Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 2, 2009

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $38.3100 (1.27%) ($37.6300 - $38.4400) on Fri. Jan. 2, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.13% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $38.3100(1.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(85%)    SPY(74%)    EEM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -2.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.565% (StdDev 5.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.47(2.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.6(1.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.15(3.12%)
To recent high   -15.1%
To recent low   33.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 4.2% (three month std-dev: 5.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.52%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.89%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.61%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.5%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.74%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_2_2009	40.25	37.15	37.6	37.47	37.5	37.83	38.31(1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	60	8	-9	0.38	49%	-0.59	56.2	5.13%	0	0.7	60	0
2	Dec_31_2008	40.49	36.96	37.77	37.17	37.26	37.52	37.83(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	60	8	-3	0.24	49%	-0.34	45.2	5.16%	0	0.5	60	0
3	Dec_30_2008	40.63	36.79	37.97	36.88	36.99	37.16	37.7(3.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2	40	2	3	0.18	50%	-0.37	41.5	5.16%	0	0.5	65	0
4	Dec_29_2008	40.78	36.51	37.96	36.96	36.83	37.01	36.53(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	20	-4	8	0.04	48%	-0.39	39.4	5.16%	0	0	58	0
5	Dec_26_2008	40.94	36.41	38.03	37.35	37.15	36.82	36.97(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-80	-5	22	0.04	48%	-0.68	56.2	5.28%	0	0.3	66	0

6	Dec_24_2008	41.22	36.29	38.01	37.77	37.56	36.65	36.8(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-190	-20	33	0.12	49%	-0.39	70.6	5.26%	0	0.2	68	0
7	Dec_23_2008	41.38	36.17	37.99	38.48	38.35	37.49	36.41(-4.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-3	-170	-21	52	0.06	49%	-0.39	84.2	5.25%	0	0.1	61	0
8	Dec_22_2008	41.54	36.02	37.9	39.21	39.16	38.47	38.08(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-130	-7	76	0.11	48%	-0.34	93.2	5.23%	0	0.9	69	0
9	Dec_19_2008	41.68	35.69	37.66	39.08	39.31	39.22	38.48(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	0	-1	90	0.07	50%	-0.36	82.2	5.24%	0	1.1	77	0
10	Dec_18_2008	41.83	35.22	37.24	38.78	38.95	39.86	39.07(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	180	14	91	0.18	51%	-0.36	58.4	5.32%	0	1.4	65	0

11	Dec_17_2008	41.98	34.79	36.69	38.27	38.06	39.4	40.36(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	230	26	86	0.26	50%	-0.31	49.6	5.34%	0	2	68	0
12	Dec_16_2008	42.11	34.37	36.08	37.44	37.23	38.04	40.05(6.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	39	140	27	74	0.09	50%	-0.28	43.6	5.35%	0	2.2	68	0
13	Dec_15_2008	42.23	33.96	35.45	36.43	36.51	36.73	37.45(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	50	10	53	0.3	48%	-0.38	32.2	5.28%	0	1.6	67	0
14	Dec_12_2008	42.39	33.75	34.9	36.04	35.96	36.42	36.95(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	80	9	49	0.09	48%	-0.38	23.2	5.31%	0	1.6	72	0
15	Dec_11_2008	42.55	33.66	34.61	35.46	35.7	36.3	36.52(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	29	140	19	60	0.3	48%	-0.42	19.5	5.32%	0	1.5	76	0

16	Dec_10_2008	42.73	33.44	34.38	34.86	34.87	35.51	36.24(3.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	130	11	60	0.07	48%	-0.42	1.3	5.32%	0	1.5	68	0
17	Dec_9_2008	42.91	33.3	34.17	34.51	34.26	35.1	35(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	150	12	61	0.23	48%	-0.44	-15.9	5.3%	0	1	57	0
18	Dec_8_2008	43.1	33.28	33.98	34.32	33.96	34.23	35.48(4.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	20	18	63	0.16	48%	-0.46	-20	5.31%	0	1.3	59	0
19	Dec_5_2008	43.3	33.28	33.56	33.59	33.59	33.43	34.05(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	7	-30	-2	35	0.1	48%	-0.46	-28.5	5.29%	0	0.4	52	0
20	Dec_4_2008	43.5	33.29	33.07	33.64	33.34	33.7	33.51(-2.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	50	-3	14	0.07	47%	-0.43	-28.8	5.28%	0	0.1	45	0

21	Dec_3_2008	43.69	33.42	32.78	33.83	33.46	33.74	34.5(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	30	7	16	0.1	47%	-0.39	-16.9	5.31%	0	0.6	56	0
22	Dec_2_2008	43.86	33.57	32.55	33.79	33.49	32.98	34.06(6.94%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-130	-1	8	0.19	47%	-0.43	-3.4	5.31%	0	0.2	51	0
23	Dec_1_2008	44.05	33.62	32.37	33.61	33.65	33.19	31.85(-7.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7	-90	-7	-6	0.07	45%	-0.47	6.3	5.22%	0	-0.8	44	0
24	Nov_28_2008	44.26	33.62	32.54	33.47	33.75	33.99	34.27(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	11	70	17	-8	0.06	47%	-0.65	12.6	5.16%	0	0.2	45	0
25	Nov_26_2008	44.55	33.8	32.63	32.37	32.9	34.1	34.47(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	11	300	22	-23	0.22	47%		0.2	5.13%	0	0.3	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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