Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 6, 2008

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $43.0800 (-4.5%) ($41.6500 - $44.4400) on Mon. Oct. 6, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.51% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $43.0800(-4.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(92%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -1.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.255% (StdDev 2.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $38.44(-10.77%)
Resistance Level   $46.64
5 Day Moving Average   $45.28(-4.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.5(-7.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.64(-7.63%)
To recent high   -21.4%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 3.77% (three month std-dev: 2.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 2%(56%) Average negative next day return: -4.05%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 3.19%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -4.3%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 4.46%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.55%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_6_2008	53.06	46.64	46.5	45.28	45.25	44.52	43.08(-4.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-44	-110	-36	-67	0.35	41%	-0.41	-48.3	2.51%	0	-2	46	0
2	Oct_3_2008	53.28	46.9	47.08	45.66	45.92	45.57	45.11(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-40	-24	-37	0.23	43%	-0.39	-53.4	2.47%	0	-1.1	53	0
3	Oct_2_2008	53.49	47.03	47.55	46.53	45.96	45.98	44.75(-4.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-30	-33	-5	0.2	43%	-0.37	-48.6	2.47%	0	-1.5	46	0
4	Oct_1_2008	53.69	47.18	47.77	47.44	46.9	46.27	46.98(1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-130	-5	34	0.32	45%	-0.32	-36.7	2.41%	0	-0.1	53	0
5	Sep_30_2008	53.86	47.34	47.56	47.6	47.6	45.94	46.47(3.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-30	-240	-45	15	0.24	45%	-0.33	-28.2	2.4%	0	-0.5	52	0

6	Sep_29_2008	54.04	47.5	47.54	47.92	48.14	47.53	44.97(-9.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-39	-70	-58	20	0.16	43%	-0.35	-19.3	2.36%	0	-1.5	49	0
7	Sep_26_2008	54.23	47.76	47.62	48.66	48.8	49.26	49.47(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	70	10	63	0.16	46%	-0.28	-7.1	2.08%	0	1	53	0
8	Sep_25_2008	54.38	47.78	47.4	48.74	48.83	48.76	49.3(3.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-0	19	70	0.23	46%	-0.24	-2.5	2.12%	0	0.9	55	0
9	Sep_24_2008	54.51	47.77	47.09	48.17	49	48.34	47.8(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-40	8	41	0.11	44%	-0.31	-10.4	2.07%	0	0	51	0
10	Sep_23_2008	54.68	47.82	46.93	47.5	48.43	48.9	48.07(-1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	130	3	-7	0.13	44%	-0.31	-21.5	2.08%	0	0.1	43	0

11	Sep_22_2008	54.85	47.84	46.75	47.09	47.53	49.67	48.66(-2.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	49	340	70	-14	0.15	44%	-0.27	-31	2.07%	0	0.5	46	0
12	Sep_19_2008	55	47.88	46.67	46.4	46.56	47.97	49.89(7.41%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.9	57	220	90	-41	0.23	45%	-0.25	-41.8	2.06%	0	1.1	48	0
13	Sep_18_2008	55.14	47.82	46.37	45.92	45.39	45.4	46.45(4.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-29	-30	3	-124	1.05	38%	-0.29	-53.2	1.82%	0	-0.8	36	0
14	Sep_17_2008	55.3	47.95	46.48	45.89	45.66	45.16	44.43(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-54	-90	-20	-155	0.23	34%	-0.34	-60.3	1.72%	0	-2	31	0
15	Sep_16_2008	55.49	48.2	47.06	46.26	45.88	45.38	46.01(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-58	-100	-30	-140	0.21	36%	-0.31	-70.8	1.68%	0	-1.4	40	0

16	Sep_15_2008	55.66	48.39	47.44	46.33	46.13	46.17	45.2(-4.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-55	-10	-29	-131	0.21	34%	-0.34	-81.2	1.66%	0	-2.1	37	0
17	Sep_12_2008	55.85	48.64	47.93	46.93	46.57	46.37	47.49(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	-50	3	-99	0.14	37%	-0.29	-86.1	1.57%	0	-0.9	39	0
18	Sep_11_2008	56.01	48.78	48.2	46.91	46.89	46.09	46.33(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	-120	-37	-111	0.11	34%	-0.3	-91	1.54%	0	-1.8	38	0
19	Sep_10_2008	56.18	49.03	48.53	47.19	47.24	46.77	46.29(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-74	-70	-63	-107	0.21	33%	-0.3	-95.9	1.54%	0	-2.1	38	0
20	Sep_9_2008	56.35	49.32	48.81	48	47.82	47.69	46.35(-3.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-42	-30	-35	-63	0.19	33%	-0.32	-85.2	1.55%	0	-2.3	39	0

21	Sep_8_2008	56.53	49.63	49.06	48.72	48.62	47.71	48.18(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-140	-29	-39	0.23	36%	-0.28	-71.1	1.49%	0	-1.1	42	0
22	Sep_5_2008	56.69	49.81	49.22	49.09	49.12	47.96	47.42(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-74	-160	-83	-47	0.22	34%	-0.3	-62.3	1.51%	0	-1.8	35	0
23	Sep_4_2008	56.86	50.05	49.42	49.67	49.88	49.54	47.69(-5.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-35	-40	-42	-13	0.16	34%	-0.28	-58.3	1.52%	0	-1.9	35	0
24	Sep_3_2008	57.02	50.32	49.57	50.04	50.26	50.28	50.34(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	20	15	11	0.31	37%	-0.21	-50.8	1.39%	0	0	41	0
25	Sep_2_2008	57.14	50.46	49.43	49.73	50.04	50.23	49.98(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	50	16	-28	0.19	35%		-51.5	1.39%	0	-0.3	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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