Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 3, 2010

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $32.8800 (-2.29%) ($32.5800 - $33.8500) on Thu. Jun. 3, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.29% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $32.8800(-2.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(85%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -1.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-8%)    SHY(-6%)    GLD(7%)    LQD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.645% (StdDev 3.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.9%

Resistance Level   $34.05
5 Day Moving Average   $33.28(-1.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.19(-0.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.05(-3.44%)
To recent high   -27.2%
To recent low   4.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 4.88% (three month std-dev: 3.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.18%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.07%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.1%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.78%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.07%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100703

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_3_2010	40.82	34.05	33.19	33.28	33.36	33.18	32.88(-2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	2	-30	9	-20	0.17	43%	-0.44	-68.9	3.29%	0	-0.7	41	0
2	Jun_2_2010	41	34.18	33.33	33.01	33.37	32.93	33.65(3.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-16	-60	-5	-48	0.23	43%	-0.39	-80.7	3.3%	0	-0.3	39	0
3	Jun_1_2010	41.16	34.33	33.3	32.9	33.15	33.53	32.46(-3.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	100	-6	-70	0.15	41%	-0.65	-84.5	3.26%	0	-1.1	36	0
4	May_28_2010	41.43	34.68	33.44	33.02	33.04	33.82	33.58(-0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	170	14	-80	1.07	42%	-0.38	-68.9	3.24%	0	-0.5	35	0
5	May_27_2010	41.59	34.96	33.46	33.28	32.82	32.76	33.84(7.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-50	9	-74	0.26	42%	-0.41	-65.9	3.27%	0	-0.5	54	0

6	May_26_2010	41.76	35.23	33.64	33.13	32.98	32.26	31.53(-4.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-170	-23	-83	1.09	37%	-0.43	-69.9	3.15%	0	-1.5	49	0
7	May_25_2010	41.94	35.58	34.19	33.68	33.24	32.87	33.07(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-28	-120	-18	-58	0.46	39%	-0.4	-73.4	3.11%	0	-1	46	0
8	May_24_2010	42.11	35.88	34.56	33.74	33.64	33.7	33.07(-5.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	0	-3	-50	0.24	39%	-0.21	-74.6	3.11%	0	-1.1	43	0
9	May_21_2010	42.2	36.29	35.06	33.89	33.82	33.6	34.9(5.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-50	5	-52	0.36	40%	-0.33	-72.2	3.01%	0	-0.5	40	0
10	May_20_2010	42.34	36.63	34.93	33.68	33.72	33.58	33.06(-3.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-30	-22	-102	0.59	36%	-0.38	-73.3	2.95%	0	-1.2	35	0

11	May_19_2010	42.5	37.06	34.98	34.25	33.98	34.03	34.3(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-39	-10	-14	-114	0.44	38%	-0.35	-71.7	2.94%	0	-0.9	37	0
12	May_18_2010	42.65	37.45	35.12	34.83	34.54	33.85	33.38(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46	-160	-23	-116	0.73	38%	-0.37	-67.3	2.92%	0	-1.3	39	0
13	May_17_2010	42.81	37.95	35.47	35.52	35.32	33.93	33.81(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-65	-290	-47	-118	0.25	38%	-0.21	-63.7	2.92%	0	-1.3	38	0
14	May_14_2010	42.9	38.43	36.03	36.41	36.12	35.23	33.84(-5.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-49	-200	-33	-96	0.35	40%	-0.37	-58.4	2.92%	0	-1.4	33	0
15	May_13_2010	43.06	38.93	36.6	36.32	37.09	36.7	35.92(-3.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	-10	12	-94	0.29	43%	-0.3	-59.1	2.86%	0	-0.9	36	0

16	May_12_2010	43.19	39.37	36.95	35.77	36.45	37.02	37.18(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-26	170	7	-123	1.11	46%	-0.25	-58.9	2.85%	0	-0.6	39	0
17	May_11_2010	43.3	39.76	37.05	35.77	35.65	37.48	36.83(-3.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	380	31	-143	0.93	46%	-0.3	-57.2	2.86%	0	-0.8	36	0
18	May_10_2010	43.43	40.14	37.26	35.45	35.35	35.88	38.27(14.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-17	100	33	-166	2.2	48%	-0.23	-55.1	2.82%	0	-0.5	36	0
19	May_7_2010	43.53	40.45	37.54	35.73	35.12	33.83	33.41(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-123	-310	-75	-267	1.67	39%	-0.37	-51.5	2.16%	0	-1.9	15	0
20	May_6_2010	43.69	41.01	38.42	36.98	36.62	34.82	33.15(-6.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-126	-370	-88	-238	0.57	39%	-0.39	-47.6	2.17%	0	-2.4	13	0

21	May_5_2010	43.86	41.51	39.3	38.27	38.09	36.42	35.59(-3.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-114	-320	-78	-221	0.31	45%	-0.34	-44.9	2.02%	0	-2.2	15	0
22	May_4_2010	44.01	41.9	40.01	38.82	39.08	38.42	36.83(-7.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-91	-100	-51	-210	0.48	41%	-0.29	-45.9	1.98%	0	-2.2	16	0
23	May_3_2010	44.14	42.23	40.68	39.27	39.45	39.77	39.69(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-53	70	-10	-182	0.14	45%	-0.23	-47.5	2.01%	0	-1.3	24	0
24	Apr_30_2010	44.24	42.41	41.04	39.66	39.5	39.75	39.62(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-46	30	-3	-173	0.09	49%	-0.23	-42.6	2.03%	0	-1.4	24	0
25	Apr_29_2010	44.34	42.6	41.46	40.14	39.94	39.13	39.61(3.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-57	-160	-21	-164	0.15	49%		-35.6	2.05%	0	-1.6	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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