Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 20, 2009

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $28.1800 (-1.05%) ($27.5600 - $28.5500) on Fri. Feb. 20, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.4% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $28.1800(-1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP declines -2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(85%)    EEM(73%)    SPY(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -1.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.7% (StdDev 3.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $21.17(-24.88%)
Resistance Level   $30.86
5 Day Moving Average   $28.91(-2.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.18(-6.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.86(-8.68%)
To recent high   -30.2%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 4.44% (three month std-dev: 3.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 3.1%(29%) Average negative next day return: -3.02%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.94%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -4.1%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.87%(71%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.33%(29%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090320

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_20_2009	34.81	30.86	30.18	28.91	28.5	28.43	28.18(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-60	-23	-83	0.19	49%	-0.49	-57.9	3.4%	0	-2	32	NAN
2	Feb_19_2009	34.98	31.01	30.53	29.52	29.26	28.71	28.48(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-160	-13	-60	0.26	45%	-0.54	-60.1	3.47%	0	-2.1	33	NAN
3	Feb_18_2009	35.17	31.19	30.83	30.07	29.71	28.58	28.51(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-39	-300	-32	-59	0.05	45%	-0.54	-66.8	3.56%	0	-2.5	26	NAN
4	Feb_17_2009	35.36	31.3	31.18	30.57	30.4	29.81	28.5(-7.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-39	-150	-36	-47	0.08	45%	-0.9	-89.3	3.56%	0	-3.1	37	NAN
5	Feb_13_2009	35.68	31.55	31.45	31.37	31.18	30.85	30.89(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-90	-10	-17	0.16	52%	-0.53	-94.7	3.5%	0	-0.8	49	NAN

6	Feb_12_2009	35.87	31.67	31.5	31.63	31.55	31	31.2(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-130	-11	-7	0.16	52%	-0.47	-100.4	3.74%	0	-0.5	53	NAN
7	Feb_11_2009	36.04	31.76	31.52	31.7	31.9	31.52	31.23(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-60	-8	-2	0.11	52%	-0.47	-115	3.77%	0	-0.6	54	NAN
8	Feb_10_2009	36.21	31.92	31.71	31.73	31.91	32.11	31.02(-4.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	60	-4	6	0.12	52%	-0.49	-108.7	3.79%	0	-0.8	47	NAN
9	Feb_9_2009	36.39	32.13	31.8	31.88	31.83	32.29	32.49(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	100	15	26	0.04	55%	-0.49	-96.1	3.78%	0	0.3	63	NAN
10	Feb_6_2009	36.57	32.3	31.69	31.55	31.59	31.72	32.2(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	30	10	6	0.05	54%	-0.41	-90.2	3.87%	0	-0.1	45	NAN

11	Feb_5_2009	36.72	32.56	31.56	31.37	31.22	31.38	31.58(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	20	-1	-14	0.14	54%	-0.35	-75	3.95%	0	-0.5	43	NAN
12	Feb_4_2009	36.85	32.84	31.5	31.33	31.26	31.46	31.34(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	40	-1	-25	0.1	58%	-0.41	-67.7	3.98%	0	-0.7	44	NAN
13	Feb_3_2009	37	33.16	31.55	31.7	31.35	31.46	31.8(3.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-100	-3	-27	0.06	58%	-0.38	-56.1	4.12%	0	-0.5	39	NAN
14	Feb_2_2009	37.14	33.45	31.4	31.71	31.77	31.05	30.81(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-150	-11	-52	0.1	58%	-0.46	-51.6	4.1%	0	-1	33	NAN
15	Jan_30_2009	37.31	33.82	31.65	31.83	32	31.64	31.32(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-60	-9	-60	0.13	58%	-0.43	-46.6	4.11%	0	-0.9	32	NAN

16	Jan_29_2009	37.47	34.14	31.85	31.76	31.99	32.48	31.36(-5.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	130	5	-74	0.21	58%	-0.4	-45.7	4.14%	0	-1	28	NAN
17	Jan_28_2009	37.62	34.46	32.02	31.67	31.64	32.35	33.22(4.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	150	19	-89	0.17	64%	-0.37	-46.9	4.09%	0	-0.4	33	NAN
18	Jan_27_2009	37.76	34.62	32.13	31.39	31.05	31.5	31.85(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	70	12	-108	0.11	59%	-0.42	-51.6	4.23%	0	-1	25	NAN
19	Jan_26_2009	37.92	34.88	32.46	31.07	30.98	30.93	31.42(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-20	-1	-126	0.12	59%	-0.45	-58.9	4.33%	0	-1.2	24	NAN
20	Jan_23_2009	38.09	35.16	32.93	31.47	30.84	30.6	30.94(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-110	-18	-130	0.16	56%	-0.44	-63.3	4.38%	0	-1.5	21	NAN

21	Jan_22_2009	38.26	35.46	33.61	31.98	31.63	31.04	30.93(-2.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-38	-160	-11	-118	0.4	52%	-0.52	-67.7	4.38%	0	-1.7	24	NAN
22	Jan_21_2009	38.46	35.83	34.28	32.41	32.21	31.09	31.82(5.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-260	-23	-110	0.23	49%	-0.49	-69.3	4.58%	0	-1.7	27	NAN
23	Jan_20_2009	38.65	36.17	34.9	32.98	32.69	32.22	30.23(-9.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-48	-130	-31	-98	0.14	48%	-0.51	-67.2	4.6%	0	-2.7	25	NAN
24	Jan_16_2009	38.85	36.63	35.7	34.04	33.59	33.33	33.44(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-90	-9	-70	0.07	55%	-0.46	-63.8	4.45%	0	-1.9	32	NAN
25	Jan_15_2009	39.03	36.98	36.19	34.62	34.16	33.15	33.46(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-250	-25	-59	0.29	51%		-47.7	4.56%	0	-2.2	34	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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