Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 26, 2009

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $47.5300 (-0.21%) ($47.1200 - $47.5300) on Wed. Aug. 26, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.59% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $47.5300(-0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(85%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(71%)    VWO(68%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    LQD(9%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.795% (StdDev 1.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.87(1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.99(3.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.66(4.1%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   24.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.28% (three month std-dev: 1.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.74%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.4%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.19%(22%) Average negative next three day return: -1.44%(78%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.88%(22%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.29%(78%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090926

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_26_2009	39.71	45.66	45.99	46.87	47.17	47.52	47.53(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	70	29	86	0.05	57%	0.4	73.2	1.59%	0	1.8	64	NAN
2	Aug_25_2009	39.55	45.48	45.78	46.34	46.68	47.36	47.63(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	55	120	50	71	0.09	57%	0.38	72	1.6%	0	2.2	61	NAN
3	Aug_24_2009	39.4	45.31	45.5	45.67	45.86	46.83	46.84(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	51	160	56	36	0.18	55%	0.36	72.3	1.61%	0	1.8	54	NAN
4	Aug_21_2009	39.26	45.18	45.33	45.06	45.13	45.99	46.81(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	40	140	53	1	0.07	55%	0.38	64.1	1.61%	0	2	53	NAN
5	Aug_20_2009	39.11	45.02	45.15	44.84	44.44	44.89	45.52(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	40	13	-26	0.01	51%	0.39	69	1.58%	0	0.6	52	NAN

6	Aug_19_2009	38.96	44.91	45.11	45.02	44.54	44.27	44.88(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-70	-3	-19	0.04	51%	0.41	70	1.57%	0	-0	55	NAN
7	Aug_18_2009	38.8	44.8	45.17	45.15	45.01	43.98	44.3(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-170	-36	-14	0.09	56%	0.39	71.4	1.57%	0	-0.4	56	NAN
8	Aug_17_2009	38.65	44.71	45.33	45.29	45.29	44.82	43.8(-4.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-38	-70	-49	-3	0.05	56%	0.36	80	1.65%	0	-0.7	48	NAN
9	Aug_14_2009	38.51	44.65	45.57	45.57	45.56	46.03	45.7(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	70	14	51	0.09	63%	0.36	88.9	1.58%	0	0.8	63	NAN
10	Aug_13_2009	38.37	44.46	45.53	45.48	45.4	45.76	46.4(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	50	32	67	0.15	56%	0.39	93.6	1.56%	0	1.3	72	NAN

11	Aug_12_2009	38.22	44.23	45.32	45.23	45.21	45.09	45.55(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-20	1	50	0.07	54%	0.39	94	1.66%	0	0.9	72	NAN
12	Aug_11_2009	38.07	44	45.17	45.22	45.22	45.05	45.01(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-30	-16	56	0.11	54%	0.37	89.6	1.67%	0	0.6	75	NAN
13	Aug_10_2009	37.93	43.74	45.13	45.4	45.35	45.33	45.21(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10	-9	84	0.05	54%	0.42	86.2	1.7%	0	0.8	77	NAN
14	Aug_7_2009	37.77	43.47	45.03	45.56	45.5	45.4	45.22(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-20	-1	105	0.04	59%	0.4	80	1.8%	0	0.8	75	NAN
15	Aug_6_2009	37.62	43.14	44.89	45.57	45.59	45.38	45.14(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	30	-30	-1	123	0.08	59%	0.4	73.7	1.8%	0	0.9	78	NAN

16	Aug_5_2009	37.47	42.83	44.71	45.41	45.51	45.61	45.5(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	20	7	131	0.17	59%	0.46	64.8	1.81%	0	1.1	79	NAN
17	Aug_4_2009	37.3	42.48	44.4	45.09	45.24	45.81	45.91(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	54	100	26	139	0.11	59%	0.48	57.5	1.81%	0	1.4	86	NAN
18	Aug_3_2009	37.12	42.12	44.03	44.82	44.75	45.4	46.04(1.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	65	100	36	153	0.05	59%	0.49	53.8	1.83%	0	1.6	90	NAN
19	Jul_31_2009	36.94	41.78	43.66	44.44	44.35	44.67	45.26(2.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	61	40	28	158	0.12	59%	0.49	51.9	1.84%	0	1.5	89	NAN
20	Jul_30_2009	36.76	41.49	43.29	44.13	44.09	44.09	44.34(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	50	-0	11	166	0.11	57%	0.49	51.3	1.83%	0	1.3	90	NAN

21	Jul_29_2009	36.58	41.29	43.04	43.9	43.87	44.03	43.92(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	54	20	10	184	0.18	61%	0.49	56	1.83%	0	1.3	86	NAN
22	Jul_28_2009	36.4	41.1	42.74	43.58	43.62	44.09	44.52(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	73	80	31	199	0.16	61%	0.58	58.7	1.86%	0	1.8	92	NAN
23	Jul_27_2009	36.19	40.87	42.25	43.12	43.07	43.71	44.15(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	70	100	30	188	0.07	56%	0.53	63.3	1.86%	0	1.9	85	NAN
24	Jul_24_2009	36	40.64	41.78	42.76	42.68	43.15	43.72(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	69	70	34	173	0.06	56%	0.53	65.6	1.92%	0	1.9	75	NAN
25	Jul_23_2009	35.81	40.43	41.26	42.34	42.38	42.43	43.2(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	10	18	144	0.06	56%		68.4	1.91%	0	2	72	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.