Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 12, 2009

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $40.5200 (0.4%) ($39.9500 - $40.5200) on Fri. Jun. 12, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.48% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $40.5200(0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(85%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(71%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -1.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    LQD(9%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.24% (StdDev 2.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.87(1.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.9(1.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.1(3.63%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   46.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 3.2% (three month std-dev: 2.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.51%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.92%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.64%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 4.29%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090712

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_12_2009	32.95	39.1	39.9	39.87	40.03	40.35	40.52(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	70	13	29	0.02	60%	0.3	56.3	2.48%	0	1.1	64	0
2	Jun_11_2009	32.85	38.9	39.83	39.6	39.66	40.18	40.36(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	100	14	31	0.05	60%	0.24	48.2	2.52%	0	1.1	66	0
3	Jun_10_2009	32.77	38.69	39.72	39.49	39.43	39.71	39.81(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	50	13	35	0.04	64%	0.31	41.8	2.52%	0	0.8	65	0
4	Jun_9_2009	32.67	38.58	39.61	39.41	39.38	39.14	39.64(1.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-40	-6	29	0.02	61%	0.21	47.2	2.63%	0	0.8	65	0
5	Jun_8_2009	32.6	38.46	39.56	39.68	39.41	39.16	39.04(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-60	-19	43	0.05	61%	0.18	56.6	2.67%	0	0.4	65	0

6	Jun_5_2009	32.54	38.4	39.51	39.93	39.92	39.61	39.16(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-60	-6	73	0.06	57%	0.18	73.5	2.67%	0	0.5	74	0
7	Jun_4_2009	32.48	38.27	39.42	40.07	40.1	39.66	39.78(0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-70	-8	85	0.04	57%	0.22	79.2	2.75%	0	1	70	0
8	Jun_3_2009	32.41	38.11	39.22	39.97	40.09	40.22	39.45(-3.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	23	30	-1	96	0.04	57%	0.15	86	2.76%	0	0.9	71	0
9	Jun_2_2009	32.36	37.93	39.06	39.79	39.94	40.54	40.96(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	120	23	104	0.05	56%	0.19	90.2	2.7%	0	2.1	65	0
10	Jun_1_2009	32.3	37.68	38.68	39.43	39.48	39.96	40.32(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	90	22	92	0.05	56%	0.12	102.2	2.81%	0	2	66	0

11	May_29_2009	32.26	37.41	38.23	39.04	39.06	39.35	39.86(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	50	16	66	0.21	56%	0.06	100	2.84%	0	1.9	57	0
12	May_28_2009	32.24	37.15	37.88	38.67	38.77	39	39.25(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	50	13	54	0.24	56%	0.03	95.7	2.86%	0	1.6	63	0
13	May_27_2009	32.23	36.91	37.56	38.37	38.46	38.77	38.58(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	60	9	41	0.11	56%	0.03	93	2.88%	0	1.3	59	0
14	May_26_2009	32.22	36.65	37.46	38.21	38.22	38.54	39.15(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	60	17	49	0.09	56%	-0.15	81.3	2.87%	0	1.7	65	0
15	May_22_2009	32.27	36.36	37.24	37.82	37.97	38.14	38.38(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	40	18	43	0.05	56%	0.19	72.4	2.93%	0	1.3	62	0

16	May_21_2009	32.21	36.15	37.18	37.28	37.55	37.91	38(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	90	13	41	0.07	56%	0	63.9	2.95%	0	1.2	65	0
17	May_20_2009	32.21	35.96	37.01	36.96	37.08	37.8	37.75(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	26	150	21	42	0.07	56%	0	55.3	2.98%	0	1.1	66	0
18	May_19_2009	32.21	35.73	36.9	36.96	36.63	37.19	37.75(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	110	17	42	0.15	56%	0.06	45.4	2.98%	0	1.3	67	0
19	May_18_2009	32.19	35.49	36.71	36.62	36.33	36.36	37.22(4.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-20	3	52	0.02	56%	0	42.8	2.98%	0	1.1	70	0
20	May_15_2009	32.19	35.27	36.59	36.6	36.53	36.07	35.67(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-90	-15	58	0.12	50%	0.09	40	3.09%	0	0.3	66	0

21	May_14_2009	32.16	35.21	36.55	37.08	36.84	36.3	36.4(0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-120	-12	79	0.08	50%	0	51.6	3.1%	0	0.8	61	0
22	May_13_2009	32.16	35.11	36.4	37.05	37.01	36.99	36.05(-4.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-10	-9	84	0.13	50%	0	58.7	3.12%	0	0.6	61	0
23	May_12_2009	32.16	35.02	36.25	37.17	37.08	37.38	37.74(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	50	15	108	0.15	52%	-0.03	68.8	3.07%	0	1.8	74	0
24	May_11_2009	32.17	34.82	35.81	36.8	36.79	37.03	37.12(-2.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	40	11	99	0.09	52%	-0.03	73.3	3.06%	0	1.6	73	0
25	May_8_2009	32.18	34.66	35.43	36.58	36.51	36.78	38.07(4.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	39	50	18	101	0.08	50%		77.4	3.06%	0	2.5	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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