	47%	-0.21	-6.1	3.74%	0	-0.1	49	0
9	Jun_30_2010	38.73	33.5	34.2	32.97	32.97	32.13	31.83(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-180	-25	-48	0.35	45%	-0.23	-2.1	3.67%	0	-0.9	49	0
10	Jun_29_2010	38.82	33.6	34.56	33.54	33.41	33	31.81(-5.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-100	-28	-14	0.13	45%	-0.21	7.6	3.67%	0	-0.9	61	0

11	Jun_28_2010	38.9	33.6	34.98	34.28	34.04	33.81	33.63(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-70	-11	35	0.05	47%	-0.18	17.2	3.62%	0	-0	69	0
12	Jun_25_2010	38.97	33.65	35.03	34.74	34.51	33.82	33.96(1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-160	-19	62	0.26	47%	-0.15	21.1	3.63%	0	0.2	73	0
13	Jun_24_2010	39.03	33.64	35.05	35.21	35.17	34.27	33.62(-3.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-180	-23	92	0.29	46%	-0.26	30.3	3.63%	0	-0	68	0
14	Jun_23_2010	39.13	33.54	35.01	35.6	35.72	35.2	34.68(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-90	-16	109	0.45	46%	-0.25	29.1	3.63%	0	0.6	58	0
15	Jun_22_2010	39.23	33.46	34.64	35.73	35.95	36.07	35.49(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	25	40	-2	107	0.21	46%	-0.23	30.8	3.62%	0	1.1	57	0

16	Jun_21_2010	39.32	33.33	34.17	35.78	35.77	36.25	35.93(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	90	15	110	0.31	46%	-0.18	31.2	3.62%	0	1.4	63	0
17	Jun_18_2010	39.39	33.25	33.6	35.35	35.49	35.83	36.32(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	80	19	86	0.79	46%	-0.2	28.3	3.62%	0	1.7	58	0
18	Jun_17_2010	39.47	33.07	33.03	34.89	34.99	35.29	35.6(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	70	15	58	0.41	46%	-0.23	15.3	3.61%	0	1.5	55	0
19	Jun_16_2010	39.56	32.99	32.72	34.33	34.54	35.15	35.32(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	140	28	54	0.61	46%	-0.28	-2.1	3.61%	0	1.5	63	0
20	Jun_15_2010	39.67	32.87	32.51	33.35	33.9	34.69	35.73(5.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	37	210	38	33	0.39	46%	-0.23	-30.3	3.62%	0	1.9	57	0

21	Jun_14_2010	39.76	32.76	32.15	32.31	32.77	33.93	33.79(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	24	290	33	-2	0.39	43%	-0.3	-67.7	3.54%	0	0.8	52	0
22	Jun_11_2010	39.88	32.75	32.09	31.58	31.81	33.12	34.01(3.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	24	310	41	-26	0.69	43%	-0.28	-81.3	3.54%	0	0.9	46	0
23	Jun_10_2010	39.99	32.82	32.03	30.9	31.01	31.61	32.78(7.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	150	19	-52	0.4	41%	-0.37	-78.5	3.5%	0	-0	50	0
24	Jun_9_2010	40.14	33.02	31.91	30.92	30.65	30.5	30.46(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-60	-16	-83	0.3	37%	-0.5	-63.6	3.36%	0	-1.4	39	0
25	Jun_8_2010	40.34	33.33	32.17	31.56	31.28	30.4	30.51(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-220	-20	-68	0.17	37%		-52.7	3.36%	0	-1.5	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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