Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 22, 2009

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $52.1700 (1.1%) ($51.2100 - $52.3400) on Thu. Oct. 22, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $52.1700(1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(84%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(71%)    VWO(68%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-9%)    SHY(-8%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.56(1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.2(1.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.5(3.31%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   23.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.02% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.21%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.56%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.06%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -3.57%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.32%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.73%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_22_2009	45.12	50.5	51.2	51.56	51.61	51.63	52.17(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	30	10	14	79	0.08	71%	0.29	34.2	1.45%	0	1.6	76	NAN
2	Oct_21_2009	44.99	50.37	51.04	51.46	51.33	51.48	51.6(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	10	-4	85	0.05	71%	0.25	32.6	1.44%	0	1.3	72	NAN
3	Oct_20_2009	44.88	50.31	50.89	51.45	51.35	51.58	51.38(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	30	21	97	0.11	71%	0.25	33.1	1.45%	0	1.2	57	NAN
4	Oct_19_2009	44.77	50.27	50.79	51.2	51.31	51.19	51.76(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	-10	19	88	0.07	71%	0.27	33.1	1.45%	0	1.7	58	NAN
5	Oct_16_2009	44.65	50.18	50.56	50.9	50.92	51.12	50.88(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	30	-6	60	0.12	71%	0.27	31.7	1.44%	0	0.9	52	NAN

6	Oct_15_2009	44.53	50.15	50.31	50.77	50.88	51.43	51.69(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	43	80	37	62	0.07	76%	0.29	38.8	1.45%	0	1.9	62	NAN
7	Oct_14_2009	44.4	50.07	49.99	50.55	50.55	50.73	51.54(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	28	20	25	38	0.08	76%	0.29	43.8	1.5%	0	2	60	NAN
8	Oct_13_2009	44.27	50.01	49.99	50.26	50.55	50.33	50.14(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	0	-3	11	0.53	76%	0.14	51.5	1.47%	0	0.2	48	NAN
9	Oct_12_2009	44.21	49.98	49.99	50.32	50.36	50.37	50.27(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	0	5	12	0.06	76%	0.27	62.5	1.49%	0	0.4	45	NAN
10	Oct_9_2009	44.09	49.92	49.82	50.16	50.32	50.38	50.22(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	20	18	13	0.05	76%	0.27	63.5	1.49%	0	0.4	51	NAN

11	Oct_8_2009	43.97	49.84	49.74	49.75	50.05	50.34	50.58(0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	17	60	26	-10	0.08	76%	0.3	59.1	1.49%	0	0.9	49	NAN
12	Oct_7_2009	43.84	49.75	49.65	49.33	49.44	50.26	50.11(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	9	120	23	-33	0.25	76%	0.3	60.7	1.5%	0	0.4	50	NAN
13	Oct_6_2009	43.71	49.67	49.67	49.31	49.16	49.76	50.42(1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	23	80	40	-29	0.12	76%	0.3	69.1	1.52%	0	0.9	48	NAN
14	Oct_5_2009	43.58	49.56	49.69	49.27	49.1	48.61	49.48(2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-80	-8	-42	0.12	75%	0.32	69.9	1.51%	0	-0.1	50	NAN
15	Oct_2_2009	43.44	49.46	49.75	49.46	49.37	48.55	48.17(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-50	-120	-52	-45	0.15	69%	0.28	64.2	1.5%	0	-1.3	48	NAN

16	Oct_1_2009	43.32	49.38	49.99	49.72	49.89	49.58	48.46(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-30	-29	-10	0.1	69%	0.3	52.2	1.53%	0	-0.8	53	NAN
17	Sep_30_2009	43.19	49.26	50.18	49.97	50.03	50.18	50.03(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	20	-4	23	0.1	75%	0.3	42.9	1.47%	0	0.5	62	NAN
18	Sep_29_2009	43.06	49.08	50.23	50.05	50.05	50.21	50.22(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	20	5	46	0.05	75%	0.3	37.3	1.47%	0	0.7	64	NAN
19	Sep_28_2009	42.93	48.96	50.18	50.18	50.21	49.87	50.41(1.9%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	-50	-3	62	0.04	75%	0.3	42.7	1.47%	0	0.9	68	NAN
20	Sep_25_2009	42.8	48.82	50.05	50.11	50.39	49.9	49.47(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-50	-29	64	0.15	75%	0.3	45.3	1.46%	0	0.4	69	NAN

21	Sep_24_2009	42.67	48.75	49.98	50.32	50.44	50.55	49.71(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	20	-14	99	0.06	75%	0.31	57.9	1.48%	0	0.6	76	NAN
22	Sep_23_2009	42.54	48.64	49.88	50.4	50.51	50.87	50.44(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	52	60	21	145	0.07	75%	0.35	67.7	1.46%	0	1.2	84	NAN
23	Sep_22_2009	42.39	48.5	49.69	50.43	50.33	50.33	50.87(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	54	-10	16	167	0.11	70%	0.36	82.2	1.46%	0	1.6	79	NAN
24	Sep_21_2009	42.24	48.29	49.42	50.18	50.2	50.14	50.05(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	-10	1	152	0.07	69%	0.38	91.9	1.5%	0	1.2	62	NAN
25	Sep_18_2009	42.08	48.12	49.15	49.98	50.1	50.32	50.53(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	40	23	150	0.08	69%		95.2	1.51%	0	1.7	65	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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